The audacity! We shall see the impact soon?Yes he is seriously backing Raila. Meanwhile you and your brigade ....
Look like he is ready to go down with Raila the same way Moi went with him 20yrs ago.
I expect KANU's Gideon Moi to quit OKA
Will Kalonzo run with Martha? or Jimmy? Or will he also join Azimio
The audacity! We shall see the impact soon?This is where he will be seriously exposed his soft underbelly will be poked.. what will gatheca tell Merus for example?? Ataambia waembu nini pia,unless he will sell him in Kiambu no problem but Nyeri and Muranga hakuna kitu atawambia pia.
Look like he is ready to go down with Raila the same way Moi went with him 20yrs ago.
I expect KANU's Gideon Moi to quit OKA
Will Kalonzo run with Martha? or Jimmy? Or will he also join Azimio
This is where he will be seriously exposed his soft underbelly will be poked.. what will gatheca tell Merus for example?? Ataambia waembu nini pia,unless he will sell him in Kiambu no problem but Nyeri and Muranga hakuna kitu atawambia pia.
The audacity! We shall see the impact soon?Yes he is seriously backing Raila. Meanwhile you and your brigade ....
Look like he is ready to go down with Raila the same way Moi went with him 20yrs ago.
I expect KANU's Gideon Moi to quit OKA
Will Kalonzo run with Martha? or Jimmy? Or will he also join Azimio
?s=20&t=jxUo7P9byvwaG_yO3blZ_wTo continue lying to us how they will form a government of mama mbogas bodabodas n not of dynasties like Mudavadi hehe...
— MessiahGarvey (@bernardmakokha1) January 30, 2022
Uhuru has 30% influence in Kiambu , forget the rest of Mt Kenya counties. Ruto needs to focus his energy in Kiambu as it has substantial number of Voters(e.g. whole of Coast Province) . If need be let him get his running mate from Kiambu.
You need an excel so you can play with scenarios. Right now in my MOASS Ruto is at 55 percent - with Kiambu at 65 percent. If I put Ruto votes in Kiambu to Zero - Ruto drops to 52 percent. In short Kiambu total votes is expected to be 3% (total cast votes of about 900k with turnout dropping 10 percent to 70 percent - I think Uhuru got 1.2M with high turneout)So now Noway said the same thing that gatheca has 30% and you said if he works hard he will get 35%,why go to writing full compositions on the same. Ajabu :o
it's NOT worthy putting a DPORK there - when Ruto is already dealing with bigger monster of two tribes propaganda.
So if Uhuru works really hard - he will get 35 percent - this already factored in MOAS - we have even given him 35 percent of Kiambu, Muranga, all kikuyu counties plus Meru - and still Ruto is at 55 nationally.
Even if a miracle was to happen - and Uhuru really worked hard in central kenya - outside in diaspora and mt kenya east he will see fire - Ruto will only lose if gets 25 percent and Raila get 75 percent :) :) -- hapo Ruto will be at 49 percent - and Raila will win with help of Kalonzo
For me the best running mate is
1) Gachagua - he can go head to head with Uhuru but he comes from Nyeri.
2) Alice Wahome - ticks many boxes - she is a fighter - she is a woman - and if Raila picks Muranga - chance of Muranga (who feel their chance is now) - voting for him are high.
Only problem with Alice - Mt kenya might see that Ruto has picked a weak woman so he can dominate them.
Gachagua is seen as corrupt - that double down on corruption tag that Ruto already is grappling with.
But politics concede nothing - and Gachagua really want it - so he will likely get it.
Next few weeks is critical - because Ruto will not want to engage Uhuru in direct confrontation - he will need fearless Mt kenya leaders like Gachagua and Wahome to go head to head with Uhuru - and whoever emerges as Uhuru biggest attack dog WINS.Uhuru has 30% influence in Kiambu , forget the rest of Mt Kenya counties. Ruto needs to focus his energy in Kiambu as it has substantial number of Voters(e.g. whole of Coast Province) . If need be let him get his running mate from Kiambu.
