Recent Posts

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 :) You mean Raila is dead, but we are discussing Ruto funeral
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Hii bhangi you guys take ni ya maajabu. Are you even normal
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Riggyg is impeached n can't be sub chief. Poor kaloi
 Uhuru will bow to Sugoi. It is over.
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Exact. Big fight in ODM, party is kaput, and one faction will reject blood-based.

Yes. Coast/Mijikenda/pastoralist are gone with Ruto. Gusii is gone with Matiang'i. Luhya is gone with DAP-K.

Luo will be big war.

Ruto gets the lion share but it might be a posioned chalice as Luo will demand DPORK or else.

Something to note.

In 2007,Kibaki got 34% while Kalonzo got 7%

Gachagua and Kalonzo will be starting at the coast with 40% when we factor Kamba and GEMA diaspora.With Raila out of the picture,We still don't know 100% how the Mijikenda Arabs  + Luo Luhya diaspora at the coast will vote.But with  Raila out of the picture,A divided Mijikenda vote GEMA kamba union and Luo Luhya divided vote KALONZO TRANSCENDS BEYOND 50% at the coast.
Statistically,Kalonzo gets coast at 55%.

There will be no enthusiasm for Luos to vote for Ruto.In western,If Natembeya and Wamalwa stick with Kalonzo,Its massacre for Ruto.

Ruto is now MORE EXPOSED AND WORRIED.

When he learnt that Raila couldn't make it a few weeks ago,He became so emotional and met Gideon.He doesn't work well under pressure.We saw it even during GENz protests.

Ruto is DONE 100%.

55% Kalonzo is quite possible yes. Probably higher.

Mijikenda/Swahili/Arabs may be difficult with all big fish in GoK. Joho, Mvurya, Kingi - even small fish like Omar Hassan. Jicho Pevu seems to have good political instincts - might lead a rebellion. He has smelt the vacuum.

But if Luo and Luhya turn Ruto is dead.
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Economy and 50+1 is king!

The man is Kibaki minus the economic chops.
Which great leader needs to deploy hit squads? :o
Remove the bribes and hit squads and you have Hasina or Rajoelina.

People have blinkers.
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Pundit, is a chicken seller you should know one does not count the chickens before they hatch.

Without Raila in the scene, Luo Nyanza is now unpredictable. Voter turnout will be at its lowest.

My take, Kalonzo is actually the biggest beneficiary of the post Raila era.

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Kenya Discussion / Re: Duale, MP Kibagendi face-off over SHA
« Last post by Modesty Blaise on Today at 11:33:02 AM »
Is this Auditor-General maneno or politics? Obviously Farouk draws the hard cash from somewhere but still.

Started with initial looting of 104 billion shillings. Fruits of poisoned tree. Then there is hospital payments chaos. Duale and company has established 100s of fake hospitals where SHA is funneling the money. I am also shocked why would Ruto gamble with something like healthcare or education! Does not make sense
Kibagendi doing the Lord's work. Majority do not understand how SHI SHA SHIT works. Instead of Duale explaining he is busy looting. He has outsourced most SHA functions to third parties. He has failed to release list of payments made to hospital once people found out he had recruited camel jockeys aka wariahe to loot SHA. Eastleigh is built on Kenyans tax payers stolen money.

I haven't done deep analysis of SHA to discern the truth. I am not sure Ruto can gamble with his signature achievement or allow it to be looted like Kemsa.

What does the Auditor-General say about SHA?

Proper looting I suspect is in the talanta bond.
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Economy and 50+1 is king!
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Exact. Big fight in ODM, party is kaput, and one faction will reject blood-based.

Yes. Coast/Mijikenda/pastoralist are gone with Ruto. Gusii is gone with Matiang'i. Luhya is gone with DAP-K.

Luo will be big war.

Ruto gets the lion share but it might be a posioned chalice as Luo will demand DPORK or else.

Something to note.

In 2007,Kibaki got 34% while Kalonzo got 7%

Gachagua and Kalonzo will be starting at the coast with 40% when we factor Kamba and GEMA diaspora.With Raila out of the picture,We still don't know 100% how the Mijikenda Arabs  + Luo Luhya diaspora at the coast will vote.But with  Raila out of the picture,A divided Mijikenda vote GEMA kamba union and Luo Luhya divided vote KALONZO TRANSCENDS BEYOND 50% at the coast.
Statistically,Kalonzo gets coast at 55%.

There will be no enthusiasm for Luos to vote for Ruto.In western,If Natembeya and Wamalwa stick with Kalonzo,Its massacre for Ruto.

Ruto is now MORE EXPOSED AND WORRIED.

When he learnt that Raila couldn't make it a few weeks ago,He became so emotional and met Gideon.He doesn't work well under pressure.We saw it even during GENz protests.

Ruto is DONE 100%.
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Kenya Discussion / Re: Raila is dead
« Last post by gout on Today at 11:13:30 AM »
Been dead for days if not a week. Just sijui saikolojiko management.
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