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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on July 18, 2022, 03:37:08 PM

Title: Sarai has improved in Mombasa - look like beneficiary of Sonko
Post by: RV Pundit on July 18, 2022, 03:37:08 PM
He needs to talk to PAA Kingi for a merge

Title: Re: Sarai has improved in Mombasa - look like beneficiary of Sonko
Post by: RV Pundit on July 18, 2022, 03:40:13 PM
Kakemega is neck to neck
Title: Re: Sarai has improved in Mombasa - look like beneficiary of Sonko
Post by: Nefertiti on July 18, 2022, 04:10:54 PM
Nassir is now unassailable lead. PAA cannot save Sarai but Sonko departure is overall bad for Azimio.

Quote from: RV Pundit on July 18, 2022, 03:37:08 PM
He needs to talk to PAA Kingi for a merge

Title: Re: Sarai has improved in Mombasa - look like beneficiary of Sonko
Post by: Nefertiti on July 18, 2022, 04:12:58 PM
I believe unexpected Malala struggle to be a result of Ruto embarassing Mdvd by running in Sabatia. UDA vs ANC confusion.

What is useless Jirongo plan? 5%  :o

Quote from: RV Pundit on July 18, 2022, 03:40:13 PM
Kakemega is neck to neck
Title: Re: Sarai has improved in Mombasa - look like beneficiary of Sonko
Post by: RV Pundit on July 18, 2022, 04:25:52 PM
Vihiga and Kakamega are different ball games.
Malala will win because he has start strong in the Kakamega north -
Likuyani is basically Bukusu - that is malala bila kupingwa. They should be in Bungoma or Tranzoia.
Big one is Malava - where Kabra live - they have like 150k votes -  they dont like Raila - i think since days of Kabra sugar versus west mount thing.
So Malala is already 200K solid start.
Then rest of kakamega is split...50-50 btw Baraza and Malala.
Quote from: Robina on July 18, 2022, 04:12:58 PM
I believe unexpected Malala struggle to be a result of Ruto embarassing Mdvd by running in Sabatia. UDA vs ANC confusion.

What is useless Jirongo plan? 5%  :o

Quote from: RV Pundit on July 18, 2022, 03:40:13 PM
Kakemega is neck to neck
Title: Re: Sarai has improved in Mombasa - look like beneficiary of Sonko
Post by: Nefertiti on July 18, 2022, 05:00:52 PM
ODM tried to counter north with Savula. Malala had whipped up Luhya nationalism before KK deal... and was leading. If UDA had stayed out as they have done in Ford-K territory - ANC would easily sweep.

Now this 2% lead can go either way.

Quote from: RV Pundit on July 18, 2022, 04:25:52 PM
Vihiga and Kakamega are different ball games.
Malala will win because he has start strong in the Kakamega north -
Likuyani is basically Bukusu - that is malala bila kupingwa. They should be in Bungoma or Tranzoia.
Big one is Malava - where Kabra live - they have like 150k votes -  they dont like Raila - i think since days of Kabra sugar versus west mount thing.
So Malala is already 200K solid start.
Then rest of kakamega is split...50-50 btw Baraza and Malala.
Quote from: Robina on July 18, 2022, 04:12:58 PM
I believe unexpected Malala struggle to be a result of Ruto embarassing Mdvd by running in Sabatia. UDA vs ANC confusion.

What is useless Jirongo plan? 5%  :o
Title: Re: Sarai has improved in Mombasa - look like beneficiary of Sonko
Post by: Nefertiti on July 18, 2022, 05:06:19 PM
i see entire Mobasa UDA has mere Nyali. Rest is ODM - MPs, senator, governor