So now Noway said the same thing that gatheca has 30% and you said if he works hard he will get 35%,why go to writing full compositions on the same. Ajabu :o
You need an excel so you can play with scenarios. Right now in my MOASS Ruto is at 55 percent - with Kiambu at 65 percent. If I put Ruto votes in Kiambu to Zero - Ruto drops to 52 percent. In short Kiambu total votes is expected to be 3% (total cast votes of about 900k with turnout dropping 10 percent to 70 percent - I think Uhuru got 1.2M with high turneout)So now Noway said the same thing that gatheca has 30% and you said if he works hard he will get 35%,why go to writing full compositions on the same. Ajabu :o
it's NOT worthy putting a DPORK there - when Ruto is already dealing with bigger monster of two tribes propaganda.
So if Uhuru works really hard - he will get 35 percent - this already factored in MOAS - we have even given him 35 percent of Kiambu, Muranga, all kikuyu counties plus Meru - and still Ruto is at 55 nationally.
Even if a miracle was to happen - and Uhuru really worked hard in central kenya - outside in diaspora and mt kenya east he will see fire - Ruto will only lose if gets 25 percent and Raila get 75 percent :) :) -- hapo Ruto will be at 49 percent - and Raila will win with help of Kalonzo
For me the best running mate is
1) Gachagua - he can go head to head with Uhuru but he comes from Nyeri.
2) Alice Wahome - ticks many boxes - she is a fighter - she is a woman - and if Raila picks Muranga - chance of Muranga (who feel their chance is now) - voting for him are high.
Only problem with Alice - Mt kenya might see that Ruto has picked a weak woman so he can dominate them.
Gachagua is seen as corrupt - that double down on corruption tag that Ruto already is grappling with.
But politics concede nothing - and Gachagua really want it - so he will likely get it.
Next few weeks is critical - because Ruto will not want to engage Uhuru in direct confrontation - he will need fearless Mt kenya leaders like Gachagua and Wahome to go head to head with Uhuru - and whoever emerges as Uhuru biggest attack dog WINS.Uhuru has 30% influence in Kiambu , forget the rest of Mt Kenya counties. Ruto needs to focus his energy in Kiambu as it has substantial number of Voters(e.g. whole of Coast Province) . If need be let him get his running mate from Kiambu.
He made a second premise from a point of ignorance. That Ruto should be worried about 30 percent of Kiambu. I simply told him - even when we factor 35 percent - Ruto is winning at 55 percent nationally - so the premise that Ruto need DPORK from Kiambu is false. Secondly how is that even feasible - to have a Kiambu PORK replaced by Kiambu DPORK. Already Ruto is struggling with Two Tribes Propaganda.
Please use your brain to the maximum....the small one you have..and grow some cojones so you dont have to tag along Nowayaha - Meru shamba boy.So now Noway said the same thing that gatheca has 30% and you said if he works hard he will get 35%,why go to writing full compositions on the same. Ajabu :o
30% of Kiambu is almost 400K Votes . Surpasing 28 Kenyan counties. Moi was not stupid picking Uhuru in 2002.
But wewe na ujuaji and competition which is your weakness dont want to agree with the inevitable.
Reason I place Njuri higher than you is because he can see things clearly. You Omollo and Robina go through a longer thinking process. To be honest with you A politician like Ruto would never keep you close you would distract him from the ultimate goal.
Nowayaha, you really wished anybody could take your drug dealer friend KABOGO :) seriously
That one is gone. He cannot win Kiambu. He is KAPUT because he has played so many moves people have lost confidence on him.
People are looking for steady leadership.
Not a drug dealer who has started consuming his own supply and is erratic like Ukambani rainfall.
