I am hearing good things about UDA and Aisha Jumwa in Kilifi.
Kwale is UDA playground.
Sarai is struggling in Mombasa. But Sonko has added new twist.
Generally ODM is down and even - except in Mombasa - Mijikenda right now look split into 3 - ODM/UDA/coastal parties.
In such a 1/3 split - it's anybody games.
Taita Taveta is 50-50 game. Mrutu the former governor is likely to make comeback via UDA.
Ruto doing good in Tana River and Lamu - 50-50. Former Tana River governor likely to make comeback via UDA.
Former Lamu governor likely to make comeback via ANC.
MOAS is going to be updated to reflect the new realities on the ground.
Final Final MOAS will come once we know running mate - and they will be tinkering here and there.
Generally speaking UDA/Ruto have the momentum now - even in Gusii/Nyamira - things looking up.
Azimio is on the ropes...but Jubilee supsringly very strong in NFD counties of Marsabit, Isiolo, Mandera, Garissa and Wajir.
Ruto need to focus on NFD...elsewhere he has good ground game...better than Jubilee 1.0 and Jubilee 2.0
Woi. please refer to Pundit's MOAS -- even Aisha Jumwa and Omar Sarai are trailing ODM and PAA.