Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Kichwa on August 05, 2017, 03:17:01 PM
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Looking at the voter registration figures, a new tyranny of numbers factor has emerged. And the tyranny favours President Uhuru Kenyatta’s NASA rival Raila Odinga.
The Jubilee strongholds such as Elgeyo Marakwet, Uasin Gishu, Nandi, Nakuru, Kericho, Bomet, Murang'a, Kiambu, Nyeri, Nyandarua, Embu, Meru, West Pokot and Laikipia have about 7.4 million registered voters. In the NASA zones including Kakamega, Trans Nzoia, Bungoma, Busia, Vihiga, Kisumu, Siaya, Migori, Homa Bay, Kisii, Nyamira, Turkana, Lamu, Mombasa, Taita Taveta, Kwale, Kilifi, Makueni, Machakos and Kitui we are talking of 8.2 million votes. The remaining battleground counties, including Nairobi, have about 4 million votes.
It has become very dangerous for Uhuru and he has to really go flat out to win votes, including in places he ignored the last time.
Last time we were told the Jubilee regions had more registered voters than the Cord zones. This time we have the reverse. If NASA voters turn out in big numbers or huge percentages to vote, then he will go home. Forget about what the pollsters have been giving us. Their scientific figures have been in question and the truth of the matter is the tyranny of numbers favours NASA.
The President, who obviously works with intelligence, knows that things are bad and his frustration has sometimes been expressed from the nature of his campaigns and communication. He does not necessarily go out to endear himself to the electorate. You see him shouting and screaming, almost going out of control and starting to confront individual members of the campaign crowd. This is not the done thing unless you are frustrated. People don’t like a leader who looks at them as a massive clustered population and speaks to them threatening things like ‘I will deal with you when I get there’ and ‘I don't need your votes’. This costs votes. His handlers ought to have told him that he needs to be cool, level headed and amiable. Amiability has been missing in Uhuru, instead it has been seen more in Raila. When he talks about what he thinks have been the failings of Uhuru and Jubilee, he does not bring out anger. Uhuru is aware that he has a difficult assignment and has to put his best foot forward. Losing some of his 2013 political friends like Charity Ngilu and Professor Sam Ongeri is also taking its toll.
Muluka is a political analyst
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I noticed the same thing in registration numbers a few months ago.
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KM
I pointed that out a long time ago.
The response by our local JP agents was to lay claim to some of the areas with the mantra "the ground has shifted".
Remember before that, their position was that the election will be over at Registration and that "whoever registered more voters than the other would be the winner". It didn't pan out as they expected and the propagandists just shifted the goalposts.
The only way JP can win this is to steal. When told that, the bigots respond with unparalleled invective. They were always impossible to reason with due to their DNA containing huge amounts of fallacies. But with them staring at defeat, they are reduced to matusi machines.
Watch...
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I noticed the same thing in registration numbers a few months ago.
Tibim! But beware, u will be stalked like a few hours ago... :D :D :D
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The wind of righteousness is on NASA back, this time around God's children will make it to promised land...Canaan here we come...There is a big divide in Gema vote along gender line, a sizable number of Gema women, enough to cause a seismic shift are feed up with uthamaki nonsense citing uhuru inability to stop or fight corruption. Canaanites we are many.
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Well, nobody is whining about tyranny of numbers because it is said to favor NASWA. OK
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Nasa didn't register more than jubilee..vihiga for example led in few registered votes.Loose definition of strongholds for example tranzoia will unravel 50hrs from now.
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Nasa didn't register more than jubilee..vihiga for example led in few registered votes.Loose definition of strongholds for example tranzoia will unravel 50hrs from now.
Share your source here please
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Source of vihiga registering the least expected votes or the fact that Tranzoia is anything but stronghold of either party...Tranzoia right now is 50 50
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The issue was whether Jubilee registered more than NASA. Citing two places does not prove anything - as any standard five pupils would easily know.
Provide the areas (including that Vihiga and Trans Nzoia) and their numbers then give us the total and say: JP registered more...
I can pick Laikipia alone and make all manner of conclusions.
If you can mount a pedestal and call Narok a Jubilee zone on account of the governor being Jubilee I see no good reason why Kajiado and Trans Nzoia cannot be NASA zones. But then again, you do not base your actions on any consistency, rules or criteria, leave alone logic.
Not all places in Kenya can record a 300% increase in the number of voters since 2002, like Kiambu.
Source of vihiga registering the least expected votes or the fact that Tranzoia is anything but stronghold of either party...Tranzoia right now is 50 50
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I see no point arguing when we will know the answer in 24hrs. Let accept that NASA (in their grand delusion) registered more votes and Muluka is right. Let us wait meet here tomorrow at 9.
The issue was whether Jubilee registered more than NASA. Citing two places does not prove anything - as any standard five pupils would easily know.
Provide the areas (including that Vihiga and Trans Nzoia) and their numbers then give us the total and say: JP registered more...
I can pick Laikipia alone and make all manner of conclusions.
If you can mount a pedestal and call Narok a Jubilee zone on account of the governor being Jubilee I see no good reason why Kajiado and Trans Nzoia cannot be NASA zones. But then again, you do not base your actions on any consistency, rules or criteria, leave alone logic.
Not all places in Kenya can record a 300% increase in the number of voters since 2002, like Kiambu.
Source of vihiga registering the least expected votes or the fact that Tranzoia is anything but stronghold of either party...Tranzoia right now is 50 50
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You all take a chill pill... the ad hominem and indignified epiphets just shows none is confident of their claims.
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You keep on threatening people you disagree with that the answer will come in 24 hours as if we do not know that. Until the real answer comes, everything said including what you are saying is a "prediction". Somehow you want to act as if yours is the real deal. There is no difference between you and Prophet Owuor in that regard.
I see no point arguing when we will know the answer in 24hrs. Let accept that NASA (in their grand delusion) registered more votes and Muluka is right. Let us wait meet here tomorrow at 9.
The issue was whether Jubilee registered more than NASA. Citing two places does not prove anything - as any standard five pupils would easily know.
Provide the areas (including that Vihiga and Trans Nzoia) and their numbers then give us the total and say: JP registered more...
I can pick Laikipia alone and make all manner of conclusions.
If you can mount a pedestal and call Narok a Jubilee zone on account of the governor being Jubilee I see no good reason why Kajiado and Trans Nzoia cannot be NASA zones. But then again, you do not base your actions on any consistency, rules or criteria, leave alone logic.
Not all places in Kenya can record a 300% increase in the number of voters since 2002, like Kiambu.
Source of vihiga registering the least expected votes or the fact that Tranzoia is anything but stronghold of either party...Tranzoia right now is 50 50