Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on August 15, 2022, 07:30:38 AM
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As at 2pm at night - with 241/291
William Ruto
UDA
51.12%
6,081,048 Votes
Raila Odinga
AZIMIO
48.20%
5,734,314 Votes
George Wajackoyah
RPK
0.45%
53,592 Votes
David Waihiga
AGANO
0.23%
27,336 Votes
11,896,290
Total votes cast
241 of 292
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Its 2.40am Monday Morning and we are waiting for the Presidential Results in the following Constituencies to be announced then its a wrap
Pending Constituencies
1. Mathare
2. Kilifi North
3. Kilifi South
4. Malindi
5. Magarini
6. Bura
7. Lagdera
8. Fafi
9. Wajir North
10. Wajir East
11. Eldas
12. Mandera West
13. Banissa
14. Mandera North
15. Tigania East
16. Tharaka
17. Runyenjes
18. Kinangop
19. Githunguri
20. Turkana North
21. Loima
22.Turkana South
23. Kapenguria
24. Kacheliba
25. Pokot South
26. Samburu East
27. Kwanza
28. Mosop
29. Eldama Ravine
30. Bahati
31. Narok North
32. Narok South
33. Narok West
34. Kajiado East
35. Kajiado West
36. Bumula
37. Kanduyi
38. Webuye East
39. Tongaren
40. Matayos
41. Budalangi
42. Alego Usonga
43. Nyakach
44. Karachuonyo
45. Mbita
46. South Mugirango
47. Borabu
48. Ruaraka
49. Starehe
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Seem there has been more verified results just streaming in - Githunguri, Likoni, Starehe, Mathare etc
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The last few minutes - the updates are on these
6 minutes ago
Derrick Oluoch
Verified Presidential Results: Wajir West Constituency – Wajir County
Raila Odinga - 13,712
William Ruto - 8,152
Waihiga Mwaure - 36
George Wajackoyah - 121
Registered voters - 35,803
Valid votes cast - 22,021
Rejected ballots - 140
9 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Loima Constituency – Turkana County
Raila Odinga - 13,139
William Ruto - 8,229
Waihiga Mwaure - 36
George Wajackoyah - 48
Registered voters - 36,515
Valid votes cast - 21,452
Rejected ballots - 86
16 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Githunguri Constituency – Kiambu County
Raila Odinga - 13,429
William Ruto - 58,343
Waihiga Mwaure - 270
George Wajackoyah - 296
Registered voters - 104,592
Valid votes cast - 72,338
Rejected ballots - 469
17 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Lagdera Constituency – Garissa County
Raila Odinga - 12,900
William Ruto - 2,015
Waihiga Mwaure - 10
George Wajackoyah - 58
Registered voters - 26,949
Valid votes cast - 14,983
Rejected ballots - 78
19 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: South Mugirango Constituency – Kisii County
Raila Odinga - 30,499
William Ruto - 21,287
Waihiga Mwaure - 93
George Wajackoyah - 227
Registered voters - 79,004
Valid votes cast - 52,106
Rejected ballots - 455
21 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Samburu West Constituency – Samburu County
Raila Odinga - 8,147
William Ruto - 9,108
Waihiga Mwaure - 17
George Wajackoyah - 51
Registered voters -26,794
Valid votes cast - 17,323
Rejected ballots - 111
27 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Likoni Constituency – Mombasa County
Raila Odinga - 24,445
William Ruto - 12,908
Waihiga Mwaure - 47
George Wajackoyah - 244
Registered voters - 94,764
Valid votes cast - 37,644
Rejected ballots - 547
28 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Dagoretti North Constituency – Nairobi County
Raila Odinga - 56,535
William Ruto - 25,764
Waihiga Mwaure - 469
George Wajackoyah - 436
Registered voters - 157,659
Valid votes cast - 83,204
Rejected ballots - 897
29 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Bahati Constituency – Nakuru County
Raila Odinga - 18,666
William Ruto - 44,797
Waihiga Mwaure - 256
George Wajackoyah - 291
Registered voters - 97,040
Valid votes cast - 64,010
Rejected ballots - 468
31 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Runyenjes Constituency – Embu County
Raila Odinga - 5,191
William Ruto - 57,695
Waihiga Mwaure - 104
George Wajackoyah - 396
Registered voters - 93,326
Valid votes cast - 63,386
