We tend to forget that Raila killed NASA long time ago - and just has weaken ODM - and has practically lost Kamba and most of luhyaland (Bukusu & Maragoli). So as you focus on the % of GEMA that Ruto may lose - remember Raila has lost at most about half of NASA. Ruto can easily replace the small % of GEMA that will follow Uhuru (if it comes to that) by winning say Bukuru or Kamba or Maragoli - just one of that is enough.
Sorry mate... if wishes were horses indeed!
It has taken pretty loooong for you to realize the obvious that your boy is cooked. Drowning man clutching at straws.... it is a survivor's instinct, whether it will save him or not remains to be seen.
It is a about time some obvious current state of affairs must be accepted at this point.... the
"mganga old man", babu as Vooke calls him has run rings around your dynamic duo. I wonder why it was not so obvious that he was doing another NDP/KANU on Uhuru... he has surreptitiously broken Jubilee and scattered it to the four winds without breaking a sweat. Whether Uhuru is playing him and stringing him along as was your false hope is not the issue now, Jubilee as we knew it is no more.
You are now reduced to giving us fables how Jubilee 1.0 was a mean machine..... yes, a mean machine for all that has gone wrong with Kenya since Kibaki's departure, Covid-19 or not!
What happened to the warriors that you had lined up for us..., they seem to have retreated without a whimper!
I wish we all took a view to reboot Kenya without the tribal/ethnic blinkers. I invite you to take the pragmatic route that I, Dear Mami and many here have taken; embrace whatever good comes out of BBI (when we get it back on the road after the Corona lockdown) and let us platform a new Kenya from there.
Barikiwa, welcome back and Stay strong chappy!