Nipate

Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 11:20:34 AM

Title: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 11:20:34 AM
/photo/1
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Pajero on May 03, 2022, 12:12:24 PM
Talk now
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 12:21:00 PM
I have already talked in the MOASS thread.
Sonko doing great for someone yet to campaign.
Ruto doing well in Mombasa.
The others are as expected. I have Ruto in Nairobi at 40 percent; Raila at 60 percent
I have Ruto at 30 percent in Makueni.
All these 3 counties - Kalonzo will have impact - Makueni huge impact; Mombasa and Nairobi 15% impact.
So I see no change until you make Kalonzo DPORK or not
If Kalonzo moves out of Azimio - Nairobi flips - Ruto moves to 55 - Raila drops to 45.
Mombasa also go 50-50.

So KEEP KALONZO. Whatever you do - KEEP KAMBAS.

Talk now
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Pajero on May 03, 2022, 01:18:35 PM
Mr Kizungu mingi,your boss has no chance,just pray Raila doesn't hit 30% in gema.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 01:35:17 PM
Okay - 98 days to go.
Mr Kizungu mingi,your boss has no chance,just pray Raila doesn't hit 30% in gema.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 03, 2022, 01:37:39 PM
Mr Kizungu mingi,your boss has no chance,just pray Raila doesn't hit 30% in gema.

Raila is at over 40% in GEMA.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 01:39:25 PM
If you lose Ukambani - you'll need 70-80 percent in GEMA.
Continue dreaming.
Just two three months
Raila is at over 40% in GEMA.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 03, 2022, 01:51:33 PM
If you lose Ukambani - you'll need 70-80 percent in GEMA.
Continue dreaming.
Just two three months
Raila is at over 40% in GEMA.

Its okay.

We will just smoke lots of bhang drink lots of beer wail loudly and accept Ruto is PORK.

Life goes on...tuko pamoja
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 01:54:33 PM
Now that is the attitude.
This thing could be over by next week.
I will let you know when to start crying.
Its okay.

We will just smoke lots of bhang drink lots of beer wail loudly and accept Ruto is PORK.

Life goes on...tuko pamoja
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 03, 2022, 01:56:50 PM
Now that is the attitude.
This thing could be over by next week.
I will let you know when to start crying.
Its okay.

We will just smoke lots of bhang drink lots of beer wail loudly and accept Ruto is PORK.

Life goes on...tuko pamoja

Shinda hapo ukijisumbua akili.

Am enjoying my drink.

Go to hell.

Kwani what is being president?
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: audacityofhope on May 03, 2022, 02:28:26 PM
/photo/1
The silent majority I keep talking about, getting louder as we cruise past 100 days to go.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Pajero on May 03, 2022, 02:41:50 PM
Uhuru was supposed to betray Raila,still waiting,Narrative now is that kambas won't vote Raila,desperation Tanga tanga
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: gout on May 03, 2022, 03:31:44 PM
Those undecided numbers point to NIS fudging.  Makueni too is Martharao formula being forced.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 03:37:55 PM
Strange to have almost 40 percent of Nairobi undecided 90 days to election - in clear Raila versus Ruto race.
This is how opinion polls fudge the numbers without losing credibility.
They will claim the undecided flipped the numbers
Those undecided numbers point to NIS fudging.  Makueni too is Martharao formula being forced.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Heavy Hitter! on May 03, 2022, 06:17:04 PM
It usually means the leading candidate is severely weak when you have so many undecided folks. The undecides usually break 70/30 for the runner-up. If that is the case in Nairobi, Makueni, and Mombasa, the Azimio strongholds, then Null and his brother Void are in deep shit!
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Nefertiti on May 03, 2022, 07:09:56 PM
PORK.. I should be happy as Azimio fan but undecideds look strangely high. It's been clear for months - since OKA implosion & Mdvd earthquake - there is no 3rd horse. Let see after running mates.

Governor: nothing here. Igathe, Sonko only joined the race in late April. Makueni is clearly Wiper Mutula.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Nefertiti on May 03, 2022, 07:13:21 PM
Yes those numbers look very bad for Ruto. Just look at Makueni where Pundit thinks Ruto will get something.

Quote
In Makueni, Kalonzo's Wiper is the most popular party at 43 per cent, followed by UDA at 17 per cent, ODM at 10 per cent while 25 per cent of the population interviewers remain undecided.

Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Coalition on the other hand is leading with 62 per cent, followed by Keya Kwanza at 13 per cent in the same county.

Mr Kizungu mingi,your boss has no chance,just pray Raila doesn't hit 30% in gema.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Nefertiti on May 03, 2022, 07:15:41 PM
The status quo - NOW - is bad for Ruto. According to Tifa at least. The rest is conjecture about Kalonzo bla bla - what if Mdvd dump Ruto?

I have already talked in the MOASS thread.
Sonko doing great for someone yet to campaign.
Ruto doing well in Mombasa.
The others are as expected. I have Ruto in Nairobi at 40 percent; Raila at 60 percent
I have Ruto at 30 percent in Makueni.
All these 3 counties - Kalonzo will have impact - Makueni huge impact; Mombasa and Nairobi 15% impact.
So I see no change until you make Kalonzo DPORK or not
If Kalonzo moves out of Azimio - Nairobi flips - Ruto moves to 55 - Raila drops to 45.
Mombasa also go 50-50.

So KEEP KALONZO. Whatever you do - KEEP KAMBAS.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 07:31:03 PM
Tifa is an exercise in obstufication because in Makueni they are including Kalonzo as candidate - when as of now - he has announced he is backing Raila.

Reminder of Final MOAS - we are going to watch Kalonzo - because once again he is unsettled - movements underneath- and make FINAL FINAL MOASS soon - once running mate question has been answered.

Show me where I am wrong. Mombasa, Makueni and Nairobi City iko pale pale.

And final MOAS really due for update - Meru for example - that Munya hype has drunk water :) Mt Kenya is tightening for UDA/Ruto but we are yet to see Uhuru campaigns - so we play safe

(https://nipate.net/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=11887.0;attach=1124;image)

Yes those numbers look very bad for Ruto. Just look at Makueni where Pundit thinks Ruto will get something.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Nefertiti on May 03, 2022, 07:50:09 PM
Tifa says Makueni is  Raila 48% vs Kalonzo 21% vs Ruto 18% vs Undecided 13%.. instead of conjecture about Kalonzo better summarize Azimo-KK ratio as things are today: roughly Raila 76% vs 24% Ruto. But your MOAS say Ruto 30% from where?

Tifa is an exercise in obstufication because in Makueni they are including Kalonzo as candidate - when as of now - he has announced he is backing Raila.

Reminder of Final MOAS - we are going to watch Kalonzo - because one gain he is unsettled - and make FINAL FINAL MOASS soon.

Show me where I am wrong. Mombasa, Makueni and Nairobi City iko pale pale.

(https://nipate.net/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=11887.0;attach=1124;image)
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 03, 2022, 07:52:30 PM
It's flawed logic to imagine if I support Kalonzo I will transfer my vote to Raila automatically.
Tifa simply should have removed Kalonzo - because as far as we know he aint running.
Therefore I rather stick to 30% instead of 24% - which really within margin of errors.

Now use the same magic and tell me how I got Nairobi and Mombasa :) :)

I see you skipped those.

Tifa says Makueni is  Raila 48% vs Kalonzo 21% vs Ruto 18% vs Undecided 13%.. instead of conjecture about Kalonzo better summarize Azimo-KK ratio as things are today: roughly Raila 76% vs 24% Ruto. But your MOAS say Ruto 30% from where?
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Nefertiti on May 03, 2022, 08:26:53 PM
Nairobi & Mombasa you are closer to the Tifa ground truth. Projecting Nairobi comes to Raila 63 vs 37 Ruto. MOAS 60-40

It's flawed logic to imagine if I support Kalonzo I will transfer my vote to Raila automatically.
Tifa simply should have removed Kalonzo - because as far as we know he aint running.
Therefore I rather stick to 30% instead of 24% - which really within margin of errors.

Now use the same magic and tell me how I got Nairobi and Mombasa :) :)

I see you skipped those.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Nefertiti on May 03, 2022, 08:28:39 PM
That is some broad margin of error you got there.

It's flawed logic to imagine if I support Kalonzo I will transfer my vote to Raila automatically.
Tifa simply should have removed Kalonzo - because as far as we know he aint running.
Therefore I rather stick to 30% instead of 24% - which really within margin of errors.

