1. I am on the ground. And more and more frequent I get invite to explain to some meeting what's this BBI is all about and why there is hullabaloo yet "no one is opposing it..." So i pretty much have the feel on the ground. And yes, such a boda boda rider can actually represent a more accurate picture of "how the ground is..." than some lawyer or pseudo intellectual sitting at Java over third rate coffee. Have you actually ever campaigned or ever been involved in political mobilisation? If you ever do, then you'd realise the illiterate looking villager may represent true feelings..
2. Njamba was easy to dump. Indeed honeymoon for Njamba didn't even last 2yrs. And all that acrimonious relationship with Kibaki still haunts Raila support in Mt. Kenya. That is a fact. Therefore when Uhuru brings Raila as new found political bride, there is simply dread. Believe it or not.
3. I have intimate knowledge of 2012/2013 attempt to have MaDVD as presidential candidate. In brief, Kibaki and his thinkers led by Wanjui and others thought another Kikuyu should not succeed Kibaki. And they also wanted to shape political leadership in their own image. Fyi, Jezebel was also then at the centre. So they approach MaDVD and he agreed under proviso that he would be able to bring in Luhya Nation with him. They formed UDF. I was recruited as a member. And they started mobilisation, meetings and getting influencers to market UDF and MaDVD. To cut long story short, as they were doing that they also engaged private pollsters like Synovate and also compared with NIS research on whether MaDVD can actually deliver Luhya Nation. At his peak, MaDVD had about 24% support. Then Raila and his political machine in Luhya land started dismissing MaDVD as a sellout to Kikuyu or insults like Kikuyu biiitch. His support plummeted to around 8%. By then the country was nearing election time. So some group split from Kibaki and his intellectuals and argued that "we" are going "to fall" (be defeated at the poll) to Raila by supporting MaDVD who has no home backing. They reasoned it was better to "have your own whether you win or lose". And from then on more people abandoned MaDVD and UDF. They hatched a plan to first get Uhuru to run whether he wanted or not. I have first hand knowledge so i can tell you much more including when Uhuru made his "mademoni speech". He agreed and then search for alliance begun. First was Kalonzo who was considered but he made some demands which did not correspond with his numbers. His Ukambani base was considered good but didn't have "the punch that was needed to beat 50% mark". Thereafter a deal was made with Ruto and the rest is history.
My point, things are more than they seem! So it was not a question of dismissing Raila or MaDVD just because they are not Kikuyus.
Finally, yes should Mt. Kenya abandon Ruto without justifiable reason then there would not any reason for anyone else to ever form an alliance with Mt. Kenya. Absolutely none. And you better believe it, even that bodaboda or mama soko will tell you something like this.. "Kama hatukua na Ruto 2017 hii inchi ingekua baya..." They refer to election, then annulment of that election then another election and Kenya didn't descend into chaos. Yes, NASA protested but it could have been worse.
Therefore for Uhuru's Alliance with Raila to be solid and acceptable, people must be told why they have "to abandon Ruto and embrace Raila.." That is something each time Uhuru is asked he gets angry.
That is politic for mlolongo ... "Ruto helped me win". Unless you are incapable or unwilling to read between the lines. The fact he felt beholden to Ruto enough to hang for it. There are ample other off-the-cuff remarks by Nyanja et al about mlolongo. That leaked Tuju tape of "Ruto aliweka watu yake". When someone expects privacy and spouts things there is good reason to believe them.
Where do you get the factual narrative of what Gema want? A bodaboda rider 
There are enough Gema who have not forgotten Kiambaa and you cannot rely on an individual's opinion to pass judgement. All those Gema leaders who have been peeling off the Ruto bandwagon - governors, senators, MPs, MCAs - are indicative of the wider trend as Uhuru intentions become clear. Ruto's appeal was pegged on next-in-line. See now how non-Gema are realigning. Where have you seen him raiding Raila turf recently? Raila is raiding him. Around April 2018 Ruto had Kingi and a sizeable Coast following. Where are they now?
We have a reliable history of "Njamba" getting dumped. 2012 we heard the same thing about Kenya cannot stomach another Gema presidency then what happened? Ruto showed up with "inasemekana ati nyinyi hamwezi pigia mtu mwingine kura." Pundit warned noone else would trust Gema if they betrayed Ruto. But we have Raila and non-Gema lining up for a fresh deal. Only the present interests matter.
