You live in your own world. Eti GEMA has reserved the useless PM for themselves. All those BBI posts when people analyze them are useless. Very useless. They are just name plates of leader of Majority or Ministers who are Mps. FOCUS ON PORK.
GEMA if they wanted PM - would have given it some bone or power. But look at fool like you. It's like you're cursed. Why would GEMA water down a position they are interested in
. Why create imperial PORK and hand it over to Baba
Then propose a weak kneed PM that can be fired by president anytime - and tell you - they'll really like it - Mr Mandela Moment Odinga.
Now once the 2nd tier realize 1) BBI is doomed and 2) BBI is promising them nothing - they will make deals.
Raila while building bridges NOWHERE has burnt his bridges with Kalonzo, MaDVD and Weta. You seem to have totally forgotten that. That is Raila biggest mistake No 2 - no 1 is trusted GEMA/Uhuru.
When you see Kalonzo or GEMA supporting BBI - don't imagine they are ALL DOING IT FOR BABA.
Jinga sana wewe. Kalonzo and GEMA and Matiangi could be doing it for themselves - where some GEMA upstart run for PORK, Kalonzo PM, and Matiangi DP. That I strong believe will happen if Uhuru doesn't throw a spanner. They are people who don't trust Odingas - GEMAs, MOis -and now fearful of Ruto - except them to do a 3rd horse or 2nd horse - PK, kalonzo, gideon and matiangi.
Of all the people I have interracted online - you're the MOST DENSE.
The game here - some in GEMA are pursuing Pajero option. Some in GEMA are committed to finish Jubilee journey.
Raila as always like always is a FOOL - a NAIVE FOOL like you. This is why Odingas will NEVER rule kenya.Too Naive.
Mdvd or Kalonzo are relying on BBI - katiba - to get posts. That very different from worthless MOU. Kalonzo get DPORK as runningmate - Mdvd get DPM and CS - he will already be MP. They know PM is Gema slot so noone will argue with that. You can see how eagerly Kalonzo backed BBI with bible quotes at least Mdvd poke some holes to appear legit. But Mdvd has been taking on Mobutu wheelbarrow really hard - same as Kalonzo - so again it a mere theory - many ifs and buts - that they might back Mobutu.
These are all hopeless losers of course - it either Raila or Mobutu or usual 4-8% - no other options. Which is better carrot - BBI vs IOU? BBI start by enabling Kalonzos, Johos, Oparanyas to save face while going for MP. 2017 Kalonzo had sneaked his name into Wiper nominated list and had to withdraw quickly due to Jubilee hammering - he desperate enough to chew any bone.
Consider Rectangular too - from fake Bukusu leader to governor it obviously embarrassing. In BBI he sell DPM or senior CS and run as MP - and maintain some clout in Bungoma. Otherwise with Ford-K mess of Eselis, Wamunyinyi and Wangamati- even governor ni ngumu. Without BBI Weta will hang to oblivion like Kombo and other wazee. Weta is really useless than Mdvd and Kalonzo and badly need a path back to MP - which is all he is worth.
Mobutu task is to steal back the limelight to hustler vs dynasty- Raila job is keep BBI mana top of charts. Battle of narratives.
All I see is a repeat of NASA versus Jubilee as your best case scenarior - with obvious results. Trust me the few Jubilee in Raila corner will abandon him as we approach 2022 - the ground is hostile.
Worse case scenario - why would Kalonzo or maDVD repeat the same mistake for 4th time - and rally behind Raila again. Bhangi mbichi. Raila has NO PLAN B when GEMA/UHURU abandon him. That is why you guys will cling to BBI like a tick on a dead cow.
Yes Ruto will go with MK - GEMA coalition - and will promise either maDVD or Weta or Kamba - something - in their gov if they back him - I think Luhyas are soften enough - and getting maDVD in - and promising Weta governorship of Bungoma and Kitale for ford-kenya would make Ruto presidency shoe in.
Meanwhile I am glad you understand BBI is headed nowhere.
https://nation.africa/kenya/news/politics/why-ruto-opposed-powerful-president-in-naivasha-talks--2726160
Ha! you are an optimist brother I give you that. BBI cannot be passed before 2022 because Mobutu would equally attract huge lineup. 2010 blunder. It must be passed on 2022 ballot to ensure it NARC vs Kanu... Raila will have 5-slot summit while Mobutu wil have 2-slot D/PORK. Also it must remain in the charts to overshadow Mobutu hustler and wheelbarrow narrative. Basically now Mobutu must critique or dismiss BBI everywhere as they sideline him in Naivasha.
Anyway there is always a chance someone is being played but we only have yours and Pajero theory... which have zero evidence. Mobutu on the other hand is under the bus as Uhuru morph into Raila campaign manager.
I see this in 2022 BBI/Yes vs Hustler/No —
Raila PORK - Kalonzo VP - PK PM - Mdvd DPM - Matiang'i DPM
vs Mobutu PORK - MK DPORK
BBI 3.0 loading. More tail wagging. They have one year to entertain themselves. Possibly six months before they are scattered.
The same forces that could not pass formulae for record 10 times - have the bravado to promise Raila's BBI will pass in few days
Anyway to keep Raila hopefully - another secretariat and another Bomas conference is planned I guess for six month timeline
BBI 3.0 this so hilarous.