Rejected ballots - 654
32 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Mathare Constituency – Nairobi County
Raila Odinga - 41,187
William Ruto - 24,814
Waihiga Mwaure - 95
George Wajackoyah - 260
Registered voters - 123,163
Valid votes cast - 66,356
Rejected ballots - 587
34 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Starehe Constituency – Nairobi County
Raila Odinga - 46,286
William Ruto - 43,140
Waihiga Mwaure - 341
George Wajackoyah - 417
Registered voters - 167,656
Valid votes cast - 90,184
Rejected ballots - 698
35 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Kajiado West Constituency – Kajiado County
Raila Odinga - 29,716
William Ruto - 28,272
Waihiga Mwaure - 73
George Wajackoyah - 142
Registered voters - 75,173
Valid votes cast - 58,204
Rejected ballots - 281
37 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Turkana North Constituency – Turkana County
Raila Odinga - 15,318
William Ruto - 10,675
Waihiga Mwaure - 43
George Wajackoyah -53
Registered voters - 42,937
Valid votes cast - 26,089
Rejected ballots - 83
39 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Ruaraka Constituency – Nairobi County
Raila Odinga - 58,481
William Ruto - 15,182
Waihiga Mwaure – 68
George Wajackoyah - 159
Registered voters – 124,482
Valid votes cast – 73,890
Rejected ballots - 625
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Waiting for update on those 15 or so - and that leaves us with final 30 something.
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So with those 13 or so - Ruto still has 400k lead
William Ruto
UDA
51.18%
6,406,388 Votes
Raila Odinga
AZIMIO
48.14%
6,025,940 Votes
George Wajackoyah
RPK
0.45%
56,055 Votes
David Waihiga
AGANO
0.23%
28,762 Votes
12,517,145
Total votes tallied
253 of 291
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The last 38 - with 253 reporting
1 Kilifi North
2 Kilifi South
3 Malindi
4 Magarini
5 Bura
6 Fafi
7 Wajir North
8 Wajir East
9 Eldas
10 Mandera West
11 Banissa
12 Mandera North
13 Tigania East
14 Tharaka
15 Kinangop
16 Turkana South
17 Kapenguria
18 Kacheliba
19 Pokot South
20 Samburu East
21 Kwanza
22 Mosop
23 Eldama Ravine
24 Narok North
25 Narok South
26 Narok West
27 Kajiado East
28 Bumula
29 Kanduyi
30 Webuye East
31 Tongaren
32 Matayos
33 Budalangi
34 Alego Usonga
35 Nyakach
36 Karachuonyo
37 Mbita
38 Borabu
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The last few minutes - the updates are on these
6 minutes ago
Derrick Oluoch
Verified Presidential Results: Wajir West Constituency – Wajir County
Raila Odinga - 13,712
William Ruto - 8,152
Waihiga Mwaure - 36
George Wajackoyah - 121
Registered voters - 35,803
Valid votes cast - 22,021
Rejected ballots - 140
9 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Loima Constituency – Turkana County
Raila Odinga - 13,139
William Ruto - 8,229
Waihiga Mwaure - 36
George Wajackoyah - 48
Registered voters - 36,515
Valid votes cast - 21,452
Rejected ballots - 86
16 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Githunguri Constituency – Kiambu County
Raila Odinga - 13,429
William Ruto - 58,343
Waihiga Mwaure - 270
George Wajackoyah - 296
Registered voters - 104,592
Valid votes cast - 72,338
Rejected ballots - 469
17 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Lagdera Constituency – Garissa County
Raila Odinga - 12,900
William Ruto - 2,015
Waihiga Mwaure - 10
George Wajackoyah - 58
Registered voters - 26,949
Valid votes cast - 14,983
Rejected ballots - 78
19 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: South Mugirango Constituency – Kisii County
Raila Odinga - 30,499
William Ruto - 21,287
Waihiga Mwaure - 93
George Wajackoyah - 227
Registered voters - 79,004
Valid votes cast - 52,106
Rejected ballots - 455
21 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Samburu West Constituency – Samburu County
Raila Odinga - 8,147
William Ruto - 9,108
Waihiga Mwaure - 17
George Wajackoyah - 51
Registered voters -26,794
Valid votes cast - 17,323
Rejected ballots - 111
27 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Likoni Constituency – Mombasa County
Raila Odinga - 24,445
