Tifa april poll - 54% for Ruto and 44% for Raila

[RV Pundit]

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That is on decided voters..the undecided stubborn remain high at almost 30 percent

Otherwise it's 39 versus 32.

Raila gains 5%; Ruto gain 1%(from maDVD); Raila (from kalonzo+others+1% of undecided)

[RV Pundit]

Make sense - he's gained from Kalonzo

While support for former PM Odinga has increased overall (by 5%) since TIFA’s February survey, he has gained most in Lower Eastern (by 24%) as well as in Nyanza (by 8%). But he has also seen an increase in support in Coast, Northern, & Western (6% in each).#TifaPresidentialPoll pic.twitter.com/gI25Kh8oRr

— TIFA Research (@TifaResearch) May 5, 2022

[RV Pundit]

Ruto should worry about NEP.
I would like to see counties they sampled in Western

Support for DP Ruto (again) remains statistically unchanged since TIFA’s last (February) survey, though this near-static overall figure obscures some changes in several zones. #TifaPresidentialPoll pic.twitter.com/maiPJOo3ii

— TIFA Research (@TifaResearch) May 5, 2022

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[Githunguri]

Who financed the poll?

[Pajero]

Good,the march is still on,battle for undecided voters.All regions lean towards Raila except Rift and Mt Kenya.Western behaving well.30% of Mt Kenya looks achievable.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

The undecideds will break heavily for Ruto. If Assimio pick anyone other than Kalonzo, Raila will drop by 5-7 points. If he picks Kalonzo will gain about 3-4. They are doomed eithervway because DP is very strong nationwide except nyanza!

[Kadudu]

Teep state.

Who financed the poll?

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Who financed the poll?

How was your Muratina, sex and sleep? When the same poll showed Raila up in Nairobi, Makueni, and Mombasa, you did not question who financed the poll. In fact, you went all out and said Raila is at 40% in okuyuland. Get used to Ruto the 5th mapema.

[Pajero]

Kalonzo has now become your only line of hope,all your hopes are now hinged on him.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Kalonzo has now become your only line of hope,all your hopes are now hinged on him.

Kalonzo is in Azimio, not Kenya Kwanza. He has to be Raila's deputy for the third time, or Raila will lose badly. With him as deputy, the losing will be the usual! 40-43%

[RV Pundit]

Precisely. Baba should look to bow out with some respect. Otherwise he will be beaten like Burukenge if he picks Mt kenya because Kambas are one leg out again.

Kalonzo is in Azimio, not Kenya Kwanza. He has to be Raila's deputy for the third time, or Raila will lose badly. With him as deputy, the losing will be the usual! 40-43%

[Nefertiti]

Tifa says 39 v 32.. i assume this is your MOAS extrapolation. Undecideds are still quie many.

[RV Pundit]

Of the decided. Let see with choice of running mate if things will firm up. I think this election where choice of running mater has been left this late - and could explain the high undecided and those refusing to answer. I believe UhuRuto firmed up early in 2013.

Tifa says 39 v 32.. i assume this is your MOAS extrapolation. Undecideds are still quie many.