Yes, GEN Z is just the Black Lives Matter kind of online movements inspired by hashtags.
It will not translate much on the ground.
Most rural people are wondering why the kids are on the streets.
They hear Ruto raised bread and pads.
They are enjoying cheap ugali - and are wondering how big deal BREAD is.
Your entire analysis of kenya's elections has been based on tribal mathematics and it has proven to be correct, but this time, everything has changed. You'll need to completely re-work your MOAS for 2027.
Kenyans, when it comes to elections, they stick to their tribes. Where Raila says go, 99% of Luos will do; the same for other tribes. Until something different happens, Pundit and most pollsters may change their formulas. I can tell you that 99% of Kalenjins will be with Samoei Ruto for free. GEMA will likely split theirs like they did in the last election. Gachagua will likely sway a larger share, followed by Kina Kimani/Waiguru/Ndindi and the rest. Uhuru will also take his share, so if Gachagua sticks with Ruto, the majority will follow!
Gen Zs are folks from 12 to 27. If you remove those under 18 who cannot vote and the majority beaten to submission by drugs and alcohol, there are under 1 million voters. Still, the majority will stick with their tribal gods, so the number that will make a difference in voting is tiny. Most of those will also not vote; if they do, MPigs and politicians will buy them cheap, like Koinage prostitutes!
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