Now use the same magic and tell me how I got Nairobi and Mombasa :) :)

I see you skipped those.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 04, 2022, 12:00:52 AM
This Tifa poll now make sense..it specifically made to show kalonzo that Raila is more popular than him..in ukambani...part of management of poor kaloi
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 04, 2022, 07:00:26 AM
Arguments which never end over the same topic.

Insanity.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Arcadian_Dreamer on May 04, 2022, 06:28:31 PM
Arguments which never end over the same topic.

Insanity.

 :D :D

Are you implying RV Pundit is insane?
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 04, 2022, 06:54:48 PM
Arguments which never end over the same topic.

Insanity.

 :D :D

Are you implying RV Pundit is insane?

Yes.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 04, 2022, 06:55:51 PM
You're wasting you time if you think you can muzzle us.
We are having a lot of fun - seeing Azimio tears.
Prepare for many many threads.
And many many tears.

Yes.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 04, 2022, 10:16:46 PM
You're wasting you time if you think you can muzzle us.
We are having a lot of fun - seeing Azimio tears.
Prepare for many many threads.
And many many tears.

Yes.

I've seen people get mad and i know you are getting mad.

Very early in the morning you are here till late,you don't accept when you are wrong,always trying to prove you are right,repeating the same story over and over.

YOU ARE MAD..Go visit a specialist and you'll thank me later.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 04, 2022, 10:21:06 PM
How will that help you, Uhuru and Raila beat Ruto.
That should be you biggest concern.
I have people at personal and professional level would tell me if I was going nuts like you.
My friend what is making you angry is my well reasoned EVIDENCE based postulations showing beyond any reasonable doubt that Raila and your hero Uhuru are headed to SAYUNI
I've seen people get mad and i know you are getting mad.

Very early in the morning you are here till late,you don't accept when you are wrong,always trying to prove you are right,repeating the same story over and over.

YOU ARE MAD..Go visit a specialist and you'll thank me later.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 04, 2022, 10:27:15 PM
How will that help you, Uhuru and Raila beat Ruto.
That should be you biggest concern.
I have people at personal and professional level would tell me if I was going nuts like you.
My friend what is making you angry is my well reasoned EVIDENCE based postulations showing beyond any reasonable doubt that Raila and your hero Uhuru are headed to SAYUNI
I've seen people get mad and i know you are getting mad.

Very early in the morning you are here till late,you don't accept when you are wrong,always trying to prove you are right,repeating the same story over and over.

YOU ARE MAD..Go visit a specialist and you'll thank me later.

Whoever wins am OKAY.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 04, 2022, 10:33:17 PM
There is no guesswork involved here.
Ruto as of now is going to win.
There is no WHOEVER and you know it
That is my you're angry and bitter - even on some of us.

My friend I have called almost every election to the DOT - and this one is GONE.

And will be dead if you dont pick Kalonzo next week.

Whoever wins am OKAY.

Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 04, 2022, 10:36:19 PM
There is no guesswork involved here.
Ruto as of now is going to win.
There is no WHOEVER and you know it
That is my you're angry and bitter - even on some of us.

My friend I have called almost every election to the DOT - and this one is GONE.

And will be dead if you dont pick Kalonzo next week.

Whoever wins am OKAY.


Ive just finished my muratina..let me go have sex and sleep.

Continue with your NONSENSE.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 04, 2022, 10:40:24 PM
I will. I have been analyzing Kenya politics since I was 10yrs. I am not about to stop. This is my Muratina, Sex and Sleep :) :) - now focus on the issues - and start crying.
Ive just finished my muratina..let me go have sex and sleep.

Continue with your NONSENSE.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Heavy Hitter! on May 04, 2022, 10:50:49 PM
I will. I have been analyzing Kenya politics since I was 10yrs. I am not about to stop. This is my Muratina, Sex and Sleep :) :) - now focus on the issues - and start crying.
Ive just finished my muratina..let me go have sex and sleep.

Continue with your NONSENSE.
Lol!
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Arcadian_Dreamer on May 05, 2022, 01:37:36 AM
This Githunguri is a top notch comedic personality  :D

So disarming with matusi. I salute you.

RV Pundit as some have pointed is out of touch with reality, serial loser when it comes to prognostication, right now he can hide behind false hopes of Ruto/UDA victory but when the tire meet the road in August those hopes will be dashed.