William Ruto - 12,908
Waihiga Mwaure - 47
George Wajackoyah - 244
Registered voters - 94,764
Valid votes cast - 37,644
Rejected ballots - 547
28 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Dagoretti North Constituency – Nairobi County
Raila Odinga - 56,535
William Ruto - 25,764
Waihiga Mwaure - 469
George Wajackoyah - 436
Registered voters - 157,659
Valid votes cast - 83,204
Rejected ballots - 897
29 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Bahati Constituency – Nakuru County
Raila Odinga - 18,666
William Ruto - 44,797
Waihiga Mwaure - 256
George Wajackoyah - 291
Registered voters - 97,040
Valid votes cast - 64,010
Rejected ballots - 468
31 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Runyenjes Constituency – Embu County
Raila Odinga - 5,191
William Ruto - 57,695
Waihiga Mwaure - 104
George Wajackoyah - 396
Registered voters - 93,326
Valid votes cast - 63,386
Rejected ballots - 654
32 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Mathare Constituency – Nairobi County
Raila Odinga - 41,187
William Ruto - 24,814
Waihiga Mwaure - 95
George Wajackoyah - 260
Registered voters - 123,163
Valid votes cast - 66,356
Rejected ballots - 587
34 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Starehe Constituency – Nairobi County
Raila Odinga - 46,286
William Ruto - 43,140
Waihiga Mwaure - 341
George Wajackoyah - 417
Registered voters - 167,656
Valid votes cast - 90,184
Rejected ballots - 698
35 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Kajiado West Constituency – Kajiado County
Raila Odinga - 29,716
William Ruto - 28,272
Waihiga Mwaure - 73
George Wajackoyah - 142
Registered voters - 75,173
Valid votes cast - 58,204
Rejected ballots - 281
37 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Turkana North Constituency – Turkana County
Raila Odinga - 15,318
William Ruto - 10,675
Waihiga Mwaure - 43
George Wajackoyah -53
Registered voters - 42,937
Valid votes cast - 26,089
Rejected ballots - 83
39 minutes ago
Verified Presidential Results: Ruaraka Constituency – Nairobi County
Raila Odinga - 58,481
William Ruto - 15,182
Waihiga Mwaure – 68
George Wajackoyah - 159
Registered voters – 124,482
Valid votes cast – 73,890
Rejected ballots - 625
That comes to Raila 387651 vs DP at 370481 . That only gives Raila about 17k vote addition.
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Yes looking at remainder - Raila will gain marginally - but overturn the 400k gap is hard if not impossible
That comes to Raila 387651 vs DP at 370481 . That only gives Raila about 17k vote addition.
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With over 350,000 lead, these 7 constituencies will sink Raila further. These are heavy hitters where Ruto wins by over 30,000
15. Tigania East
16. Tharaka
17. Runyenjes
18. Kinangop
19. Githunguri
22 Mosop
23 Eldama Ravine
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Analysis the remainder
4 - from Kilifi county - pro-Raila - but very low turnout
8 - From Bura to Mandera - pro-Raila but vey low turnout
3- From Mt kenya - pro Ruto - good turnout
1- Turkana - pro-raila
3 - Pokot - pro-ruto
5- From Maa - pro-Raila by small margin
5- Bukusu pro-ruto including kwanza
2 - Kalenjin
2- Busia - strongly Raila
4 - Luo Nyanza
1 - Gusii pro-Raila
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Analysis the remainder
4 - from Kilifi county - pro-Raila - but very low turnout
8 - From Bura to Mandera - pro-Raila but vey low turnout
3- From Mt kenya - pro Ruto - good turnout
1- Turkana - pro-raila
3 - Pokot - pro-ruto
5- From Maa - pro-Raila by small margin
5- Bukusu pro-ruto including kwanza
2 - Kalenjin
2- Busia - strongly Raila
4 - Luo Nyanza
1 - Gusii pro-Raila
They cancel each other with Raila emerging with paltry 40K. However with over 350,000 lead, Ruto will cross the finish like of 50%+ over 300,000, which is 51%
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Yes looking at numbers - Raila has 4 Luo, 2 Busia, 1 Borabu, 4 kilifi(10) are heavy hitters left - compared to Ruto 2 Nandis, 3 Pokot, 3 mt kenya, 5 Bukusu(13) - advantage Ruto - Alego is big one.
