Only stupid luhyas without memory will believe that. In 1992 Luhyas led by Masinde Muliro and Wamalwa Snr supported Jaramogi hoping they would inherit Luo const. When Jaramogi died - Raila and Luos never gave such deal any second thought. They embarked on kicking Wamalwa Snr then acting as Ford-K chairman. When Wamalwa proved tough - they simply left ford-k and formed NDP.
Now fast forward now - not only have you taken away Weta Minority Leader and given it Orengo - you guys have mistreated MaDVD - he has no option except back Ruto - because already you have Oparanya as your Luhyas spokesman.
So money is on Weta+MaDVD signing up to Ruto - aiming for 1/3 - and competing with GEMA in 2032 - of if Ruto dies or goes mad or bankrupt.
Looking at western - Raila will struggle mightly in Bukusuland; he will also struggle in Vihiga; Kakamega will be split.
Generally I see lower Luhyas - supporting Raila - upper and middle luhyas supprorting Ruto
Maybe Weta but Mdvd will never leave RAO for Ruto, that would be a political death sentence. Mdvd is still young enough to vie for presidency and supporting Ruto over RAO would rob him a huge political constituency. RAO will extend an olive branch to him and he will accept. He needed to buried first before he can be negotiated with.