22,102,532 VOTERS
Gachagua has decided to endorse Kalonzo,Lets simulate.
https://www.iebc.or.ke/docs/rov_per_county.pdfhttps://www.iebc.or.ke/docs/rov_per_constituency.pdfKALONZO STRONGHOLDS
TAITA TAVETA 181,827
ISIOLO 89,504
MERU 772,139
THARAKA - NITHI 231,932
EMBU 334,302
KITUI 532,758
MACHAKOS 687,565
MAKUENI 479,401
NYANDARUA 361,165
NYERI 481,632
KIRINYAGA 376,001
MURANG'A 620,929
LAIKIPIA 263,012
NAKURU 1,054,856
KAJIADO 463,273
KIAMBU 1,275,008
8,205,304RUTO STRONGHOLDS (I give him 100% in all Somali,cOSMOPLITAN Like Transzoia,Narok and Jaluo Counties (WHICH IS NOT POSSIBLE) + RIGGING ADVANTAGE).
TURKANA 238,528
WEST POKOT 220,026
TRANS NZOIA 398,981
UASIN GISHU 506,138
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 213,884
NANDI 406,288
BARINGO 281,053
KERICHO 428,067
BOMET 376,985
NAROK 398,784
GARISSA 201,473
WAJIR 207,758
MANDERA 217,030
MARSABIT 166,912
BUSIA 416,756
SIAYA 533,595
KISUMU 606,754
HOMA BAY 551,071
MIGORI 469,019
6,839,102UNDECIDED SWING COUNTIES 50:50
In these counties we have Matiangi,Malala and Natembeya & Wamalwa DAP,Lets assume we don't know how they will vote and give them 50:50.
KAKAMEGA 844,551
VIHIGA 310,043
BUNGOMA 646,598
NYAMIRA 323,283
KISII 637,010
2,761,485KALONZO LEANING COUNTIES (KAMBA & GEMA DIASPORA,divided Mijikenda etc and 10-20% Luo Kisii Luhya diaspora)
MOMBASA 641,913
LAMU 81,453
KWALE 328,253
KILIFI 588,602
SAMBURU 100,014 (50:50 Most likely)
TANA RIVER 141,096
NAIROBI CITY 2,415,310 (kAMBA gEMA & yOUNG COSMOPLITAN will vote Kalonzo)
4,296,641MAJOR VARIABLES
If Matiangi Kisii & Natembeya Wamalwa endorse Kalonzo,Kalonzo crosses past +50% mark in Western/Luhya and kisii.
CONCLUSION
Even if All Somali,Jaluo and the entire Rift Valley votes Ruto 100% and stuffs ballot,He cannot win the presidency.
There is ABSOLUTELY NO PATHWAY TO VICTORY.
We therefore declare:
(1) WILIAM RUTO A ONE TERM PRESIDENT
(2) STEPHEN KALONZO MUSYOKA
(3) 6TH PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF KENYA
As we approach 2027 elections,Lets remember that victims of Ruto's policy from SHA/NHIF,GENz,Housing Levy will mobilize effectively against him in churches and social media.The rise of goonism has also led to alot of contempt from the security officers AND JUDICIARY,They will abandon him like they did to Uhuru.His association with dynasty of Moi Oginga and Kenyatta is seen as betrayal of hustlers while his impeachment of Gachagua and GEnz crackdown as potrayed him as a vengeful person.People hate violence.