While you were away something called One Man One Shilling happened - and finished Raila in many places. It was the last nail on his coffin for Mijikendas and many other the small tribes. That is risk you get if you support GEMA blindly - and then they don't support you back
You are left in the middle of nowhere. Raila is still out there digging that formulae.....yet kenyans outside GEMA are opposed to it- even if they are gaining - they just don't like it. Ruto maybe lost a little shine in GEMA armoury - but GEMA supporting him are already in LIWE LIWALO.
Now as for Matiangi - I think he will prefer to keep his current job - otherwise I don't see him resigning to enter politics - something he has never done. Hiyo ni kama ndrama tu. Otherwise if he was serious he would have to resign in late 2021 (I think by law most have to resign by Dec 2021) - and plunge into politics - without him being CS. But he needs the chiefs to campaign
. And he stupid to think GEMA can give him power - DPORK he can get - if he can proof himself - although Kalonzo will probably take anything at this point - so he could well become GEMA DPORK. Then hard work of finding a GEMA stooge that can sell....and compete with Ruto deal.
In short test-tube baby is kaput. Wakisii need to get over it.
Uhuru last act will be to reconcile with Ruto and retire
to his own money seperate from ENKE- and he won't need Mama Ngina again to cut him a cheque.
Otherwise I dont see how he will beat Ruto - without them both ending at ICC or under some serious international sanctions - when people will fight.
So from one rally now Ruto has a chance against Matiang’i Ruto with Jubilee death is back to URP - his only true constituency. When did he take over Luhya? - where kahunas distance themselves- even Malala and besieged Weta cannot dare back Ruto openly. That how "popular" Ruto is there. Mijikenda dream on - when at least Mvurya join the URP convoy - we can talk. Msambweni byelection is a good dry run. How did Ganda play out - Jumwa backyard - that's all we have to go on.