Author Topic: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.  (Read 22041 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.
« Reply #80 on: July 17, 2017, 08:44:37 AM »
The issue is defined by politicians. UhuRuto changed the narrative on ICC - it was suppose to be a disadvantage but they played it well. Before that Mau forest eviction & reclamation had been an issue that Ruto had used to drive a wedge btw Kalenjin and ODM.Kibaki made "Raila is dangerous man" the issue that united his coalition in 2007. ODM made "Anti-Kikuyu aka 41-1" the issues.Right now the is no major issue because it's a repeat of 2013 - tribal alliance have been solidified. NASA issues is 40-2 - but they haven't sold it as much as I expected (their campaign is just lethargic) -- and Jubilee issue of course is that they have delivered on their 2013 manifesto. If Raila or Uhuru or Ruto want to change "the issue" - they can invent one - and their tribes men will troop along - with that "issue" as the excuse.
And I told you that an issue is not tied to tribe like both sides of a coin.  An issue can be tied to something else like, religion, regionalism, patriotism, etc.  At independence, the issue of freedom was not tied to a particular tribe but was appealing to most Kenyans as Africans.  Also, the 2nd liberation was not tied to any tribe.  I also believe that the issues NASA is expressing are not tied to any tribe.  It is therefore my humble opinion that tribe and issues are not two sides of the same coin (whatever what that means)  I also know that it is not in your interest at this time to separate issues from tribe and will do all the gymnastics to make them one and the same. Ourutu can only win if tribe is the only factor.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.
« Reply #81 on: July 17, 2017, 11:33:37 AM »
Ambitho polls last month -- seem Uhuru is doing extremely well in NEP, good in Coast & Western compared to 2013.


Offline RV Pundit

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Re: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.
« Reply #83 on: July 20, 2017, 11:00:10 AM »
Nairobi - Sonko Kidero neck to neck but undecided leaning to Sonko - Sakaja leading - Passari too - and Raila too.
http://nairobinews.nation.co.ke/news/sonko-closes-gap-kidero-new-poll/

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.
« Reply #84 on: July 20, 2017, 11:11:39 AM »
Kilifi - Amason Kingi still the king of underdevelopment

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.
« Reply #85 on: July 20, 2017, 11:14:43 AM »

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.
« Reply #86 on: July 20, 2017, 11:16:26 AM »
Presidential race -Kilifi - all indications are Uhuru will get 30% - or about double what he got in 2013.

Offline vooke

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Re: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.
« Reply #87 on: July 21, 2017, 07:15:41 PM »
Presidential race -Kilifi - all indications are Uhuru will get 30% - or about double what he got in 2013.


Uhuru had 10.7% in Kilifi.

No idea how Omorlo will spin this. Uhuru's trips and pointmen are working

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Offline RV Pundit

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Re: FINAL MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEETS (MOAS) FOR 2017 ELECTION.
« Reply #88 on: July 26, 2017, 11:11:37 AM »
 -may make small changes  -- Kakamega - Senate goes to ODM -everything else will stand the test of time.