Tifa opinion poll of Nairobi, Mombasa and Makueni

[RV Pundit]

• Tweet

Nairobi, Makueni & Mombasa Opinion Results - pic.twitter.com/fJ4G8xM9xK

— TIFA Research (@TifaResearch) May 3, 2022

/photo/1

[Pajero]

Talk now

[RV Pundit]

I have already talked in the MOASS thread.
Sonko doing great for someone yet to campaign.
Ruto doing well in Mombasa.
The others are as expected. I have Ruto in Nairobi at 40 percent; Raila at 60 percent
I have Ruto at 30 percent in Makueni.
All these 3 counties - Kalonzo will have impact - Makueni huge impact; Mombasa and Nairobi 15% impact.
So I see no change until you make Kalonzo DPORK or not
If Kalonzo moves out of Azimio - Nairobi flips - Ruto moves to 55 - Raila drops to 45.
Mombasa also go 50-50.

So KEEP KALONZO. Whatever you do - KEEP KAMBAS.

Talk now

[Pajero]

Mr Kizungu mingi,your boss has no chance,just pray Raila doesn't hit 30% in gema.

[RV Pundit]

Okay - 98 days to go.

Mr Kizungu mingi,your boss has no chance,just pray Raila doesn't hit 30% in gema.

[Githunguri]

Mr Kizungu mingi,your boss has no chance,just pray Raila doesn't hit 30% in gema.

Raila is at over 40% in GEMA.

[RV Pundit]

If you lose Ukambani - you'll need 70-80 percent in GEMA.
Continue dreaming.
Just two three months

Raila is at over 40% in GEMA.

[Githunguri]

If you lose Ukambani - you'll need 70-80 percent in GEMA.
Continue dreaming.
Just two three months

Raila is at over 40% in GEMA.

Its okay.

We will just smoke lots of bhang drink lots of beer wail loudly and accept Ruto is PORK.

Life goes on...tuko pamoja

[RV Pundit]

Now that is the attitude.
This thing could be over by next week.
I will let you know when to start crying.

Its okay.

We will just smoke lots of bhang drink lots of beer wail loudly and accept Ruto is PORK.

Life goes on...tuko pamoja

[Githunguri]

Now that is the attitude.
This thing could be over by next week.
I will let you know when to start crying.

Its okay.

We will just smoke lots of bhang drink lots of beer wail loudly and accept Ruto is PORK.

Life goes on...tuko pamoja

Shinda hapo ukijisumbua akili.

Am enjoying my drink.

Go to hell.

Kwani what is being president?

[audacityofhope]

Nairobi, Makueni & Mombasa Opinion Results - pic.twitter.com/fJ4G8xM9xK

— TIFA Research (@TifaResearch) May 3, 2022

/photo/1

The silent majority I keep talking about, getting louder as we cruise past 100 days to go.

[Pajero]

Uhuru was supposed to betray Raila,still waiting,Narrative now is that kambas won't vote Raila,desperation Tanga tanga

[gout]

Those undecided numbers point to NIS fudging.  Makueni too is Martharao formula being forced.

[RV Pundit]

Strange to have almost 40 percent of Nairobi undecided 90 days to election - in clear Raila versus Ruto race.
This is how opinion polls fudge the numbers without losing credibility.
They will claim the undecided flipped the numbers

Those undecided numbers point to NIS fudging.  Makueni too is Martharao formula being forced.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

It usually means the leading candidate is severely weak when you have so many undecided folks. The undecides usually break 70/30 for the runner-up. If that is the case in Nairobi, Makueni, and Mombasa, the Azimio strongholds, then Null and his brother Void are in deep shit!

[Nefertiti]

PORK.. I should be happy as Azimio fan but undecideds look strangely high. It's been clear for months - since OKA implosion & Mdvd earthquake - there is no 3rd horse. Let see after running mates.

Governor: nothing here. Igathe, Sonko only joined the race in late April. Makueni is clearly Wiper Mutula.

[Nefertiti]

Yes those numbers look very bad for Ruto. Just look at Makueni where Pundit thinks Ruto will get something.

In Makueni, Kalonzo's Wiper is the most popular party at 43 per cent, followed by UDA at 17 per cent, ODM at 10 per cent while 25 per cent of the population interviewers remain undecided.

Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Coalition on the other hand is leading with 62 per cent, followed by Keya Kwanza at 13 per cent in the same county.

Mr Kizungu mingi,your boss has no chance,just pray Raila doesn't hit 30% in gema.

[Nefertiti]

The status quo - NOW - is bad for Ruto. According to Tifa at least. The rest is conjecture about Kalonzo bla bla - what if Mdvd dump Ruto?

I have already talked in the MOASS thread.
Sonko doing great for someone yet to campaign.
Ruto doing well in Mombasa.
The others are as expected. I have Ruto in Nairobi at 40 percent; Raila at 60 percent
I have Ruto at 30 percent in Makueni.
All these 3 counties - Kalonzo will have impact - Makueni huge impact; Mombasa and Nairobi 15% impact.
So I see no change until you make Kalonzo DPORK or not
If Kalonzo moves out of Azimio - Nairobi flips - Ruto moves to 55 - Raila drops to 45.
Mombasa also go 50-50.

So KEEP KALONZO. Whatever you do - KEEP KAMBAS.

[RV Pundit]

Tifa is an exercise in obstufication because in Makueni they are including Kalonzo as candidate - when as of now - he has announced he is backing Raila.

Reminder of Final MOAS - we are going to watch Kalonzo - because once again he is unsettled - movements underneath- and make FINAL FINAL MOASS soon - once running mate question has been answered.

Show me where I am wrong. Mombasa, Makueni and Nairobi City iko pale pale.

And final MOAS really due for update - Meru for example - that Munya hype has drunk water Mt Kenya is tightening for UDA/Ruto but we are yet to see Uhuru campaigns - so we play safe

Yes those numbers look very bad for Ruto. Just look at Makueni where Pundit thinks Ruto will get something.

[Nefertiti]

Tifa says Makueni is  Raila 48% vs Kalonzo 21% vs Ruto 18% vs Undecided 13%.. instead of conjecture about Kalonzo better summarize Azimo-KK ratio as things are today: roughly Raila 76% vs 24% Ruto. But your MOAS say Ruto 30% from where?

Tifa is an exercise in obstufication because in Makueni they are including Kalonzo as candidate - when as of now - he has announced he is backing Raila.

Reminder of Final MOAS - we are going to watch Kalonzo - because one gain he is unsettled - and make FINAL FINAL MOASS soon.

Show me where I am wrong. Mombasa, Makueni and Nairobi City iko pale pale.