Where & how will Ruto rig in 2027?

[Githunguri]

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Kalonzo/Gachagua Counties.
130+ Mps.
18 senators & Governors
Over 400MCAs

Meru
Kiambu
Muranga
Nyeri
Nyandarua K
Kajiado (Maasai + GEMA Kamba swing).
Laikipia
Nakuru
Embu
Meru
Makueni
Nairobi (Kamba Gema 50+1).
Lamu
Machakos
Kitui
Kirinyaga
Isiolo

17 counties.I doubt there will be UDA agents in those counties.If UDA stuffs ballot in RV,RigGWiper will stuff in Their zones.


Raila Counties.
About 75-80MPs
12 + Senators and Governors
200+ MCAs

Homabay
Siaya
Kisumu
Kisii
Nyamira
Kakamega
Vihiga
Busia
Mombasa
Kilifi
Taita Taveta

12 counties.
ODM will not want to compromise their candidates for UDA.

Ruto counties.
50-60MPs
7-10 Senators and governors
Less than 200MCAs

Elgeyo Marakwet
Uasin Ngishu
Nandi
Bomet
Turkana
Kericho
Narok
Kwale
West pokot

7 counties.Stuffing Will not change outcome.

Toss ups.
Tana river
Marsabit
Samburu
Mandera

The result at the polling station is final.At the polling station,The police cannot help,they cannot dare mess with crowds lined up to vote.Rigging through ballot stuffing or doctored results is technically impossible and sny attempt wil see international sanctions and pressure or massive protests.

[RV Heavy Hitter!]

In 2022, people faced the same scenario and reached the same conclusions. There was nowhere Kenya Kwanza would penetrate. 2027 is a million years away in politics. A lot will happen from now and then. I will begin a thorough analysis 90 days prior to election day, focusing on the final alignment and realignment of kingpins and tribes, before making any predictions. Jubilee under Muhoho/Sabina Chege will likely battle off Gachagua's new outfit, and we may see Matiba/Kibaki-type battle royale. On the other hand, if Raila gets the African Union position and sells ODM in return, Nyanza, the coast, and parts of western will make someone president by 10.30 AM, as Atwoli said. 

[RV Pundit]

Kalonzo/Gachagua Counties.
130+ Mps.
18 senators & Governors
Over 400MCAs

Meru
Kiambu
Muranga
Nyeri
Nyandarua K
Kajiado (Maasai + GEMA Kamba swing).
Laikipia
Nakuru
Embu
Meru
Makueni
Nairobi (Kamba Gema 50+1).
Lamu
Machakos
Kitui
Kirinyaga
Isiolo

17 counties.I doubt there will be UDA agents in those counties.If UDA stuffs ballot in RV,RigGWiper will stuff in Their zones.


Raila Counties.
About 75-80MPs
12 + Senators and Governors
200+ MCAs

Homabay
Siaya
Kisumu
Kisii
Nyamira
Kakamega
Vihiga
Busia
Mombasa
Kilifi
Taita Taveta

12 counties.
ODM will not want to compromise their candidates for UDA.

Ruto counties.
50-60MPs
7-10 Senators and governors
Less than 200MCAs

Elgeyo Marakwet
Uasin Ngishu
Nandi
Bomet
Turkana
Kericho
Narok
Kwale
West pokot

7 counties.Stuffing Will not change outcome.

Toss ups.
Tana river
Marsabit
Samburu
Mandera

The result at the polling station is final.At the polling station,The police cannot help,they cannot dare mess with crowds lined up to vote.Rigging through ballot stuffing or doctored results is technically impossible and sny attempt wil see international sanctions and pressure or massive protests.

Toa Nakuru kwa hiyo ushenzi Yako ubwa. You're endangering your own people with that Nakuru, kajiado, laikipia n isiolo nonsense.

