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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:31:03 PM

Title: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:31:03 PM
Nakuru UDA will sweep except in Bahati - and it's neck to neck -Raymond Moi leading in Rongai,Naivasha is neck to neck.

Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:31:53 PM
Tharaka - Njoka is down - Muthomi is up. Seem UDA struggling here.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:33:22 PM
Muranga - Jamleck ahead - but it appears all are within margin of error. UDA winning most of the other seats.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:52:07 PM
Kajiado is neck to neck with Azimio
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: Kadudu on June 29, 2022, 01:00:44 PM
Mizani should indicate the party of the contestants in the polls. This way we do not need to keep on guesing to which party the contestants belong.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 01:01:28 PM
Yes they try in facebook. But indeed it should be an easy fix for them. I think this kind of polling should be encouraged - and Mizani are doing a good job. It shouldnt just be presidential. But almost all seats.

Quote from: Kadudu on June 29, 2022, 01:00:44 PM
Mizani should indicate the party of the contestants in the polls. This way we do not need to keep on guesing to which party the contestants belong.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: gout on June 29, 2022, 01:05:40 PM
Hii ya Murang'a - looks Nairobish sample. With Wahome and Nyoro assured of their seats, they should join Kang'ata mugithi.

Muthomi must have been under serious assault from Munya but from today atafikisha 70%.

Njuuri wishes of having hasora nation camping in Mt Kenya East is going to be.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 01:08:36 PM
Problem Muranga - Irungu, Kangata and water guy - are supporting Ruto. They are four strong candidates. This will go to the wire with winner - sneaking at 35% - but yes Kangata should get Ndidi - though Ruto has probably booked Ndidi to assist Gachagua and Kuria
Quote from: gout on June 29, 2022, 01:05:40 PM
Hii ya Murang'a - looks Nairobish sample. With Wahome and Nyoro assured of their seats, they should join Kang'ata mugithi.

Muthomi must have been under serious assault from Munya but from today atafikisha 70%.

Njuuri wishes of having hasora nation camping in Mt Kenya East is going to be.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: gout on June 29, 2022, 01:10:49 PM
KNBS, National Research Fund, Data Commission and CA, should have a shareable sampling framework and cell numbers available to any researcher. Opinion polls should be a key component of public participation.
 
Quote from: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 01:01:28 PM
Yes they try in facebook. But indeed it should be an easy fix for them. I think this kind of polling should be encouraged - and Mizani are doing a good job. It shouldnt just be presidential. But almost all seats.

Quote from: Kadudu on June 29, 2022, 01:00:44 PM
Mizani should indicate the party of the contestants in the polls. This way we do not need to keep on guesing to which party the contestants belong.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: gout on June 29, 2022, 01:29:31 PM
On a casual look the sample from Murang'a is not representative.

https://www.facebook.com/mizaniafrica/photos/pcb.751218409554109/751218372887446

Mizani has 56% rural and 44% urban as sample while KNBS put the population at 89% rural and 11% urban.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 02:34:45 PM
Yes they do that in every survey don't understand their logic..and given these are telephone interviews how do they distinguish
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: Nefertiti on June 29, 2022, 06:39:19 PM
Nkedianye need to step down for Lenku. combined Azimio is wide lead.

Quote from: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:52:07 PM
Kajiado is neck to neck with Azimio
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 06:46:45 PM
Quote from: Robina on June 29, 2022, 06:39:19 PM
Nkedianye need to step down for Lenku. combined Azimio is wide lead.

Quote from: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:52:07 PM
Kajiado is neck to neck with Azimio
it doesn't work like that... people support a candidate for many reasons... governor is mostly clannism
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: Nefertiti on June 29, 2022, 06:57:55 PM
Bahati is not neck-to-neck Jubilee Irene Njoki will sweep 60%. I think Kimani Ngunjiri is suffering from rivalry with Susan - he backs Lee Moi. But 60-30 is quite big lead he is hopeless.

I am surprised by Arama Nakuru West - thought Kaptembwa slum Luos would help him.

Anyway overall Azimio is not doing badly in 80% Kalenjin-Kikuyu county.. should be hard KK stronghold.

Quote from: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:31:03 PM
Nakuru UDA will sweep except in Bahati - and it's neck to neck -Raymond Moi leading in Rongai,Naivasha is neck to neck.

Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: Nefertiti on June 29, 2022, 07:00:42 PM
Quote from: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 06:46:45 PM
Quote from: Robina on June 29, 2022, 06:39:19 PM
Nkedianye need to step down for Lenku. combined Azimio is wide lead.

Quote from: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 12:52:07 PM
Kajiado is neck to neck with Azimio
it doesn't work like that... people support a candidate for many reasons... governor is mostly clannism

I get but right now Azimio look headed to defeat by UDA Katoo ole Metito
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: Nefertiti on June 29, 2022, 07:04:34 PM
Kang'ata dismal performance is surprising.. he is a loudmouth almost like Nyoro & Wahome. I think Jamleck has good ground game and track record?

Quote from: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 01:08:36 PM
Problem Muranga - Irungu, Kangata and water guy - are supporting Ruto. They are four strong candidates. This will go to the wire with winner - sneaking at 35% - but yes Kangata should get Ndidi - though Ruto has probably booked Ndidi to assist Gachagua and Kuria
Quote from: gout on June 29, 2022, 01:05:40 PM
Hii ya Murang'a - looks Nairobish sample. With Wahome and Nyoro assured of their seats, they should join Kang'ata mugithi.

Muthomi must have been under serious assault from Munya but from today atafikisha 70%.

Njuuri wishes of having hasora nation camping in Mt Kenya East is going to be.
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: Nefertiti on June 29, 2022, 07:11:52 PM
Garissa is clean Azimio
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: yulemsee on June 29, 2022, 10:04:08 PM
35 % unlocked in Mt Kenya for Azimio, UDA must be shitting bricks
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: Nowayhaha on June 29, 2022, 10:08:30 PM
Only wn insane person will believe Kenyan opinion polls
Title: Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
Post by: RV Pundit on June 29, 2022, 10:47:14 PM
Quote from: yulemsee on June 29, 2022, 10:04:08 PM
35 % unlocked in Mt Kenya for Azimio, UDA must be shitting bricks
why