Then worse is that unlike his wiper aspirants who mighr win seats he is going to stay in the cold for another 5 years.
He rejected same position 10 years ago which would have made him stronger in 2022. Now Raila has downgraded him further.
Best thing for him in join KK and get a share of government and start playing smart politics of 2027.
The next 5 years will see an emergence of new leaders in Lower Eastern and Ukambani. GEMA are on their Third new leader , Kalenjins on their 2ns new leader times up for the other region.
Yes there will be backlash - as many are already jaded with that embarrassing flipflop and dont trust Raila - Kalonzo himself will have quite a problem campaigning. Uhuru had improved to 20-30 - I see Ruto improving to 30-40 percent of Ukambani. Kalonzo still has an edge...and depending on how Ruto respond to his propaganda...he could do damage because end of the day he will have good explanation to give.
Wiper Aspirants know UDA is their main competition on the ground. They know without the party ticket advantage - their bids will become in danger. They know if Kalonzo go to KK - they are finished.
Still there will be some backlash, Kambas are not happy and for this they will give an answer come Aug 09. We might be back to 97 when Kambas split their votes almost evenly between Ngilu and Moi.
Kalonzo seems to have been subdued by the pressure of aspirants who want to ride on Azimio. UDA and Ruto will reap nicely in Ukambani.