He bet his life on Ruto being toshad by Uhuru instead his nemesis Raila became BFF  :D that is the genesis of his all consuming obsession, his denigration of the Luo nation stems from this bitterness. He is a broken man. I can imagine him wandering the streets

in tattered clothes around Kericho or somewhere crying Ruto ameibwa after the elections  :(




 

Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 05, 2022, 07:23:23 AM
This Githunguri is a top notch comedic personality  :D

So disarming with matusi. I salute you.

RV Pundit as some have pointed is out of touch with reality, serial loser when it comes to prognostication, right now he can hide behind false hopes of Ruto/UDA victory but when the tire meet the road in August those hopes will be dashed.

He bet his life on Ruto being toshad by Uhuru instead his nemesis Raila became BFF  :D that is the genesis of his all consuming obsession, his denigration of the Luo nation stems from this bitterness. He is a broken man. I can imagine him wandering the streets

in tattered clothes around Kericho or somewhere crying Ruto ameibwa after the elections  :(

Ive just checked his yesterday routine.

He was online from 7:00AM-17:00AM EAT.Thats i think 17HRS.And he wasn't just online but very active responding to every post.

When i look at UDA bloggers like Itumbi or Luo bloggers on social media,They dont spend so much hours online but still get paid.

What is Rvp getting from Ruto?A CS?CAS?ICT?CORPORATION BOARD MEMBER?10BN TENDER?

A man who earns USD 10,000 like he claims cannot spend his time on this forum 24hrs.This is a home of idlers.A good case is Omollo who earns $6000PM or Dear Mami $2000PM Ho2 regularly do you see them here?

RVP is a BROKEB MAN WHO IS BECOMING MAD.

AVOID AVOID.



Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 05, 2022, 07:50:56 AM
Bla de bla.
You better start crying.
I can be online for long hours because I work long hours.
Ndio niamka.
Ive just checked his yesterday routine.

He was online from 7:00AM-17:00AM EAT.Thats i think 17HRS.And he wasn't just online but very active responding to every post.

When i look at UDA bloggers like Itumbi or Luo bloggers on social media,They dont spend so much hours online but still get paid.

What is Rvp getting from Ruto?A CS?CAS?ICT?CORPORATION BOARD MEMBER?10BN TENDER?

A man who earns USD 10,000 like he claims cannot spend his time on this forum 24hrs.This is a home of idlers.A good case is Omollo who earns $6000PM or Dear Mami $2000PM Ho2 regularly do you see them here?

RVP is a BROKEB MAN WHO IS BECOMING MAD.

AVOID AVOID.




Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 05, 2022, 07:51:42 AM
Show me how Raila will win. Hiyo tu. I am not impervious to facts.
This Githunguri is a top notch comedic personality  :D

So disarming with matusi. I salute you.

RV Pundit as some have pointed is out of touch with reality, serial loser when it comes to prognostication, right now he can hide behind false hopes of Ruto/UDA victory but when the tire meet the road in August those hopes will be dashed.

He bet his life on Ruto being toshad by Uhuru instead his nemesis Raila became BFF  :D that is the genesis of his all consuming obsession, his denigration of the Luo nation stems from this bitterness. He is a broken man. I can imagine him wandering the streets

in tattered clothes around Kericho or somewhere crying Ruto ameibwa after the elections  :(




 


Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Arcadian_Dreamer on May 05, 2022, 09:58:36 AM
Show me how Raila will win. Hiyo tu. I am not impervious to facts.

What do you mean "show me how he will win?"...He is leading on all polls nationally.

Keep burying your head in the sand.

Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 05, 2022, 11:36:55 AM
He has only lead in two national polls -

1) Radio Africa thing of feb he led- the lastest from same - he was trailing by 5 percent with madVD having 3 percent - Ruto had 50 percent if you combined with maDVD.

2) Infotrak - they had Raila leading 33% versus Ruto 32.

Now the rest of national polls - Ruto has been leading for donkey years now.

What do you mean "show me how he will win?"...He is leading on all polls nationally.

Keep burying your head in the sand.


Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: Githunguri on May 05, 2022, 11:52:25 AM
Instead of so many stories.

Put a $500USD bet on bitcon.
Title: Re: Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni
Post by: RV Pundit on May 05, 2022, 01:12:45 PM
Tell Nowayah to pay me my bet first.
Instead of so many stories.

Put a $500USD bet on bitcon.