OFFICIAL IEBC RESULT

[RV Pundit]

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As at 2pm at night - with 241/291



William Ruto
UDA
51.12%
6,081,048 Votes


Raila Odinga
AZIMIO
48.20%
5,734,314 Votes


George Wajackoyah
RPK


0.45%

53,592 Votes


David Waihiga
AGANO


0.23%

27,336 Votes

11,896,290
Total votes cast
241 of 292

[RV Pundit]

Its 2.40am Monday Morning and we are waiting for the Presidential Results in the following Constituencies to be announced then its a wrap
Pending  Constituencies
1. Mathare
2. Kilifi North
3. Kilifi South
4. Malindi
5. Magarini
6. Bura
7. Lagdera
8. Fafi
9. Wajir North
10. Wajir East
11. Eldas
12. Mandera West
13. Banissa
14. Mandera North
15. Tigania East
16. Tharaka
17. Runyenjes
18. Kinangop
19. Githunguri
20. Turkana North
21. Loima
22.Turkana South
23. Kapenguria
24. Kacheliba
25. Pokot South
26. Samburu East
27. Kwanza
28.  Mosop
29. Eldama Ravine
30. Bahati
31. Narok North
32. Narok South
33. Narok West
34. Kajiado East
35. Kajiado West
36. Bumula
37. Kanduyi
38. Webuye East
39. Tongaren
40. Matayos
41. Budalangi
42. Alego Usonga
43. Nyakach
44. Karachuonyo
45. Mbita
46. South Mugirango
47. Borabu
48. Ruaraka
49. Starehe

[RV Pundit]

Seem there has been more verified results just streaming in - Githunguri, Likoni, Starehe, Mathare etc

[RV Pundit]

[RV Pundit]

Waiting for update on those 15 or so - and that leaves us with final 30 something.

[RV Pundit]

So with those 13 or so - Ruto still has 400k lead


William Ruto
UDA
51.18%
6,406,388 Votes


Raila Odinga
AZIMIO
48.14%
6,025,940 Votes


George Wajackoyah
RPK


0.45%

56,055 Votes


David Waihiga
AGANO


0.23%

28,762 Votes

12,517,145
Total votes tallied
253 of 291

[RV Pundit]

The last 38 - with 253 reporting
1    Kilifi North
2    Kilifi South
3    Malindi
4    Magarini
5    Bura
6    Fafi
7    Wajir North
8    Wajir East
9    Eldas
10    Mandera West
11    Banissa
12    Mandera North
13    Tigania East
14    Tharaka
15    Kinangop
16   Turkana South
17    Kapenguria
18    Kacheliba
19    Pokot South
20    Samburu East
21    Kwanza
22     Mosop
23    Eldama Ravine
24    Narok North
25    Narok South
26    Narok West
27    Kajiado East
28    Bumula
29    Kanduyi
30    Webuye East
31    Tongaren
32    Matayos
33    Budalangi
34    Alego Usonga
35    Nyakach
36    Karachuonyo
37    Mbita
38    Borabu

[mankind]

   That comes to  Raila 387651 vs DP at 370481 . That only gives Raila about 17k  vote addition.

[RV Pundit]

Yes looking at remainder - Raila will gain marginally - but overturn the 400k gap is hard if not impossible

   That comes to  Raila 387651 vs DP at 370481 . That only gives Raila about 17k  vote addition.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

With over 350,000 lead, these 7 constituencies will sink Raila further. These are heavy hitters where Ruto wins by over 30,000
15. Tigania East
16. Tharaka
17. Runyenjes
18. Kinangop
19. Githunguri
22  Mosop
23  Eldama Ravine

[RV Pundit]

Analysis the remainder
4 - from Kilifi county - pro-Raila - but very low turnout
8 - From Bura to Mandera - pro-Raila but vey low turnout
3-  From Mt kenya - pro Ruto - good turnout
1- Turkana - pro-raila
3 - Pokot - pro-ruto
5- From Maa - pro-Raila by small margin
5- Bukusu pro-ruto including kwanza
2 - Kalenjin
2- Busia - strongly Raila
4 - Luo Nyanza
1 - Gusii pro-Raila

