Author Topic: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado  (Read 1731 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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Nakuru UDA will sweep except in Bahati - and it's neck to neck -Raymond Moi leading in Rongai,Naivasha is neck to neck.


Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka
« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2022, 12:31:53 PM »
Tharaka - Njoka is down - Muthomi is up. Seem UDA struggling here.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka
« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2022, 12:33:22 PM »
Muranga - Jamleck ahead - but it appears all are within margin of error. UDA winning most of the other seats.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #3 on: June 29, 2022, 12:52:07 PM »
Kajiado is neck to neck with Azimio

Offline Kadudu

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #4 on: June 29, 2022, 01:00:44 PM »
Mizani should indicate the party of the contestants in the polls. This way we do not need to keep on guesing to which party the contestants belong.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #5 on: June 29, 2022, 01:01:28 PM »
Yes they try in facebook. But indeed it should be an easy fix for them. I think this kind of polling should be encouraged - and Mizani are doing a good job. It shouldnt just be presidential. But almost all seats.

Mizani should indicate the party of the contestants in the polls. This way we do not need to keep on guesing to which party the contestants belong.

Offline gout

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #6 on: June 29, 2022, 01:05:40 PM »
Hii ya Murang'a - looks Nairobish sample. With Wahome and Nyoro assured of their seats, they should join Kang'ata mugithi.

Muthomi must have been under serious assault from Munya but from today atafikisha 70%.

Njuuri wishes of having hasora nation camping in Mt Kenya East is going to be.
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #7 on: June 29, 2022, 01:08:36 PM »
Problem Muranga - Irungu, Kangata and water guy - are supporting Ruto. They are four strong candidates. This will go to the wire with winner - sneaking at 35% - but yes Kangata should get Ndidi - though Ruto has probably booked Ndidi to assist Gachagua and Kuria
Hii ya Murang'a - looks Nairobish sample. With Wahome and Nyoro assured of their seats, they should join Kang'ata mugithi.

Muthomi must have been under serious assault from Munya but from today atafikisha 70%.

Njuuri wishes of having hasora nation camping in Mt Kenya East is going to be.

Offline gout

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #8 on: June 29, 2022, 01:10:49 PM »
KNBS, National Research Fund, Data Commission and CA, should have a shareable sampling framework and cell numbers available to any researcher. Opinion polls should be a key component of public participation.
 
Yes they try in facebook. But indeed it should be an easy fix for them. I think this kind of polling should be encouraged - and Mizani are doing a good job. It shouldnt just be presidential. But almost all seats.

Mizani should indicate the party of the contestants in the polls. This way we do not need to keep on guesing to which party the contestants belong.
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline gout

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #9 on: June 29, 2022, 01:29:31 PM »
On a casual look the sample from Murang'a is not representative.

https://www.facebook.com/mizaniafrica/photos/pcb.751218409554109/751218372887446

Mizani has 56% rural and 44% urban as sample while KNBS put the population at 89% rural and 11% urban.
Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one ~ Thomas Paine

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #10 on: June 29, 2022, 02:34:45 PM »
Yes they do that in every survey don't understand their logic..and given these are telephone interviews how do they distinguish

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #11 on: June 29, 2022, 06:39:19 PM »
Nkedianye need to step down for Lenku. combined Azimio is wide lead.

Kajiado is neck to neck with Azimio
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #12 on: June 29, 2022, 06:46:45 PM »
Nkedianye need to step down for Lenku. combined Azimio is wide lead.

Kajiado is neck to neck with Azimio
it doesn't work like that... people support a candidate for many reasons... governor is mostly clannism

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #13 on: June 29, 2022, 06:57:55 PM »
Bahati is not neck-to-neck Jubilee Irene Njoki will sweep 60%. I think Kimani Ngunjiri is suffering from rivalry with Susan - he backs Lee Moi. But 60-30 is quite big lead he is hopeless.

I am surprised by Arama Nakuru West - thought Kaptembwa slum Luos would help him.

Anyway overall Azimio is not doing badly in 80% Kalenjin-Kikuyu county.. should be hard KK stronghold.

Nakuru UDA will sweep except in Bahati - and it's neck to neck -Raymond Moi leading in Rongai,Naivasha is neck to neck.

♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #14 on: June 29, 2022, 07:00:42 PM »
Nkedianye need to step down for Lenku. combined Azimio is wide lead.

Kajiado is neck to neck with Azimio
it doesn't work like that... people support a candidate for many reasons... governor is mostly clannism

I get but right now Azimio look headed to defeat by UDA Katoo ole Metito
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #15 on: June 29, 2022, 07:04:34 PM »
Kang'ata dismal performance is surprising.. he is a loudmouth almost like Nyoro & Wahome. I think Jamleck has good ground game and track record?

Problem Muranga - Irungu, Kangata and water guy - are supporting Ruto. They are four strong candidates. This will go to the wire with winner - sneaking at 35% - but yes Kangata should get Ndidi - though Ruto has probably booked Ndidi to assist Gachagua and Kuria
Hii ya Murang'a - looks Nairobish sample. With Wahome and Nyoro assured of their seats, they should join Kang'ata mugithi.

Muthomi must have been under serious assault from Munya but from today atafikisha 70%.

Njuuri wishes of having hasora nation camping in Mt Kenya East is going to be.
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #16 on: June 29, 2022, 07:11:52 PM »
Garissa is clean Azimio
♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline yulemsee

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #17 on: June 29, 2022, 10:04:08 PM »
35 % unlocked in Mt Kenya for Azimio, UDA must be shitting bricks

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #18 on: June 29, 2022, 10:08:30 PM »
Only wn insane person will believe Kenyan opinion polls

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Interesting polls from Mizani - Nakuru, Muranga, Tharaka, Kajiado
« Reply #19 on: June 29, 2022, 10:47:14 PM »
35 % unlocked in Mt Kenya for Azimio, UDA must be shitting bricks
why