UDA will retain Malava seat in by-election

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

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It was a masterstroke for UDA to give Rhyan Injendi, I suspect, Mululu Injendi's son, to continue the legacy of integrity and accountability for the people of Malava. DAP-K seems a nonstarter in western after ANC and Ford-K surrendered to UDA

A study by Mizani Africa shows that 35.6% of the electorate prefer the President William Ruto-led party. Trailing in second place is the Democratic Action Party of Kenya (DAP-K) with 19.8%, Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) with 6.7%, Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) fourth with 5.1% and Jubilee Party with 1.1%. Read more: https://www.tuko.co.ke/politics/601956-uda-preferred-party-malava-by-election-mizani-poll/

[Modesty Blaise]

Is ODM backing UDA guy?

If so, then yes, UDA likely to retain it. It also tells us Blood-Based likely to stick together. If no, iko chida. Regardless, expect problems from Kenya Moja crew who seem inimical to UDA.

DAP-K will square with UDA. Let's see if joint oppostion can gel... I see Malala has been tamed by RiggyG at church today. Malala is a good sport so unity is necessary.

[Modesty Blaise]

With Blood-Based seeming to consecrate the marriage - from mpango to dowry - expect 2-horse race towards 2027.

Ruto-Wanga vs Kalonzo-Natembeya

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

With Blood-Based seeming to consecrate the marriage - from mpango to dowry - expect 2-horse race towards 2027.

Ruto-Wanga vs Kalonzo-Natembeya

That can't be possible because Kalooser/Natembeya will score 35% and Ruto 65%. Without GEMA on the major ticket, they will remain in UDA very easily for 2032 , which is Ruto-Kindiki, because of the work he has done for Kenya, especially Kiambu. Going with Kalooser/Natembeya means they have to set their eyes on 2042!

[Modesty Blaise]

Hitler,

Malava:

UDA 36 vs 20% DAP-K is very bad for UDA. Imagine homeboy ANC dissolved into UDA and MaDVD is prime CS.

DAP-K is pure Bukusu party - with no single leader being Kabras - yet get 20%. Now with zoning, that combo of Natembeya & Malala can cause big problems for UDA. Don't count your chics yet.

Also watch out for loud-mouth Khalwale.. he is quite hostile to Blood-Based. Also Sifuna - if ODM sit it out and attempt to endorse Injendi Jr - will rebel with Amisis.

[Modesty Blaise]

With Blood-Based seeming to consecrate the marriage - from mpango to dowry - expect 2-horse race towards 2027.

Ruto-Wanga vs Kalonzo-Natembeya

That can't be possible because Kalooser/Natembeya will score 35% and Ruto 65%. Without GEMA on the major ticket, they will remain in UDA very easily for 2032 , which is Ruto-Kindiki, because of the work he has done for Kenya, especially Kiambu. Going with Kalooser/Natembeya means they have to set their eyes on 2042!

Review the party support % in Mbeere - DCP is 3 months old and squarely beat UDA with DP Soprano, chair Mbarire, CS Ruku and all GoK largesse. Now RiggyG has swallow his pride to TKO UDA - akin to Ruto backing Moses Kuria DEP in Juja 2021. Once Koimburi floored Jubilee it was downhill.

I suspect RiggyG - has close monitor JB who is turncoat and could be Ruto or Uhuru decoy. He will continue to sell DCP and host candidates. I don't think Riggy has retreated without serious plan.

[Modesty Blaise]

As RiggyG wind up Mlima - war will shift to Luhya. If Ruto pick Luo Wanga - expect problems in Luhya who will cry betrayal.

I expect RiggyG as veto plank to vote against pairing babyface Eugene with soft Kalonzo. Natembeya is better bet than Eugene in such dogfight.

That Ruto 65% hubris will subdue as you digest the odds Ruto faces.

[Modesty Blaise]

Blood-Based Pentagon - seem Soprano does not make the cut with no chance to slice Mlima.

[Modesty Blaise]

"Mudavadi is a windbag, Natembeya is the real deal!

[Modesty Blaise]

Pundit if UDA lost Malava would MaDVD be fired?

[RV Pundit]

He has fake job - non existent PM. He wont be fired. Kindiki is BIG POSITION

Pundit if UDA lost Malava would MaDVD be fired?