I think proper polling is required in Vihiga. Otherwise I have to agree that numbers look bad - and these from all the opinion pollsters.
I had maDVD at 60-70 percent in MOAS in Vihiga - but I think 50-50 looks more plausible now.
I know Banyore are ODM damu - that from Majengo to Maseno to Luanda.
I am not sure of Tirikis - but seeing their prominent son from Jirong to Khaniri are UDP/Azimio - then they maybe Azimio.
That leaves Maragolis..in Mbale-Chakavali-Mudete..who by default should be MaDVD folks.
Pollsters need to do proper sampling.
Anyway I think he cannot do worse than 2013...so Ruto should expect at least 0.5-0.6M votes.
Kakamega looks good - at 40% generally compared to Raila 55%.
Bungoma and Tranzoia - Ruto has a lead.
What is needed is proper polling in Western with the sub-tribal tapestry taken into considerations.
Otherwise it easy to get it wrong.
Western is really Bungoma and Kakamega. Those are the big ones.
Raila beats him in his home county of vihiga,Weta is much better than him,think he should refund Ruto his money.He isn't a good investment.