Enjoy your delusions
Kenyans, when it comes to elections, they stick to their tribes. Where Raila says go, 99% of Luos will do; the same for other tribes. Until something different happens, Pundit and most pollsters may change their formulas. I can tell you that 99% of Kalenjins will be with Samoei Ruto for free. GEMA will likely split theirs like they did in the last election. Gachagua will likely sway a larger share, followed by Kina Kimani/Waiguru/Ndindi and the rest. Uhuru will also take his share, so if Gachagua sticks with Ruto, the majority will follow!Enjoy your delusions
Your entire analysis of kenya's elections has been based on tribal mathematics and it has proven to be correct, but this time, everything has changed. You'll need to completely re-work your MOAS for 2027.
It's over for Ruto. I don't blame you for missing this (no one saw this coming) It's one of those black swan events.
Even if Ruto survives for another 3 years, he's not coming back in 2027. What we are witnessing is history in the making that will fundamentally transform the politics of Kenya for the next 100 years.
The internet and social media have changed things. It took 20 years to get rid of Moi, but the world has changed and black swan events can now take place in a moment.
I've seen the press release Ruto put out forming some stupid committee and asking Gen z's to send two representatives. It's over. Listen to what they are saying. There's no forgiveness after the killings and they make up 70% of they population and the know it.
The next problem is the land amendment bill. Gen Z's are already on this one.
I've moved on to Omkiyah Omtatah and Charles Keter. I am grateful to be alive and witness the transformational change in kenya, which I never thought would happen in my lifetime.
Kenyans, when it comes to elections, they stick to their tribes. Where Raila says go, 99% of Luos will do; the same for other tribes. Until something different happens, Pundit and most pollsters may change their formulas. I can tell you that 99% of Kalenjins will be with Samoei Ruto for free. GEMA will likely split theirs like they did in the last election. Gachagua will likely sway a larger share, followed by Kina Kimani/Waiguru/Ndindi and the rest. Uhuru will also take his share, so if Gachagua sticks with Ruto, the majority will follow!
Your entire analysis of kenya's elections has been based on tribal mathematics and it has proven to be correct, but this time, everything has changed. You'll need to completely re-work your MOAS for 2027.
I hear from the grapevine that they have a soft spot for one Dr. Fred Matiangi to be Kenya's PORK. I concur.,Dr. Matiangi can take Kenya places. Right choice.
?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 30, 2024</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>Mary Emase the MP of Teso South usijaribu kukanyanga nyumbani. Utasalimiwa mama nanii. #RutoMustGo#OccupyEverywhere pic.twitter.com/uOlc6kBTwH
— Francis Gaitho (@FGaitho237) June 30, 2024