Lusaka is keeping his job. We are at half-time. There is still 2.5yrs to earn salary or 3yrs until next speaker. He is obviously not coming back as Speaker.
So it rather obvious and this 411 I have on ground - he is going back to Bungoma. He is very popular because he had performed and was kicked out for party politics. He can only be popular because Wangamati has failed.
411 - Weta is also going for it. Bungoma majority Mps and maybe even MCAS are Jubilee. Both Weta and his new sec gen Dr Chris Wamalwa - will want to use Ruto's Jubilee party and Kalenjin vote to help them win Bungoma and TransZoia.Ruto was struggling with dealing with Lusaka - but it's now done deal. Lusaka - and Wamalwa - are stuck - because wangamati and co want Ford-K.
Anyway, it very likely Weta could also join Ruto and become "Prime Minister" if maDVD refuses.
You are too sure about Lusaka plans. Doing Handshake/ODM mischief on ground and Senate - all for governor? How will hapless Rectangular now partyless compete - will he be Ruto party or ANC?