Almost funny. So Kibra is now Ugenya - Luo will vote for Madvd guy cause he is Luo
- where's the logic here?
Even IFF Mariga got all of 30% Luhya - Luo are 35% - before you factor turnout.
Kikuyu will go Mariga yes - all 7% of them.
Kisii 4% go Imran - cause they vote Raila and Uhuru or Matiang'i not Ruto.
Kamba 9% few who turn out go Butichi - cause Kalonzo.
Nubians 10% swing three-way but mostly Imran - their affinity is ODM. Okoth record may also aid Imran but I won't bet on that.
Mariga best scenario is 35% with 70% of all Luhya. Imran worst case 40% with all Luo and a few Nubians and Kisii.
The breakdown of ethnic groups inhabiting Kibera and their gender-specific representation is[7] Luo: 34.9% (male), 35.4% (female); Luyia: 26.5% (male), 32.5% (female); Nubian: 11.6% (male), 9.1% (female); Kikuyu: 7.9% (male), 6.4% (female); Kamba: 7.5% (male), 10.3% (female); Kisii: 6.4% (male), 2.2% (female); Other: 5.2% (male), 4.1% (female)
All nice except there is really one major Luhya candidate - and two Luo candidates. Add Kikiyu vote that is solidly Jubilee.
Raila is panicked so much he had to get all ODM luhyas on the podium.I don't know how Luhyas think about him mistreating maDVD and Wetangula.
IKo shida. ODM knows Imran is not selling much outside Luos. The other tribes finally see a chance to overthrow the Luo lording over kIbra.