You're engaged in wishful thinking. Gusii yote has zero ODM mp except Arati of Dago. I see Nakuru West Mp Arama defected and won in Jubilee. The same is true in places like Kakamega and Bungoma where ODM scored zero - ODM I think lost nearly 20-30mps - to Jubilee, ANC and Ford-K.
If your analyse the near future of all the 47 counties - one thing you'll note - is that counties where each party is strong - are those it has really grass-root support - MCA/MP/Women Rep/Senator/Governor - Raila has therefore lost Kakamega, Bungoma,Northern Kenya, Most of Maa and lots of Coast --- even in places he got more votes that Uhuru - he has no grassroot support structures - like Mps/MCAS/Senate/Governor - to keep the fire burning for 5 years.
And as for the rest of NASA luminaries...
Ford-K - Will share with Jubilee the Bukusu nation (read Bungoma+TransNzoia) - I don't see Wetangula losing the little support he has - he's going to be helped by the fact that he won two governorship - although Kitale's Khaemba is not going to ran again and is looking at his own future.
ANC - who are very happy with 11 mps
maDVD will defend Vihiga and part of Kakamega with his life.
Wiper & MCC - This will be dog fight in Ukambani that will keep both Kalonzo and Mutua busy. I don't see any serious hemorrhage.
ODM - Basically has about 10-13 counties now - I am postulating that in few years it will be struggling outside the 6 counties where Luo have significant numbers - migori,homabay, kisumu, siaya, nairobi and mombasa. They will not be able to defend Kwale, Kilifi,Busia,Kisii, Kakamega & Turkana - not without money - not without patronage - not without incumbency - not with those governors in their last term as governors and all looking at 2022 with options.
Therefore MOAS 2022 is slowly going to emerge.
Pundit what you don't realize is that first people know the election was rigged to make Uhuru president 'and to get a super majority in parliament to make him president for life. It will be just weeks into parliament and you will hear the call. Second is that this rigging has galvanzed the rest of Kenya into one strong base. Raila happensvto be the leader now but stronger and more radical leaders are coming up. NDP, ODM, ANC are mere instruments. Gusii Nyamira people are utterly flabbergasted that the IEBC wing of Jubilee hasvgiven them MPs they did not choose. The ground is still strongly ODM. You should see the fire in Madvd.