I think he has underrated Isaac Ruto..to his detriment...Isaac-A.Keter-Chepkwony-Kapchapin-Zakayo grp have already evenly split kalenjin..outside his home country and elgeyo marakwet...WSR has serious problems in nearly all the rest of counties..doubt has been planted on the mind of wananchi though WSR remain trusted as a leader.
Before you factor Gideon Moi's old Moi kanu who has gone to sleep..and will quickly cut deal to undercut WSR.
WSR still has an upperhand...but he is just one or two major mistakes before he becomes kaput.
Given WSR and Uhuru cannot finish off Isaac using impeachment (given CORD will play rogue) --maybe EACC can try to ensare him with bomet open pilferage by isaac; William Ruto has now gone to desperate level of using URP; instead of making peace.
Once he use URP party to attempt to punish dissident...the rebels will form another party...may UDM or something close to that...
And RV will be split...
Biggest loser will be WSR...he will be left with a shell..he cannot leverage in 2017...
Politics going forward need strong men to deal with strong men..not control freaks cowards.
I wonder who will advise him. Doesn't he have pointmen on the ground? Or has he refused to listen?