Pajero please comeback my dear - Infotrak predict huge Raila lead

[RV Pundit]

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Azimio flagbearer Raila Odinga is the most preferred presidential candidate if elections were held now, an opinion poll by Infotrak Research and Consulting shows.

The survey conducted in all the 290 constituencies said 42 per cent of the respondents would vote for Raila while 38 per cent named Deputy president William Ruto as their preferred candidate.

The poll said Raila would garner 9.3 million votes and Ruto 8.4 million votes.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2022-06-08-raila-ahead-of-ruto-in-presidential-race-poll/

[RV Pundit]

Things are thick if you own pollster is struggling - just like you struggled with your own maths.

[KenyanPlato]

Raila will make luos wail again. He such a poor organizer
Now his campaigns are already out of steam

[patel]

No message ...total confusion. Running on more of the same. Fuata nyayo za uhuru on a change election season. Expect more Tibim, Tia lala.

Raila will make luos wail again. He such a poor organizer
Now his campaigns are already out of steam

[RV Pundit]

Shida akifungua mdomo he is likely to say things that will take a week to clean up. In fact he should keep off campaign.

Raila will make luos wail again. He such a poor organizer
Now his campaigns are already out of steam

[RV Pundit]

It surreal when you hear him speak of ignorance, disease and poverty - ni kama - kichwa imeenda

No message ...total confusion. Running on more of the same. Fuata nyayo za uhuru on a change election season. Expect more Tibim, Tia lala.

[KenyanPlato]

Shida akifungua mdomo he is likely to say things that will take a week to clean up. In fact he should keep off campaign.

Raila will make luos wail again. He such a poor organizer
Now his campaigns are already out of steam

T
Raila is senile

[RV Pundit]

Raila was also leading in the 2013 INFOTRACK POLLS. Tuwachie IEBC kazi yake pic.twitter.com/KAuwlXSCgE

— Ngom Leelah (@Ngomlila) June 8, 2022

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[Njuri Ncheke]

This is the figure i quoted way back the pollsters in Kenya are very predictable     started in 2007 always with a 4 % gap for baba

[audacityofhope]

Azimio flagbearer Raila Odinga is the most preferred presidential candidate if elections were held now, an opinion poll by Infotrak Research and Consulting shows.

The survey conducted in all the 290 constituencies said 42 per cent of the respondents would vote for Raila while 38 per cent named Deputy president William Ruto as their preferred candidate.

The poll said Raila would garner 9.3 million votes and Ruto 8.4 million votes.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2022-06-08-raila-ahead-of-ruto-in-presidential-race-poll/

Enjoy your break pajero. The man says he apologises then you realise it is just lip service as he goes on a rant in multiple posts showing all and sundry how unapologetic he is, "defending himself".

[mankind]

This is the figure i quoted way back the pollsters in Kenya are very predictable     started in 2007 always with a 4 % gap for baba

   The problem with Raila supporters has always been the failure to understand that opinion polls are just that..an opinion based on a sample of a few people that misses so many other parameters.  The problem is so bad it turns very smart people into idiots.  Just ask pundit who despite being very good with numbers still refuses to acknowledge Raila lost in 2007 when you put known numbers and facts on a spreadsheet  i.e registered voters per constituency and election results.  A very clear picture emerges that Raila lost then and will most likely lose this time unless something really big happens. I was having a discussion with a few of my buddies who think Raila will win but when I challenged them on the numbers one told me they have military intelligence working for them.  Laughable at most.

[RV Pundit]

There are many ways of telling a rigged elections. 2007 was rigged. The turnout in Mt Kenya was off charts. The MPs/ Councillors didnt correspond. Kibaki could not govern without Kalonzo or NARA. The violence that erupted shows it was brazenly rigged. Martha appointed all comssioners bar Kiviutu who rigged the polls. Unlike all other elections...voters from Turkana and Mandera north...that would arrive late....came earlier than Mt kenya voters that were few kilometers from KICC. Kivitui acknowledge many ROS were unreachable.

The rigging was BRAZEN. Delay the strongholds - find out the gap - inflate the figures- win by 200K.

As regard opinion polls - they do get it wrong - sometimes deliberately - sometimes because they refuse to sample based on tribes.

Even this InfoTrak has some value....you'll see areas where it generally agrees with others - hapo if all of them say Raila is leading in Nyanza and common say so - then we take them seriously.

However dead give away is areas where opinion polls disagree - and in this election they disagree on almost everything - most specifically on undecided voters.

I wonder what people are waiting to decide?

   The problem with Raila supporters has always been the failure to understand that opinion polls are just that..an opinion based on a sample of a few people that misses so many other parameters.  The problem is so bad it turns very smart people into idiots.  Just ask pundit who despite being very good with numbers still refuses to acknowledge Raila lost in 2007 when you put known numbers and facts on a spreadsheet  i.e registered voters per constituency and election results.  A very clear picture emerges that Raila lost then and will most likely lose this time unless something really big happens. I was having a discussion with a few of my buddies who think Raila will win but when I challenged them on the numbers one told me they have military intelligence working for them.  Laughable at most.

[Nowayhaha]

RV , we have been here before.
Can you showcase the 2007 voter turnout in Mt Kenya ?

