China has 4 trillion reserves.
(a) HYPE,The Chinese money is in government hands,The west money is in private hands,
They would keep most of it as USD (because USD is the global currency) or EURO or Yen for purpose of trading and INVEST the extra...in US tbill and tbonds
(b) That is correct,
but US and EU has pretty much screwed themselves
(c) Wrong,The West had its fair share of high economic growth rates in 1940s,1950s,1960/70s when they were building there infrastructure,that is roads,energy and rails,that creates commodity demand which boosts manufacturing in industries like cement,copper and steel..by the time the Chinese made an about turn on communism in 1978,the west had already solved its infrastructure deficit and that made its economy to slow down while China economy was booming due to infrastructure projects but since now the Chinese infrastructural deficit is almost done growth has slowed from 11%-6% and will continue to slow,attention now shifts to Africa,
this is what get me excited as Kenyan/African..because if we play it right...we could be swimming in money to solve many of our problems.
(d) Your excitement is IDIOTIC,The Chinese came to Kenya and say they will build the rails with two conditions:
(1) The finance the project which means they earn interest,that is very wrong because if the gov of Kenya brought together kenyan commercial banks which hold hundreds of millions and kenyans who are holding 150BN on M-shwari,we would be able to benefit the mwanachi by financing and earning interest,
(2) The Chinese supply building materials like rails,that is a wasted opportunity of building capacity of our local steel industry and creating jobs,
Manfield think there is a lot of capital...but which capital..hot money created in wallstreet...which come and go..crushing the economy in the process....or 50 yr maturing loan from China or WB.
Bottomline; Everyone is facing EAST (china) for a reason. MONEY.
Who you have imagine somebody lending kenya money to build SGR previously? 450B!
(e) Like I've said again and again,there is an oversupply of capital/money in the world,To put the numbers to perspective,The Chinese gov is holding $4TN,The BOJ FED ECB have pumped over $5TN to private commercial banks since 2009 while you have another over $20TN sitting in offshore accounts Vs Africa infrastructural projects worth $93BN annually,Don't you see there is oversupply of cheap money because too much money means concessional loans due to competition?
Other examples,The Chinese lend us 300BN to build SGR,When the Kenya gov sold the Eurobond,It was oversubscribed 8X mostly by the west,they were ready to give Kenya $8BN while in Rwanda,when they said they want $400MN,The west was ready to give $3.2BN,All these will give more room for concessional loans and better deals for Africa,it therefore baffles me when i see you praising the Chinese,
The purpose of these multi-lateral financial institutions is to create WIN-WIN situations between the East and the west through joint financing schemes where both sides of the world benefit in mega projects in Africa and Asia,
Streamline your knowledge,
Without Prejudice.