GEMA hate Raila and not Luos. They hate Raila for tormenting them during Kibakis era and Uhurus first term era. Its next to impossible for Raila to win GEMA hearts.
Now in regards to impatient . Ruto is the most patient politician. He never run 2013 elections but supported Uhuru in 2017 he shelved his ambitions again and supported Uhuru again.
Now for Raila you cant say thw same . He started campaigning against Kibaki imediately in 2013 . He stood against Kibaki and lost in 2007 elections he uses P.E.V to become PM . Is that being patient ?
After losing 2017 elections he decided to join government instead of playing his rightful position. Is that being Patient.
2022 Ruto will once and for all send him to retirement.
Ati Raila is solely dependent on Uhuru, How?. RAO is dependent on Ouru just like Kibaki was dependent on RAO or as Ouru was dependent on Ruto. That's politics just like trying to make Kikuyus hate-Luo is politics. Every King needs a King maker and Ouru is RAO's King maker. You get to power anyway you can. Ruto had Ouru in his corner but he blew it up by being too clever. Ana ugonjwa were impatience and anxiety which led to-Ku over Jipanga. Too clever for his own good.
Hiyo ni siasa ya kawaida. The amount of anti-kalenjin or anti-Ruto hatred from Raila and his opposition side is triple or many times the anti-luo/anti-Raila - Ruto has most of the time chosen to avoid tribal politics and focused on hustler nation as non-tribal alliance of the poor. Raila, Uhuru and NASA crew have no positive image...just the daily scaremongering of Ruto is a thief or Kalenjin PEV or now for weeks trying to milk Moi university turmoil. The propaganda that Ruto appointed only kalenjin in Jubilee 1.0 is so lame it not worthy a response. Jubilee 1.0 was long judged a big success.
Raila long lost the propaganda war. This he is 3rd election that Ruto has beaten him in propaganda war...2013 with anti-ICC propaganda...2017 with Jubilee 1.0 has delivered - with all electricity supply to huts and manyattas - and now 2022 with Hustler Nation.
Raila is now entirely dependent on Uhuru. If Uhuru pulls out - and does an handshake with Ruto or backs OKA - Raila candidature evaporate to thin air.
Ruto is a political genius who has taken entire gov and it's machinery plus combined opposition of NASA - and seems unbeatable.