Uhuru gameplan

[RV Pundit]

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It doesnt make sense

[Nefertiti]

Raila is crafting NARC 2. Uhuru is the CM. Kalonzo irreducible minimum is VP - easy-peasy. Mdvd has kati-kati hopes but even he knows that's a pipedream - so as it become clear Ruto has neither katikati nor DPORK to offer - Mdvd will mumble something about national unity and settle for DPM. Gema get PM.

If BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.

If BBI remain dead - Raila still unleashes all the carrots with "BBI in 100 days" ala Kibaki.

Either way I see little chance of Ruto beating Raila. Uhuru is retiring and just giving back to Ruto the backstabber.

[Nowayhaha]

Robina  is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.

[RV Pundit]

So many unknowns; if BBI; if no BBi; if Uhuru; if Uhuru doesn't; if kalonzo; if kalonzo doesnt; if weta; if maDVD That is a lot of permutation and combination; one of them fails; the make-belief dies;

Ruto in the meantime can simply win by getting 70 percent of GEMA; improving Kalenjin registration and turnout;

There are no iffs; there are no lies about 100 days - the Court is very clear - that constitution changing process is not possible even in 1 year.

Raila is crafting NARC 2. Uhuru is the CM. Kalonzo irreducible minimum is VP - easy-peasy. Mdvd has kati-kati hopes but even he knows that's a pipedream - so as it become clear Ruto has neither katikati nor DPORK to offer - Mdvd will mumble something about national unity and settle for DPM. Gema get PM.

If BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.

If BBI remain dead - Raila still unleashes all the carrots with "BBI in 100 days" ala Kibaki.

Either way I see little chance of Ruto beating Raila. Uhuru is retiring and just giving back to Ruto the backstabber.

[Nefertiti]

Robina  is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.

How am I wishful? Nothing I write is not happening in the news, including the UDA tussles.

Here I have 2 options:

1) BBI stays dead - Ruto has some hope and it is a real match.

2) BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.

[RV Pundit]

BBI is dead - time barred - the losers of coa - will appeal at supreme court - that is another 3-4 months.

Robina  is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.

How am I wishful? Nothing I write is not happening in the news, including the UDA tussles.

Here I have 2 options:

1) BBI stays dead - Ruto has some hope and it is a real match.

2) BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.

[Nefertiti]

BBI was always meant to be election-combo - so Ruto cannot have D/PM without looking like a copy-cat. He must be either yes or no - not watermelon where he promise Gema one thing and pastoralists the other.

If say SCORK rule in Dec - it ample time to Aug-22 combo. You can only argue about when 1/3 seats take effect, etc. Which is still better than now after Maraga advisory.

Do you know without BBI you are actually staring at crisis.

BBI is dead - time barred - the losers of coa - will appeal at supreme court - that is another 3-4 months.

Robina  is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.

How am I wishful? Nothing I write is not happening in the news, including the UDA tussles.

Here I have 2 options:

1) BBI stays dead - Ruto has some hope and it is a real match.

2) BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.

[RV Pundit]

Power remain the same. BBI just bring fancy titles. BBI is therefore useless. Matiangi is like a prime minister - and there is no BBI. Ruto is DPORK in paper. Power will remain constant. The more people you bring - the more you have to share. Obviously Ruto doesnt want to have something to be shared with 5 people. Two or three.

BBI was always meant to be election-combo - so Ruto cannot have D/PM without looking like a copy-cat. He must be either yes or no - not watermelon where he promise Gema one thing and pastoralists the other.

If say SCORK rule in Dec - it ample time to Aug-22 combo. You can only argue about when 1/3 seats take effect, etc. Which is still better than now after Maraga advisory.

Do you know without BBI you are actually staring at crisis.

BBI is dead - time barred - the losers of coa - will appeal at supreme court - that is another 3-4 months.

Robina  is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.

How am I wishful? Nothing I write is not happening in the news, including the UDA tussles.

Here I have 2 options:

1) BBI stays dead - Ruto has some hope and it is a real match.

2) BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.