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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on November 20, 2021, 07:39:28 AM

Title: Crap TIFA despite all their mess still find Ruto ahead
Post by: RV Pundit on November 20, 2021, 07:39:28 AM
This last part is laughable - South Rift and Raila ahead :). It appears to me Ruto will beat Raila almost everywhere except Luo Nyanza!

Raila, who has yet to declare his candidature, bags Nyanza, Northern Kenya and South Rift if an election was held at the time of the survey.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2021-11-20-ruto-ahead-of-raila-in-key-opposition-bases--tifa-poll/
Title: Re: Crap TIFA despite all their mess still find Ruto ahead
Post by: Nowayhaha on November 20, 2021, 08:42:24 AM

This is the narrative they are trying to push......anyway when have the opinion polls proven to be correct in Kenya ? in 2007,2013 and 2017 they were all wrong.
No need to believe the opinion polls

Quote
The findings also indicate a rise in Raila’s support at a time when Ruto is registering a marginal decline in popularity
Title: Re: Crap TIFA despite all their mess still find Ruto ahead
Post by: RV Heavy Hitter! on November 20, 2021, 08:43:52 AM
Quote from: RV Pundit on November 20, 2021, 07:39:28 AM
This last part is laughable - South Rift and Raila ahead :). It appears to me Ruto will beat Raila almost everywhere except Luo Nyanza!

Raila, who has yet to declare his candidature, bags Nyanza, Northern Kenya and South Rift if an election was held at the time of the survey.

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2021-11-20-ruto-ahead-of-raila-in-key-opposition-bases--tifa-poll/
Hey, When did Bomet and Kericho became BUBU's bedroom? You know my Kipsigis folk will put 95-98% on Dp's basket! Unless there is another South Rift.
Title: Re: Crap TIFA despite all their mess still find Ruto ahead
Post by: Nowayhaha on November 20, 2021, 08:48:32 AM
Title: Re: Crap TIFA despite all their mess still find Ruto ahead
Post by: RV Pundit on November 20, 2021, 10:06:43 AM
They always get rv wrong. completely wrong. even if they split into two parts with 7 counties each - Ruto steal lead in all of them.
Say north - nandi, ug, tranzoia, elgeyo marakwet, pokot, turkana and samburu.
Say south - narok, kajiado,bomet, kericho, nakuru, baringo and laikipia
Quote from: RV Heavy Hitter! on November 20, 2021, 08:43:52 AM
Hey, When did Bomet and Kericho became BUBU's bedroom? You know my Kipsigis folk will put 95-98% on Dp's basket! Unless there is another South Rift.
Title: Re: Crap TIFA despite all their mess still find Ruto ahead
Post by: RV Pundit on November 20, 2021, 10:11:35 AM
Mutua is permanent loser. 

Even if we take this obviously cooked opinion poll -

In fact 38% out 67 percent of those decided and who responded...whopping 33 percent didnt --- means Ruto is doing 57 percent.

Okay here is their pdf

http://www.tifaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/TIFA-Polls_Survey-on-2022-Elections_Presidential-Aspirants-Preference_19.11.2021.pdf

Quote from: Nowayhaha on November 20, 2021, 08:48:32 AM
Title: Re: Crap TIFA despite all their mess still find Ruto ahead
Post by: RV Pundit on November 20, 2021, 10:20:45 AM
Last part has their sampling framework.

Look like he has taken nakuru/laikipia/meru/embu/tharaka with 5 counties of central to Mt kenya - 21 percent of national vote.
He has central rift -at 17 percent
Then south rift - at 3 percent - maybe Kajiado and narok?
Then western at 11 percent - maybe he included transzoia in western\
Lower eastern - ukambani - at 7 percent
Northern - this probably NEP plus Isiolo and marsabit.
Title: Re: Crap TIFA despite all their mess still find Ruto ahead
Post by: GeeMail on December 27, 2021, 03:35:16 PM
Quote from: RV Pundit on November 20, 2021, 10:20:45 AM
Last part has their sampling framework.

Look like he has taken nakuru/laikipia/meru/embu/tharaka with 5 counties of central to Mt kenya - 21 percent of national vote.
He has central rift -at 17 percent
Then south rift - at 3 percent - maybe Kajiado and narok?
Then western at 11 percent - maybe he included transzoia in western\
Lower eastern - ukambani - at 7 percent
Northern - this probably NEP plus Isiolo and marsabit.

Opinion polls.