2022 - he is done - no kiambu governorship as Jungle is very popular in lower kiambu - and no national seat :) in his Tujibebe ma Fala party
Tangatanga adherents on Nipate.com fighting among themselves. No different from Khalwale and Malala in this video:
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Ooo, when did he change? I thought you told us he was playing him nyatiti.
I see Ruto has started to attack him directly - that mean their relationship is damaged beyond repair.Ooo, when did he change? I thought you told us he was playing him nyatiti.
It has taken you until Jan 30th, 2022 for you and your Moass to figure that out? So will the percentages move as a consequence?
I would be very worried if both of you known fools ranked me highly.
You need to learn to have 360 view of things.
Dont be tunnel visioned..
That is why I take time to elaborate both side of the coin.
Uhuru got 900k in Kiambu - (I think repeat he got 1.1M) - polling at 85 percent or about
That is almost - 11 percent of Uhuru total votes - a lot of votes no doubt.
But it also come with excess baggage - picking DPORK from Kiambu to replace Uhuru would be crazy!!!!!
When Ruto is already struggling with Kalenjin Kikuyu ping pong - which the real issues that UDA is struggling with.
Raila of course cannot say it - because he is courting the GEMA - but it's the top reason why some people will not vote for Ruto.
Out there - remain 90 percent of the vote.
You dont want to mess up with national vote for small county vote - give Raila that 400K - let say half of Kiambu - and Ruto will gain more from outside...Kakamega and Bungoma for example...are equally huge.
Ruto of course is brilliant like me and listen to reason.
That is why empty debe like Moses Kuria has been ignored.30% of Kiambu is almost 400K Votes . Surpasing 28 Kenyan counties. Moi was not stupid picking Uhuru in 2002.
But wewe na ujuaji and competition which is your weakness dont want to agree with the inevitable.
Reason I place Njuri higher than you is because he can see things clearly. You Omollo and Robina go through a longer thinking process. To be honest with you A politician like Ruto would never keep you close you would distract him from the ultimate goal.
Tangatanga adherents on Nipate.com fighting among themselves. No different from Khalwale and Malala in this video:
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Maybe he knows Kalonzo will sign in - then 70 percent is real possibility. Muthama, Wanjigi and Kilonzo Junior are working on Kalonzo - but Ngilu is also pleading daily for him to go to Baba - and of course Gideon & Uhuru.Tangatanga adherents on Nipate.com fighting among themselves. No different from Khalwale and Malala in this video:
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I see Ruto has started to attack him directly - that mean their relationship is damaged beyond repair.Ooo, when did he change? I thought you told us he was playing him nyatiti.
Your maths is upside down. You are talking of 90% as if its up for grabs. In that 90 % 40 % is guaranteed for Raila if Kalonzo supports him. The battle as you can see is between that 10 % which Raila thinks he can get from Mt Kenya . 400K votes will be like 4 % of the votes . Thats a substatial figure .I told you more than 28 Counties. Which is more than a half of all total counties.
You seem to deceive yourself Ruto can win without Mt Kenya . Fact is he cant. He needs to work hard to get bigger curve in Mt Kenya.
However unlike you Ruto is a smart and practical politicians si mambo ya excell . He was in Kiambu again yesterday. By the time elections come Kiambu will be his most visited county.Take this to the bank.
Mudavadi attack on Uhuru resonated well on both sides of divide.
However I would be cautious , I would let Mt Kenyans , Weta and Mudavaei attack Uhuru as Ruto attacks Raila. His main opponent is Raila. Ruto is being supported by Anti Raila electorate. His focus should be there.I see Ruto has started to attack him directly - that mean their relationship is damaged beyond repair.Ooo, when did he change? I thought you told us he was playing him nyatiti.
He need to float baloons - attack him and see how it goes.
Obviously Uhuru has nothing to lose.
But he is also very unpopular.
COVID and oil hike has made life difficult for many
I'd say for now - Ruto need bi-weekly polling and focus group in Mt kenya - to know how his moves are resonating or not.
