UDA now a Kalenjin Party.No pathway to victory.

[Githunguri]

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Constituencies_in_Rift_Valley_Province

The following 56 pages are in this category, out of 56 total. This list may not reflect recent changes.

A
Ainamoi Constituency
Aldai Constituency
B
Baringo Central Constituency
Baringo East Constituency
Baringo North Constituency
Belgut Constituency
Bomet Central Constituency
Bomet Constituency
Bomet East Constituency
Bureti Constituency
C
Chepalungu Constituency
Cherangany Constituency
E
Eldama Ravine Constituency
Eldoret East Constituency
Eldoret North Constituency
Eldoret South Constituency
Emgwen Constituency
Emurua Dikirr Constituency
K
Kacheliba Constituency
Kajiado Central Constituency
Kajiado North Constituency
Kajiado South Constituency
Kapenguria Constituency
Keiyo North Constituency
Keiyo South Constituency
Kilgoris Constituency
Kipkelion Constituency
Kipkelion East Constituency
Konoin Constituency
Kuresoi Constituency
Kwanza Constituency
L
Laikipia East Constituency
Laikipia West Constituency
M
Marakwet East Constituency
Marakwet West Constituency
Mogotio Constituency
Molo Constituency
Mosop Constituency
N
Naivasha Constituency
Nakuru Town Constituency
Nakuru West Constituency
Narok East Constituency
Narok North Constituency
Narok South Constituency
P
Pokot South Constituency
R
Rongai Constituency
S
Saboti Constituency
Samburu East Constituency
Samburu West Constituency
Sigor Constituency
Sotik Constituency
Subukia Constituency
T
Tinderet Constituency
Turkana Central Constituency
Turkana North Constituency
Turkana South Constituency

[Githunguri]

He is Maxing at 50 constituencies in Rift Valley.No Kalenjin outside rift valley.

 

[Githunguri]

Out of 147 Mps he got from 2022,

Luhya have left.

Mt Kenya left I think over 80MPs.

In North Eastern He can only manage 14 constituencies if they 100% vote for Him.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Constituencies_in_North_Eastern_Province_(Kenya)

[Githunguri]

If he will face Kalonzo at the ballot,He gets completely locked out of the coast.

GEMA Kamba are +-20% at the coast.A split Mijikenda and Arab means Kalonzo crosses 60% in Coast.

In Nairobi GEMA Kamba +++ Kisii and Luhya 50% crashes Jaluos at the ballot.

[Githunguri]

In the worst case scenario,If Babu Owino becomes the Luo leader and refuses to join Ruto,He may not even garner 25% in more than 24 counties.

How will Ruto handle defeat?

Where will he retire?Dubai?

[RV Pundit]

Mental breakdown.

[Modesty Blaise]

In the worst case scenario,If Babu Owino becomes the Luo leader and refuses to join Ruto,He may not even garner 25% in more than 24 counties.

How will Ruto handle defeat?

Where will he retire?Dubai?

You are describing the 3-horse scenario where Ruto hits 36%.

Even if Raila dies it's unlikely Luo can join Riggy-Kalonzo and become mkia with their gigantic egos. At least with Ruto they get DPORK. But they can fracture or have poor turnout after 35 years of Jaramaogi-Raila runs.

If UDA loses Mbeere and Malava - and crumbles in Mlima & Luhya - Ruto-Luo vs united opposition will be a very exciting derby.

Looks like senie Raila might be in diapers and not campaign hard for Ruto.

[Modesty Blaise]

Ruto will not run to Dubai he will go to his shamba in Turbo. Sulk and prep for 2032 rematch like Trump.

Kenya is a mature democracy - Moi, Kibaki, Uhuru retired peacefully.

https://publish.twitter.com/?url=

President William Ruto at his Koilel farm in Uasin Gishu, ‘five months later.’ pic.twitter.com/sRMPIg4eO6

— U D A - Official Fans Page. (@UDAPartyKe) August 14, 2023

[Modesty Blaise]

A Ruto loss will be another milestone for Kenya. Only Goodluck Jonathan has ever stepped down gracefully in Sub Sahara. Well, and Malawi's Lazarus Chakwera.

You should be proud of Kenya. While a moron like Biya is running for 8th time at 90 in Cameroon. In TZ and UG opposition figures are in jail or exile. But President Ruto has to beg Raila or Kalonzo to back him.

Kenya is a breath of fresh air.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

If Ruto miraculously loses, he will congratulate the winner and help the same winner in every way possible to move Kenya to a first world. Ruto is committed to transforming Kenya by any means necessary. He thinks he can even be more effective in opening factories and businesses as a private person by hiring 1 million Kenyans in a 3-5-year span. He is a very patriotic Kenyan that wants Kenya to change in our lifetime, not when many have died!