Moi was old and immediately Kibaki came to power; he bowed down; and took advantage of LDP-Nak wrangles to endear himself to Kibaki;
Kalenjin disapproved of Moi selection of Uhuru but were convinced then that Moi knew everything; only for only senile fool to let the community down;
From there he was done; he tried for 20yrs to make a comeback; but it was impossible; He bribed; did harambees; name it; Not even Baringo could listen to him.
He died embittered. It hurt him so much that Kalenjin of all people had abandoned him - after what he thought he had done for them.
The same hurt Uhuru is experiencing from GEMA - it different kind of hurt when your own - say siblings or parents or spouse - say you're trash - doesn't matter how many billions you have - that is going to hurt.
Now that was 80yr old Moi.
We are talking a 60yr old Uhuru - with huge family stake - that will definitely become interesting for Raila and Ruto.
He need GEMA as insurance.
Moi always had Kalenjin even when they hated him -Kalenjin were clear that touching Moi - even forcing him to testify in court - was crossing the line. Moi was to be respected but ignored like any old senile man.
Uhuru will be vulnerable without GEMA political support.
Their wealth could easily evaporate - especially under Raila - because Luo goons need a single afternoon to overrun say Ruiru Northland city. Under Kidero - Luo goons in one year overrun Kikuyu land barrons out of Nairobi.
Will a powerful Raila care about Uhuru - nope. The Luos will seek to do in 5yrs what they did not do in 50yrs. It will be brutal.
Ruto will definitely go for Uhuru - unless this is play-acting - I am 50% convinced the Ruto-Uhuru anger is manufactured - scripted - redherring- a diversion- and they will make up before 2022.
Ruto the way I know he is business guy - so he definitely ask Kenyatta to split the pie - or lose it all
. Raila will simply demand 90% or they lose it all - he will let poor Luos and Kikuyus take over them - and will order an investigation by implementing old reports.
There is nothing like loyaty in poltics - Raila was first one to take Ruto to ICC
Uhuru beef with Uhuru remain gray/vague... something about early campaigns, mlolongo or looting envy. Not clear. Could be Raila enugu Point is we don't know why ndugu yangu kumi is long forgotten.
Pundit you keep saying Moi was respected but ignored. Cause he interfered with Kalenjin in retirement. It a very shaky argument: Kibaki handed over and retired very quietly - is he respected? Not ignored? Who cares, is that even a thing?
I don't read Uhuru as so bothered about what Gema do in 2027. He is more interested in his actual achievements and influence right now. Most importantly he doesn't care much for Ruto's opinion vs Raila. From his actions. You can't entice him with false parallels about Moi.
BBI is a gift to Raila. Uhuru can say lose in court but he is already outgoing PORK. BBI adds and removes much less from him... while Raila and Ruto are holding their breaths about Mumbis and Koome.