You're wrong on Emba - Wiper Kalonzo going by 2017 elections - would have gone head to head with ODM (luos + some luhya & gusiis) - what nicked it for Wiper was Jubilee (read Nairobi GEMA) supporting Wiper candidate. If Jubilee had fielded a candidate - this would have gone head to head like in 2017 - where Sumra lost by few votes. Nairobi always remember is Kikuyu 30%, 15% each (Luo+Luhya+Kamba), 5% each for (Gusii, Kalenjin, Somalis, Merus). 5% everyone else...those percentages vary from place to place...with somalis dominating eastleigh, indians parklands, luhyas westlands, gusii kawangware, Luos- basically runs the other slums - kibra, mathare, baba ndogo, mukurus, kayole - with luhyas - and kikuyus dominate Kasarani & Dandora & Dagoretti- kambas have sizeable population in Embakasi and most of the slums.
Why did Jubilee stand down in Emba and not in Wajir
Tafakari hayo. Why didn't Jubilee support ODM's Raila candidate in Emba - but went ahead to support Wiper.
Odinga is getting roasted pole pole bila Kujua. Nasa is getting roasted - Jubilee are still largely intact - while Jubilee has stealthy splintered NASA into 5-10 parties. Playing all of them against each other...while Jubilee are jealous guarding it's unity (ignore old Kamanda and group).
And that is brilliance. Raila is being played like burukenge. He may well overtake MaDVD who was handed PORK for the price of tea and MANDAZI
somewhere in river
road side. Once he had severed links with Raila - it was system go! Uhuru claimed to have been under demonic influence
Fala ingine ni Kalonzo - who was taken round in KKK and ICC rallies - while everyone knew UhuRuto had their own plans.
Wiper played kamba nationalism card - Emba South has lots of Kambas - who vote Raila-Kalonzo then Sonko. I disagree baba is in trouble - this was small stuff - not indicative. Micro - talk macro. He's in top form giving nightmares to our genius hustler.