Mudavadi attack on Uhuru resonated well on both sides of divide.
However I would be cautious , I would let Mt Kenyans , Weta and Mudavaei attack Uhuru as Ruto attacks Raila. His main opponent is Raila. Ruto is being supported by Anti Raila electorate. His focus should be there.I see Ruto has started to attack him directly - that mean their relationship is damaged beyond repair.Ooo, when did he change? I thought you told us he was playing him nyatiti.
I Mean its wasting energy. Uhuru himself when he opens his mouth makes people hate him more. Raila is also doing a good job dwcamoaigning by saying he will continue from where he left.
With Mudavadi and Wetangula it comes out better because it looks legit.
For Mt Kenyan politicians it keeps Uhuru on the ropes he cant turn it into tribal.One thing with Kenyan politics an attack from an outsider is seen as an attack to a tribe. An insider is seen as saying the truth. Thats why Alfred Keter and that Transmara Mp were able to attack Ruto and still be liked during the first term.
Agreed, he should attack him intelligently, by pitying him as victim of witchcraft:) - innocent boy turned mad - but full frontal attack from Rigathis to remind him he is a useless dynasty.Dynasty?
It's going to be hard for Ruto to wave on if Uhuru intend to attack him - he will have to respond.
I Mean its wasting energy. Uhuru himself when he opens his mouth makes people hate him more. Raila is also doing a good job dwcamoaigning by saying he will continue from where he left.
With Mudavadi and Wetangula it comes out better because it looks legit.
For Mt Kenyan politicians it keeps Uhuru on the ropes he cant turn it into tribal.One thing with Kenyan politics an attack from an outsider is seen as an attack to a tribe. An insider is seen as saying the truth. Thats why Alfred Keter and that Transmara Mp were able to attack Ruto and still be liked during the first term.
He made a second premise from a point of ignorance. That Ruto should be worried about 30 percent of Kiambu. I simply told him - even when we factor 35 percent - Ruto is winning at 55 percent nationally - so the premise that Ruto need DPORK from Kiambu is false. Secondly how is that even feasible - to have a Kiambu PORK replaced by Kiambu DPORK. Already Ruto is struggling with Two Tribes Propaganda.Punda pundit you sinking to drinking local brew changaa. Wacha emotions sijui nini. Be objective like i always say,you can write long inshas but we can write just a sentence to express same point.
Please use your brain to the maximum....the small one you have..and grow some cojones so you dont have to tag along Nowayaha - Meru shamba boy.So now Noway said the same thing that gatheca has 30% and you said if he works hard he will get 35%,why go to writing full compositions on the same. Ajabu :o
I Mean its wasting energy. Uhuru himself when he opens his mouth makes people hate him more.
Raila is also doing a good job dwcamoaigning by saying he will continue from where he left.
With Mudavadi and Wetangula it comes out better because it looks legit.
For Mt Kenyan politicians it keeps Uhuru on the ropes he cant turn it into tribal.One thing with Kenyan politics an attack from an outsider is seen as an attack to a tribe. An insider is seen as saying the truth. Thats why Alfred Keter and that Transmara Mp were able to attack Ruto and still be liked during the first term.He need to float baloons - attack him and see how it goes.
Obviously Uhuru has nothing to lose.
But he is also very unpopular.
COVID and oil hike has made life difficult for many
I'd say for now - Ruto need bi-weekly polling and focus group in Mt kenya - to know how his moves are resonating or not.
Mudavadi attack on Uhuru resonated well on both sides of divide.
However I would be cautious , I would let Mt Kenyans , Weta and Mudavaei attack Uhuru as Ruto attacks Raila. His main opponent is Raila. Ruto is being supported by Anti Raila electorate. His focus should be there.I see Ruto has started to attack him directly - that mean their relationship is damaged beyond repair.Ooo, when did he change? I thought you told us he was playing him nyatiti.