Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on May 28, 2022, 11:47:48 AM
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Why are we wasting time? The way this election is going - we will end up here - that is assuming Kalonzo go back to Azimio
It will be mega whooping
Raila expected to win (13)
County Azimio KenyaKanza
41. Siaya 95% 5%
42. Kisumu 95% 5%
43. Homabay 95% 5%
44. Migori 75% 25%
9.Busia 70% 30%
31. Kitui 70% 30%
32. Makueni 70% 30%.
4. Kisii 65% 35%
30. Machakoes 60% 40%
3. Mombasa 60% 40%
5. Nyamira 60% 40%
26. Taita Taveta 60% 40%
1. Nairobi 55% 45%
The battle grounds (12)
8.Vihiga 50% 50%
20. Kajiado 50% 50%
27. Tanariver 50% 50%
28. Kwale 50% 50%
29. Lamu 50% 50%
33. Isiolo 50% 50%
6. Kakamega 50% 50%
25. Kilifi 50% 50%
34. Mandera 50% 50%
35. Wajir 50% 50%
46. Marsabit 50% 50%
47. Garissa 50% 50%
Ruto expected to lead (22)
23. Turkana 45% 55%
21.Narok 40% 60%.
22. Samburu 40% 60%
7. Bungoma 35% 65%
10.Transzoia 35% 65%
13. Kirinyaga 35% 65%
2. Nakuru 30% 70%
11. Kiambu 30% 70%
16. Meru 30% 70%
19. Laikipia 30% 70%
15. Nyandarua 25% 75%
24. West Pokot 25% 75%.
12. Murang'a 20% 80%
14. Nyeri 20% 80%
45. Uasin Gishu 20% 80%
17. Embu 15% 85%
18. Tharakanithi 15% 80%
36. Baringo 15% 85%
38. Nandi 10% 90%
37. Elgeiyo Marakwet 5% 95%
39. Kericho 5% 95%
40. Bomet 5% 95%
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Go and swear him on kass Tv
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Sijui Martha Koome is wasting time for what? I know she is friends to Martha and she might waste our time and money.
Go and swear him on kass Tv
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64 stadium should be the swearing in venue
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Party to be held at Mahindi Hotel,hapo nyuma ya stage ya Eldoret
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Why are we wasting time? The way this election is going - that is assuming Kalonzo go back to Azimio
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County Azimio KenyaKanza
9.Busia 70% 30%
?s=20&t=zBq_soAX5WJTsIrFzyfahg
10.Transzoia 35% 65%
?s=20&t=Zu90TYrnuvCMPo5cmgKTow
Hiyo tu
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All that is factored. Raila is still getting a proper beating.
Why are we wasting time? The way this election is going - that is assuming Kalonzo go back to Azimio
Invalid Tweet ID?s=20&t=Zu90TYrnuvCMPo5cmgKTow
County Azimio KenyaKanza
9.Busia 70% 30%
?s=20&t=zBq_soAX5WJTsIrFzyfahg
10.Transzoia 35% 65%
?s=20&t=Zu90TYrnuvCMPo5cmgKTow
Hiyo tu
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This election was won longtime ago. Once GEMA accepted Ruto it was Kaput.
If really Uhuru and Railas idea was to defeat Ruto. They should have created a very strong GEMA candidate and unleashed him to take comand of GEMA votes. Once GEMA was behind Ruto it was the end .
The other way was for Raila to support a different candidate.
They didnt do any of the two so The Presidency is Kapoot.
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Hapo kwa gema,mtashangaaaa
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Ruto is brilliant go-getter who learnt from Moi how to win elections despite the odds.
He would still have won without GEMA.
Now he can afford to lose GEMA and still win.
Without GEMA - Ruto could easily snap Kambas and win.
Right now he can win with just 30-40 percent of GEMA.
How does he do this - simple - improve when Uhuru failed to get votes.
Remember in 2013 - bare minimum - Uhuru was scoring almost zero everywhere except Kalenjin+GEMA - plus maybe Gusii;
Rest of tribes were in - another kikuyu cannot inherit another kikuyu
Now if you remove GEMA - 25-28 percent from Ruto column - Ruto has to find replacemnt of two big tribes - that gives him 20 something percent and improve elsewhere. This is doable. You can flip Luhyas and Kambas with right approach...then nail the missing 5 percent by painstakingly picking small tribes.
