I analyze politics -
Nancy plan the moves for lazy boys with little political experience like she did for Kibaki, Uhuru and now Muhoho-Gideon.
Gideon has money - big money - and like Uhuru doesnt have to think.
They get given a game-plan by Phdis consultants - some internationally - and all they need to do is follow.
Actually all they do is release money - arrive in arranged meeting - make arranged phone calls - lazy boys do nothing.
Baba use to have many brilliant Luos - but over years he has remained with just cows left - now is biggest adviser is Ida, Junior, Winny and their boyfriends - outside is D- Minus Joho and Wariah from Migori Junet.
Ruto does everything for himself - because he is multi-talented hardworking sober go-getter - he thinks, he plans, he execute - all he need is Farouk to carry cash and them girls
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in room 305 after work
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As regard parrael NIS - dont make me laugh.
You clearly understimate Ruto -
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The man is MOI 2.0. Nothing happens without is knowledge. That is how he made money in gov.
Raila has never had any NIS - he had ex-82 airforce guys who were acting more like his security force - and men in black.
I remember in 2002 - he sent those guys late a night - and all they wanted to know was Raila itinerary - and such.
In 2007 - Raila relied on Ruto for financing and intelligence.
They are many Kalenjin former NIS and current NIS - working for Ruto.
Ruto pays them - they know how to gather intelligence. Ruto has intelligence on almost anyone - even his friends.
What is released to Itumbi is just the TIP of the iceberg.
This is not an idle joke -
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We can place "thousands" of possible scenarios, they will remain just that, possible scenarios. Indeed you as a data man knows that you can graph many permutations... and they will remain just that permutations and speculations until you make deliberate moves to make them reality. So, all these are perceptions and everyone is entitled to his.
Nancy Gitau the fabled genius remains just that, a fable! Nothing she could do, conjure or configure which you cant. Why would she hold sway and not you?? Do you imagine that an experienced hand like raila and his ODM think tank have no ability to put together and play their own jig-saw??
Everyone knows Gideon comes with nothing except himself and his polo horses... so no one would put much political capital on him. Of course we need his chopper(s?) to take us across the Kenya landmass.
Absolutely zero parallel intelligence Ruto has.... that is stupid Dennis Itumbi Hollow Intelligence Beuarau (HNIB)... stupid fellow even believes his own lies
. The only person who has ever had a parallel intelligence rivaling national intelligence was Baba and the circumstances were ripe for that... it was high-stakes revolutionary and big shift/change time. No such situation exists today and so Ruto would have even no reason for that... that said he has nothing, which is reason he never saw his being shunted aside coming!