1) Raila Odinga - statistically he need Kalonzo ukambani backing him at 85 percent like before and half of Mt Kenya to win. Both propositions looks improbable.
2) Lee Kinyanjui - he joined Azimio and even appointed a Luo cs - hoping he will get votes from Luo+Luhyas+Gusii - now limping - today he will see for himself that Nakuru is gone.
3) Buzeki - he thought he'd get significant Luhya diaspora vote - now left with Luos only.
4) Natembea - An alliance btw Ford-K and UDA in Tranzoia is simply unbeatable.
5) Kuttuny - He thought he'd piggyback Luhya votes in Cherangany -now he is gone.
7) Wangamati -An alliance btw Ford-K and UDA in Bungoma is simply unbeatable.
Anybody especially who was depending on diaspora Luhya votes like Buzeki and Lee are the hardest hit.
They have to go back to the drawing board....some may defect to UDA or ANC or Ford-k
Luhyas of Nairobi and Mombasa may sustain the kavirondo alliance (Luo, Gusii, Luhya) in cities but we shall see after few weeks how earthquake will be received when it goes back to western.