Pundit in as much as I think until lately you understood politics I must say your weakness is that you are not objective.
Geopolitics plays a big role in everything we do .
Example is if it wasnt for the Ukraine war Ruto would be having a slight chance of returning in 2027 .
Bidens miscalculation has made Europe topple all its leaders and popular parties.Macron is not sitting preety , Scholz is on his way out . Biden/Kamala lost because of inflation as a result of Ukraine war .
You seem good in Kenyan history and you have stated before why British colonies got independence post world war 2 was simply because Britain was weaker after the war and USSR and US were stronger and advocated for independence including Kenya meaning its due to Geopolitics . Similarly Moi became weaker in 90s due to Geopolitics . USSR had dissolved and US became a monopoly through USAID and Embassy they mounted alot of pressure to Moi from denying Aid and advocating tor Multi Party politcs.
Geopolitics is the reason why Ruto made mistakes in his first year . Capital flight and high cost of Oil and his overtaxation in order to run government and pay debt and removal of fuel subsidies made him unpopular .
Look at why US second most powerful person is their Foreign Minister called Secretary of State .
Geopolitics runs the world not untill you understand this you will never be able to understand internal politics . And yes China is on the Rise with the help of Russia if US wants to maintain its dominance it must stop the two collaborating . It managed to stop Germany and Russia through Ukraine war will it stop Russia and China a small miscalculation by samctioning China will only make China stronger they will go all out in the world . You know that but self deception makes you deny this fact
You had to bring Putin and Ukraine sicko
One of the objectives of Ukraine war was to make Europe a Satellite country to U.S. and deter China . It backfired seriously . Euro project is over . Its only surviving because of printing of Euros . Germany technically is under recession and France has lost Africa it Income earner .
Britain better even not speak about it .Those were the Big 3 .
Tesla will survive because its build on subsidies but wont be able to compete outside US because of Cost of production and maintenance .US is subsidizing it for its citizens they cant manage to subsidize it for the world its just not tenable .
As for China and Taiwan the war is coming its a strategic showstop in order for US to maintain its dominance . However just like Ukraine war which has made Russia much more stronger China will come out of it much more stronger expect Russia to play a significant role.
In 40 years time we will have a new empire . In terms of technology China is years ahead of Europe and US . They are getting very cheap energy from Russia to advance its Economy similar to Germany 60 years ago .US is to blame for this softpower is the only way to dominate the world . They did it well in 60s, 70s 80s through so called democracy and dollar dominance . Ukraine war ad hardpower was a strategic blunder and unfortunately they seem not to have learnt quickly about it , now they are on downward trend . BRICS is bigger than G7 and growing , countrys are now trading in their own currencies , dollar as the reserve is being replaced with Gold . Countries are disobeying US foreign policy and China and India are on the rise . Can Trump change this we will see , but state department seem to be resilient with hardpower . History tells us thats a downward trend ……
Only Tesla can compete with China. Here Tesla will take over due to 100% anti-China sanctions. In Europe Tesla will maybe get a 10% slice - BYD, Xpeng, Xiaomi, etc take rest of the imports. Actually EU needs stiffer tariffs to save VW, BMW local brands - that 38% is not enough. Global South of course everything goes to China. Only a few waheshimiwa will drive Tesla or Escalade or VX.
We are now competing in space after chip sanction strategy was crashed. Only AI needs 2nm chips.
Realistically the US has no way to beat China without a preemptive war. What will happen is one day PBOC will let loose the yuan to proper market value -- and the US will be overtaken overnight in nominal terms. We are only bigger now artificially.
You seem not to get it . its all about political economy . How much money the country gets in vis a vis out .
If the wars end and dollar dominance ends you will see a rise on a new empire . Ask your self why Japan went from being the second biggest economy to the 8th . Geopolical ecomonics , South Korea KIA in a few years time will overtake Toyota as the most imported car .