The 5 maa and 8 somalis - Raila will get small advantage - which cancel out Ruto early advantage
So generally I dont expect Raila to clawback much
With over 350,000 lead, these 7 constituencies will sink Raila further. These are heavy hitters where Ruto wins by over 30,000
15. Tigania East
16. Tharaka
17. Runyenjes
18. Kinangop
19. Githunguri
22 Mosop
23 Eldama Ravine
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Big risk is to watch those 4 Luo - Alego is big one - if Raila was to pull a Tharaka Nithi he would need three such.
They cancel each other with Raila emerging with paltry 40K. However with over 350,000 lead, Ruto will cross the finish like of 50%+ over 300,000, which is 51%
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Big risk is to watch those 4 Luo - Alego is big one - if Raila was to pull a Tharaka Nithi he would need three such.
They cancel each other with Raila emerging with paltry 40K. However with over 350,000 lead, Ruto will cross the finish like of 50%+ over 300,000, which is 51%
It is the only biggest one with 86K(provincial), the others are Runyenjes type of 40-50K. Still with 375K lead and still having Nandi, Meru, and the rest, there is no way, he will claw back 250K
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Yes I think in registered votes Alego and Kilifi North are risky ones. Kilifi north has one missing 34A and it's 34B is corrupted.
It is the only biggest one with 86K(provincial), the others are Runyenjes type of 40-50K. Still with 375K lead and still having Nandi, Meru, and the rest, there is no way, he will claw back 250K
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Remove Samburu East and West - I think Nation made a mistake - so down to 36 Const
1 Kilifi North
2 Kilifi South
3 Malindi
4 Magarini
5 Bura
6 Fafi
7 Wajir North
8 Eldas
9 Mandera West
10 Banissa
11 Mandera North
12 Tigania East
13 Tharaka
14 Kinangop
15 Turkana South
16 Kapenguria
17 Kacheliba
18 Pokot South
19 Kwanza
20 Mosop
21 Eldama Ravine
22 Narok North
23 Narok South
24 Narok West
25 Kajiado East
26 Bumula
27 Kanduyi
28 Webuye East
29 Tongaren
30 Matayos
31 Budalangi
32 Alego Usonga
33 Nyakach
34 Karachuonyo
35 Mbita
36 Borabu
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Yes I think in registered votes Alego and Kilifi North are risky ones. Kilifi north has one missing 34A and it's 34B is corrupted.
It is the only biggest one with 86K(provincial), the others are Runyenjes type of 40-50K. Still with 375K lead and still having Nandi, Meru, and the rest, there is no way, he will claw back 250K
Missing 34a if from the highlighted poling station have paltry numbers based on the other two areas Maybe 150 votes at best. That is the only thing missing
Kibaoni Primary School - 01 Raila 206/ Ruto 78
Reported
Kibaoni Primary School - 02
Pending
Kibaoni Primary School - 03 Raila 213 Ruto 89
Reported
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Citizen TV saying 32 remaining
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Citizen TV saying 32 remaining
I think Standard earlier read all the results from 40 remaining constituencies. Ruto had little over 1 million and Raila had 923,000 and some change. Was looking for the form but it is not online. I think the final number is 50.5/6, which is 51%
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Yes unless something tragic happens Ruto has it..big risk is 50% not Raila
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Yes unless something tragic happens Ruto has it..big risk is 50% not Raila
Ktn (banner) reported a while ago that constitutional threshold has been met, which I took to mean someone has crossed 50%+1. On provincial results, according to Nation, Ruto had 49.91% 6,703,493 Vote With, 41,575 of 46,229 Polling stations reporting (34A), so Someone will cross the 50% mark easily. On numbers, Ruto looks increasingly the one to do it.
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Yes all independent tallying of form34A and 34B indicate Ruto has won. Azimio are taking their supporters through a rollercaster so they can claim rigging.
Ktn (banner) reported a while ago that constitutional threshold has been met, which I took to mean someone has crossed 50%+1. On provincial results, according to Nation, Ruto had 49.91% 6,703,493 Vote With, 41,575 of 46,229 Polling stations reporting (34A), so Someone will cross the 50% mark easily. On numbers, Ruto looks increasingly the one to do it.