Raila failure to win is just because he is an idiot...who has had 45 percent for three elections..and instead of consolidating..he immediately destroy that coalition....now two months to election he is desperately trying to repair Ukambani.
Raila job since 2005 has been to get that 5 percent - ameshindwa! Kazi ni kuharibu then scramble last minute for left overs.
Moi a useless tugen won with 40 percent when opposed by all kabilas. Getting almost zero votes from big tribes but still able to consolidate all the smaller tribes into a big punch.
This election was won longtime ago. Once GEMA accepted Ruto it was Kaput.
If really Uhuru and Railas idea was to defeat Ruto. They should have created a very strong GEMA candidate and unleashed him to take comand of GEMA votes. Once GEMA was behind Ruto it was the end .
The other way was for Raila to support a different candidate.
They didnt do any of the two so The Presidency is Kapoot.
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:) :D Atwoli said you might need to put some folks on suicide watch. Respect that semi-literate mzee.
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You said that in 2007,2013 and 2017 Miss Opinion Polls but thw opposite happened . Most of the ODM supporters vanished just like you will do comw Aug 10th .
:) :D Atwoli said you might need to put some folks on suicide watch. Respect that semi-literate mzee.
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Atwoli na wewe should be on that list on a priority basis. Atwoli first said Ruto wont be on ballot. Chebukati ni kama alisikia kalonzo ?
:) :D Atwoli said you might need to put some folks on suicide watch. Respect that semi-literate mzee.
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Hekaya zu Abunuwasi na Ruto kuchagualiwa Rais :D
This Kalenjin suffers from ADHD, he will suffer some major trauma in 2 months.
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Mshinde kwanza twitter ;)
Hekaya zu Abunuwasi na Ruto kuchagualiwa Rais :D
This Kalenjin suffers from ADHD, he will suffer some major trauma in 2 months.
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Halafu kalenjin gave you 20yrs; mukashindwa; dont blame us or our good teeth please :) we gave you everything votes; arrows;money; name it; kama raila na wajaluo wameshindwa; dont blame anybody else except Raila;
Hekaya zu Abunuwasi na Ruto kuchagualiwa Rais :D
This Kalenjin suffers from ADHD, he will suffer some major trauma in 2 months.
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Narok despite few hardliners - with resolution of Mau forest - they have nothing to rally Maa
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How about you wait until your petition to overturn the result is dismissed?
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Tribal arithmetics ni kama 1+1; Anybody can do it; You dont wait for Chebukati to tell your the obvious; Raila has no path to victory.
How about you wait until your petition to overturn the result is dismissed?
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This parody account? But I tend to agree with some raw numbers except for turnout; seem a little bit high
Jakom dog beating loading.
Not very good - I think Raila will take Gusii - Nyamira maybe - but Kisii definitely looks Azimio
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Hekaya zu Abunuwasi na Ruto kuchagualiwa Rais :D
This Kalenjin suffers from ADHD, he will suffer some major trauma in 2 months.
:) dude has 2 MOAS threads on sticky.. that's not enough. This is educated guy in Mavoko - imagine the delusion mashinani level. God help the poor diasporites
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Had to check one; sticky are for me to keep tracks; threads to get the feel of the day;
Mashinani can do MOASS; trust me; there is nothing very special about tribal maths;
They come to same conclusion; my dad use to do them in piece of paper; and he would show me;
kenya politics is not rocket science - if you're serious you can predict.
And right now - all the money is on Ruto - and it been that for 5yrs now.
maybe Raila has won one or two opinion polls he had to bribe - :) but Ruto remain STUBBORNLY popular.
Anyway waiting for kalonzo final move - I do final final MOASS.
I know the numbers already based on my instinct - we are looking increasingly at 45-55 with Kalonzo on board.
Or 38-6-56 - or even 35-6-59 - if Kalonzo runs.
:) dude has 2 MOAS threads on sticky.. that's not enough. This is educated guy in Mavoko - imagine the delusion mashinani level. God help the poor diasporites