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Analysis the remainder
4 - from Kilifi county - pro-Raila - but very low turnout
8 - From Bura to Mandera - pro-Raila but vey low turnout
3-  From Mt kenya - pro Ruto - good turnout
1- Turkana - pro-raila
3 - Pokot - pro-ruto
5- From Maa - pro-Raila by small margin
5- Bukusu pro-ruto including kwanza
2 - Kalenjin
2- Busia - strongly Raila
4 - Luo Nyanza
1 - Gusii pro-Raila

They cancel each other with Raila emerging with paltry 40K. However with over 350,000 lead, Ruto will cross the finish like of 50%+ over 300,000, which is 51%

[RV Pundit]

Yes looking at numbers - Raila has 4 Luo, 2 Busia, 1 Borabu, 4 kilifi(10) are heavy hitters left - compared to Ruto 2 Nandis, 3 Pokot, 3 mt kenya, 5 Bukusu(13) - advantage Ruto - Alego is big one.

The 5 maa and 8 somalis - Raila will get small advantage - which cancel out Ruto early advantage

So generally I dont expect Raila to clawback much

With over 350,000 lead, these 7 constituencies will sink Raila further. These are heavy hitters where Ruto wins by over 30,000
15. Tigania East
16. Tharaka
17. Runyenjes
18. Kinangop
19. Githunguri
22  Mosop
23  Eldama Ravine

[RV Pundit]

Big risk is to watch those 4 Luo - Alego is big one - if Raila was to pull a Tharaka Nithi he would need three such.

They cancel each other with Raila emerging with paltry 40K. However with over 350,000 lead, Ruto will cross the finish like of 50%+ over 300,000, which is 51%

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Big risk is to watch those 4 Luo - Alego is big one - if Raila was to pull a Tharaka Nithi he would need three such.

They cancel each other with Raila emerging with paltry 40K. However with over 350,000 lead, Ruto will cross the finish like of 50%+ over 300,000, which is 51%

It is the only biggest one with 86K(provincial), the others are Runyenjes type of 40-50K. Still with 375K lead and still having Nandi, Meru, and the rest, there is no way, he will claw back 250K

[RV Pundit]

Yes I think in registered votes Alego and Kilifi North are risky ones. Kilifi north has one missing 34A and it's 34B is corrupted.

It is the only biggest one with 86K(provincial), the others are Runyenjes type of 40-50K. Still with 375K lead and still having Nandi, Meru, and the rest, there is no way, he will claw back 250K

[RV Pundit]

Remove Samburu East and West - I think Nation made a mistake - so down to 36 Const

   1    Kilifi North
   2    Kilifi South
   3    Malindi
   4    Magarini
   5    Bura
   6    Fafi
   7    Wajir North
   8    Eldas
   9    Mandera West
   10    Banissa
   11    Mandera North
   12    Tigania East
   13    Tharaka
   14    Kinangop
   15   Turkana South
   16    Kapenguria
   17    Kacheliba
   18    Pokot South
   19    Kwanza
   20     Mosop
   21    Eldama Ravine
   22    Narok North
   23    Narok South
   24    Narok West
   25    Kajiado East
   26    Bumula
   27    Kanduyi
   28    Webuye East
   29    Tongaren
   30    Matayos
   31    Budalangi
   32    Alego Usonga
   33    Nyakach
   34    Karachuonyo
   35    Mbita
   36    Borabu

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Yes I think in registered votes Alego and Kilifi North are risky ones. Kilifi north has one missing 34A and it's 34B is corrupted.

It is the only biggest one with 86K(provincial), the others are Runyenjes type of 40-50K. Still with 375K lead and still having Nandi, Meru, and the rest, there is no way, he will claw back 250K

Missing 34a if from the highlighted poling station have paltry numbers based on the other two areas Maybe 150 votes at best. That is the only thing missing
Kibaoni Primary School - 01  Raila 206/ Ruto 78   
Reported
Kibaoni Primary School - 02   
Pending
Kibaoni Primary School - 03    Raila 213 Ruto 89
Reported

[RV Pundit]

Citizen TV saying 32 remaining

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

Citizen TV saying 32 remaining

I think Standard earlier read all the results from 40 remaining constituencies. Ruto had little over 1 million and Raila had 923,000 and some change. Was looking for the form but it is not online. I think the final number is 50.5/6, which is 51%