Sonko ticket is about waabara versus warabu...Sonko represent chance for upcountry folks to take leadership after Joho and his small arab elite have excluded everyone.
Ruto ticket is about Kenyatta-joho taking mombasa port to naivasha versus Ruto bringing it back.
Different issues. Nobody cares about Azimio or UDA uko. It's real mombasa issues.
Raila will likely win by small margin - 10 percent - max 20 percent.
Remember Uhuru as hated did score 30 versus 70 percent in 2017
Now Ruto worse is 40 percent
Sonko is Joho calibre Nassir is too lightweight. But Nassir can still survive at big 40% lead. Slim chance.
About Ruto running with Mombasa - that is wishful thinking. Sonko drumming himself and Raila will rain on Ruto party.
Yes Sonko has intelligence - you can bet he even bribed the judge if need be; He is going to eat Nassir alive;
He needs Azimio to win Mombasa - it scratch my back thing - collatoral is Nassir - who is now even more isolated.
Mombasa Ruto will get his votes;
Governor candidate is hopeless.
Sonko will now move to Mombasa and sweep it clean in 3 weeks. Poor Nassir.