65 percent for ruto...on account that kiraitu n munya cannot sit together.. otherwise if munya n kiraitu agree..raila get 50 percent.Ruto will do well in tharaka,embu and Kikuyu diaspora..in central proper plus meru I expect raila to go as high as 35 percent..if uhuru risk everything otherwise raila generally raila get 20 percent and Ruto 80 percent.