Ouch...that has to hurt. Garbage in garbage out built on assumption all registered voters in central are kikuyu or muthamaki voting robots. If crackhead uhuru had this numbers in his back pocket then why did he have to steal the elections?
Is there anything you think about politically other than the Kalenjin plus Gema numbers?
If you add total GEMA+Kalenjin votes - registered is close to 9m - if you assume 85% turn out - then Uhuru gets 7.5M votes - that is just from GEMA+Kalenjin - NASA cannot beat that - leave alone when Jubilee get few votes here and there throughout the country. You guys are in for long hard ride..till 2032 or 2040.
So these are the actual votes that Jubilee got in August. The rest were computer generated.
The truth is coming out slowly.
That assumption could be true to some extent but only in the more rural counties. Luos, Luhyas, Kambas, Kisiis also tend to be fairly spread out, so their numbers will be represented in a similar fashion. Areas of RV like Trans/Nzoia, Nandi, Uasin Gishu ... have significant numbers of them. I think these are the ones Pundit hopes will be intimidated and stopped from voting. Miji Kenda are more purely coastal. In raw population numbers they are more than the jubilant core tribes. If Coast and Western can improve their turnouts, it becomes more difficult to rig.
On the jubilant side, GEMA are also spread out. RV has significant numbers of them. Also GEMA rural areas are more purely GEMA than those of other big tribes. Kalenjin, are negligible outside RV. You exhaust their votes in RV and you have to count on pockets of GEMA to pick up the slack.