Author Topic: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.  (Read 718 times)

Offline Githunguri

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Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« on: November 30, 2024, 01:07:55 AM »
Uhuru Scenario.

(A) Uhuru wants to restore himself as Mt kenya leader.In Gachagua absence in retirement from politics,He would control millions of Mt kenya votes and Jubilee would get alot of votes.That is good bargain.With his presence,He is politically useless.He cannot deliver anything to Raila or Ruto.

(B) Incase he chooses endorse Kalonzo,He wants to be the bridge which means billions.

(2) Raila Scenario:2027 presidential ballot Scenario:

(1) Kalonzo/Gachagua coalition-Mt Kenya Eastern Nairobi block.18 senators and Governors,130 Mps,18 Senators.40%+ National vote.
(2) Raila-Nyanza,50% Western and 50% Coast 70Mps,17 governors and senators 34% National vote.
(3) Ruto-Rift valley E Marakwet W Pokot Nandi Kericho Uasin Gishu Bomet Narok That means less than 10 governors Less than 60Mps and less than 10 senators.In this scenario out of 8 provinces,Ruto looses in Nairobi Central Eastern Western Nyanza Coast.He only wins Rift valley.Will he manage 25% in 24 counties?No.Will he manage over 30% National vote?No.We are having a scenario where a sitting president  will be Number 3 in 2027.

In such a scenario,We will have a Run off.Kalonzo will be number 1 and Number 2 will be a competition between Raila and Ruto.In this scenario,Gachagua completely locks out Raila out of the presidency eternally as a 6X presidential looser.

Gachagua needs to know,Uhuru Raila and Ruto are united against him.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2024, 05:20:59 AM »
Make believe nonsense. Ruto just need to replace Kikuyu in his coalition. He had 20% opposed to him in 2022. Now make that 100%. That just about 17% problem if they turn out in great number. As incumbent he will win in any gov in power small tribes 10%. He remains with deficit of 7%..kazi rahisi of taking coast n western from Raila. Ruto wins without odm by keeping kindiki.

Offline Fairandbalanced

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2024, 02:43:41 PM »
This is a university graduation, kids from all over Kenya telling the visionless funerals attacking thief to go take a hike.. https://x.com/alfredarapketer/status/1862560724771561960?s=46&t=3-3-_ehcZbukDCK7hNe5LA
He is a one term president, no one even cares what he does in the next three years. If he had dignity, he would resign and let Kindiki take a stab at it. You never know, he could be Kenya’s savior.

Offline Nowayhaha

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2024, 02:49:57 PM »
Easy calculation like Railas in 2022 get Uhuru and you are home and dry …….Uhuru was incumbent with Govt power and UhuRaila had IEBC ,Judiciary and Military ……..
Raila never became the President ……


Make believe nonsense. Ruto just need to replace Kikuyu in his coalition. He had 20% opposed to him in 2022. Now make that 100%. That just about 17% problem if they turn out in great number. As incumbent he will win in any gov in power small tribes 10%. He remains with deficit of 7%..kazi rahisi of taking coast n western from Raila. Ruto wins without odm by keeping kindiki.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #4 on: November 30, 2024, 06:06:47 PM »
Raila came very close - 200K votes messed him up. If he only he had kept madvd and weta.

Ruto doesnt take chance.

He must work on winning regardless.

He wont make the mistake of depending on Raila or anyone.

He will look for 50% plus one votes of his own. If Raila comes fine. If like Uhuru he doesnt show up and support Ruto. Fine.

Raila shida yake ni LAZINESS. Ruto will spend billions, gazillion of hours and strategize to win regardless.


 
Easy calculation like Railas in 2022 get Uhuru and you are home and dry …….Uhuru was incumbent with Govt power and UhuRaila had IEBC ,Judiciary and Military ……..
Raila never became the President ……

Offline Githunguri

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Offline Nefertiti

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2024, 09:01:47 AM »
No "hard work" or suave strategy can fix economic headwinds.

RiggyG has literally nothing to sell except betrayal of bottom-up promise to Kenyans. Works like a charm.


♫♫ They say all good boys go to heaven... but bad boys bring heaven to you ~ song by Julia Michaels

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #7 on: December 03, 2024, 09:47:27 AM »
Economics that win elections.
1) Low Inflation - cost of living.
2) Development - roads, electricity, water.

RiggyG cant even united Kikuyus - outside there - he is dead on arrival.

No "hard work" or suave strategy can fix economic headwinds.

RiggyG has literally nothing to sell except betrayal of bottom-up promise to Kenyans. Works like a charm.



Offline Githunguri

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #8 on: December 10, 2024, 02:04:52 AM »
Make believe nonsense. Ruto just need to replace Kikuyu in his coalition. He had 20% opposed to him in 2022. Now make that 100%. That just about 17% problem if they turn out in great number. As incumbent he will win in any gov in power small tribes 10%. He remains with deficit of 7%..kazi rahisi of taking coast n western from Raila. Ruto wins without odm by keeping kindiki.

Stupid.

https://x.com/4thPresidentKE/status/1866106084466823399


Offline Githunguri

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #9 on: December 10, 2024, 02:05:55 AM »
Gachagua needs to be very careful.

Offline patel

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #10 on: December 10, 2024, 02:12:49 AM »
Gachagua is a political animal..' we promised bottom up' kuna mtu ametoka bottom akaenda up? Mko bottom ama up? That will be the question in 2027

No "hard work" or suave strategy can fix economic headwinds.

RiggyG has literally nothing to sell except betrayal of bottom-up promise to Kenyans. Works like a charm.



Offline patel

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Re: Uhuru/Raila/Ruto united against Gachagua.
« Reply #11 on: December 10, 2024, 02:15:19 AM »
If anything happens to Gachagua this country will burn to the ground.
Gachagua needs to be very careful.