There are many ways of telling a rigged elections. 2007 was rigged. The turnout in Mt Kenya was off charts. The MPs/ Councillors didnt correspond. Kibaki could not govern without Kalonzo or NARA. The violence that erupted shows it was brazenly rigged. Martha appointed all comssioners bar Kiviutu who rigged the polls. Unlike all other elections...voters from Turkana and Mandera north...that would arrive late....came earlier than Mt kenya voters that were few kilometers from KICC. Kivitui acknowledge many ROS were unreachable.

The rigging was BRAZEN. Delay the strongholds - find out the gap - inflate the figures- win by 200K.

As regard opinion polls - they do get it wrong - sometimes deliberately - sometimes because they refuse to sample based on tribes.

Even this InfoTrak has some value....you'll see areas where it generally agrees with others - hapo if all of them say Raila is leading in Nyanza and common say so - then we take them seriously.

However dead give away is areas where opinion polls disagree - and in this election they disagree on almost everything - most specifically on undecided voters.

I wonder what people are waiting to decide?

   The problem with Raila supporters has always been the failure to understand that opinion polls are just that..an opinion based on a sample of a few people that misses so many other parameters.  The problem is so bad it turns very smart people into idiots.  Just ask pundit who despite being very good with numbers still refuses to acknowledge Raila lost in 2007 when you put known numbers and facts on a spreadsheet  i.e registered voters per constituency and election results.  A very clear picture emerges that Raila lost then and will most likely lose this time unless something really big happens. I was having a discussion with a few of my buddies who think Raila will win but when I challenged them on the numbers one told me they have military intelligence working for them.  Laughable at most.

[RV Pundit]

I did MOAS of 2007 - it was really simple. NO votes of 2005 minus Kalonzo is what Raila ought to have got 46-48. Kibaki should played around same 42-44. If you check my MOASS of 2007 - everything was good except mostly the turnout. Mt Kenya turnout since 1992, 97, 2002 and 2005 had not been that high. We know the figures were inflated.

Kibaki believed that Kalenjin and Luos had rigged 2005 turnout...and set out to rig or even things in 2007.

But historically turnout in Kalenjin and Luoland was high - and nothing has really changed over the years.

RV , we have been here before.
Can you showcase the 2007 voter turnout in Mt Kenya ?

[Njuri Ncheke]

I did MOAS of 2007 - it was really simple. NO votes of 2005 minus Kalonzo is what Raila ought to have got 46-48. Kibaki should played around same 42-44. If you check my MOASS of 2007 - everything was good except mostly the turnout. Mt Kenya turnout since 1992, 97, 2002 and 2005 had not been that high. We know the figures were inflated.

Kibaki believed that Kalenjin and Luos had rigged 2005 turnout...and set out to rig or even things in 2007.

But historically turnout in Kalenjin and Luoland was high - and nothing has really changed over the years.

RV , we have been here before.
Can you showcase the 2007 voter turnout in Mt Kenya ?

Well pundit Mankind and Noway dissected here openly the 2007 numbers using MOAS that showed Kibaki clearly won,you didn't even have an answer we can aswell go back to that threqd,first time you lost in a MOAS argument.

[Nowayhaha]

RV just accept if rigging happened in 2007 it was in ODM areas.We did put figures here and you were astonished.
Come Aug 09. ODMers will still claim they have been rigged .

I did MOAS of 2007 - it was really simple. NO votes of 2005 minus Kalonzo is what Raila ought to have got 46-48. Kibaki should played around same 42-44. If you check my MOASS of 2007 - everything was good except mostly the turnout. Mt Kenya turnout since 1992, 97, 2002 and 2005 had not been that high. We know the figures were inflated.

Kibaki believed that Kalenjin and Luos had rigged 2005 turnout...and set out to rig or even things in 2007.

But historically turnout in Kalenjin and Luoland was high - and nothing has really changed over the years.

RV , we have been here before.
Can you showcase the 2007 voter turnout in Mt Kenya ?

[RV Pundit]

2007 was rigged. We can argue for next 30yrs and not come to an agreement. Let focus on 2022.

RV just accept if rigging happened in 2007 it was in ODM areas.We did put figures here and you were astonished.
Come Aug 09. ODMers will still claim they have been rigged .

[Arcadian_Dreamer]

IT IS ORDAINED!

I see Pundit putting on a brave face.

Upende ama usipende tutawala.

[RV Pundit]

2007 was your year. Hii ni ya Ruto. No need to hate Ruto or Kalenjin - who supported you to the hilt. You're yet to repay that debt. The best you can do is shut up and watch Ruto win this - without any gov or state support.

IT IS ORDAINED!

I see Pundit putting on a brave face.

Upende ama usipende tutawala.

[Arcadian_Dreamer]

2007 was your year. Hii ni ya Ruto. No need to hate Ruto or Kalenjin - who supported you to the hilt. You're yet to repay that debt. The best you can do is shut up and watch Ruto win this - without any gov or state support.

All bravado aside this one is assuredly in the bag for the old man even you will see it soon. Everyone back home tells me Raila it is round hii. There is excitement in the air. Hustler wave came and went. Azimio timed this race to perfection, the other team peaked too early.