I think a sector would only struggle if production was to go down - but if more and more people are embracing dairy - and we are producing, consuming and processing more milk - then the sector is growing. Every time I go to super-market I am seeing new milk brands every day - so surely Brookside monopoly song is bit tired. Heck even Uganda are here (although it suspected they are selling milk powder - when I lived in Uganda - few people bought those Lato milk - I think Jesa milk was nearest to good milk you could get there).I am seeing more and more passion fruits farming too...Anyway I think agriculture pretty doing good as long as we have rain...of course we could triple agriculture industry if we applied more fertilizers, better seeds and good husbandry/agronomic.
Manufacturing has basically recovered from 2016 slump. Now it's the turn for real estate and construction to face the music with tea farmers. Universities are going through a rough patch but TIVET are doing great. Tourism and hotel industry is not badly - although the potential is incredible.
The rest of sectors - financial & inter-mediation, transport, ICT , Retail & Wholesaling ( formalization of retail is continuing - the sick men of uchumi/nakumatt/choppies - are being replaced by local and foreign brands) - are doing - maybe Energy has issue - but well we got first shipment of Turkana oil
Public investment in this china era is firing in all cylinders...and add to counties..who are solving the spending capacity problem - we have always had at national level - you can see why the economy is growing - even when private sector is struggling.
Dairy is struggling; Nyandarua dairy farmers are pouring milk instead selling to monopolies like brookside for ksh.25. Funny thing is the retail price for milk doesn't fluctuate to correspond with low prices of raw milk. Avocados, the biggest processor and grower of avocados kakuzi is barely inking a profit. Yes the volumes have increased as more production come on board. Nuts; thanks to Ruto banning of export of raw nuts the cashew nuts industry has collapsed in coast region. Macadamia; cause of the same policy prices are subdued, yes production has increased as farmers look for alternative or complementary to coffee.
Fintech and digitization is working. Public investment could have been a major economic driver if only the projects were not egregiously overpriced.