[RV Pundit]

Gachagua kalonzo can only fly in 3 ukambani n 5 in central Kenya. That is 8 counties. The rest are with Ruto including Mt Kenya east n of course comspolitan areas like Nakuru, Nairobi, kajiado n Laikipia will not entertain his nonsense. Even kikuyus there will run away from Gachagua. As we speak Gachagua has 3 or 4 sensators n 3 or 4 mps supporting him..almost all from central. Anyway continue dreaming...Raila odm are next king makers.  Ruto will inherit that block.

[Fairandbalanced]

I even highly doubt that Ruto will inherit Raila’s constituency, I saw what happened the other day where people were being paid to attend his rally. They will have to pay billions to Luos to come out to vote for someone else other than Raila. This is may be the time for Luos to be compensated for years of marginalization. In the coast the same thing, Arabs maybe but mijikenda will be all over the the place. If this is true, Ruto will not even be in the run off, he knows it and I know by 2027, you should see major threats of violence from his people. It’s not going to work, he either wins fairly or Kenyans will not let him rule by force. If he loses, go home peacefully and beg to be pardoned like all the past presidents, Kenyans are linient people. How he handles this is up to him but he risks losing it all with making the wrong moves like some are suggesting here. The power is with the citizens, they can make the country ungovernable.

[RV Pundit]

Any ticket supported by Riggy/Kikuyus will lose in 2027 because the rest will feel they are not part of it.
In simple terms, Ruto will win, without even delivering,
But Ruto, as always will deliver, and people will vote him.
He will win by 65%.

I even highly doubt that Ruto will inherit Raila’s constituency, I saw what happened the other day where people were being paid to attend his rally. They will have to pay billions to Luos to come out to vote for someone else other than Raila. This is may be the time for Luos to be compensated for years of marginalization. In the coast the same thing, Arabs maybe but mijikenda will be all over the the place. If this is true, Ruto will not even be in the run off, he knows it and I know by 2027, you should see major threats of violence from his people. It’s not going to work, he either wins fairly or Kenyans will not let him rule by force. If he loses, go home peacefully and beg to be pardoned like all the past presidents, Kenyans are linient people. How he handles this is up to him but he risks losing it all with making the wrong moves like some are suggesting here. The power is with the citizens, they can make the country ungovernable.

[Fairandbalanced]

Coalitions are just now taking shape, there will probably be no Kikuyu in the ticket. It will be a coalition of people from all tribes supported by genZ so relax. We have a long way to go, for now your delusions are only there to comfort you, you can share them here to give us a good laugh but most of us here are stable and realistic. In the meantime, enjoy mtu wetu development.. https://x.com/alfredarapketer/status/1862932078351753659?s=46&t=3-3-_ehcZbukDCK7hNe5LA

[RV Pundit]

Any coalition driven by RiggyG faction of kikuyus will GO NOWHERE because he has made it clearly that everyone else will be slave to Murima.
A poisoned chalice.
That is why Ruto kicked him out.

Coalitions are just now taking shape, there will probably be no Kikuyu in the ticket. It will be a coalition of people from all tribes supported by genZ so relax. We have a long way to go, for now your delusions are only there to comfort you, you can share them here to give us a good laugh but most of us here are stable and realistic. In the meantime, enjoy mtu wetu development.. https://x.com/alfredarapketer/status/1862932078351753659?s=46&t=3-3-_ehcZbukDCK7hNe5LA

[Nowayhaha]

Rigging  will be hard . Ruto will be No 3

[Fairandbalanced]

It’s Raila who kicked Gachagua out, they could not co-exist in the government. Raila played Ruto big time, made him lose his biggest constituency with maybe protection for the next three years. Let’s just hope Raila goes to the AU otherwise he will come back and slowly start asking for blood. The next three years are actually going to be very interesting but for now, with the current failure and economic destruction, I highly doubt there is anyone thinking of Kikuyus enslaving then. This is my opinion but someone like Kalonzo/Matiangi will lock out Ruto of the first round but Kenyans are interesting, they will all probably go for it individually and then form coalitions in the second round.

[Githunguri]

Genz Abductions -1MN votes
Church-1MN votes-Out of catholic 10MM,Just 10%.What about pcea,aipca,pcea,ack?
SHA SHIF NHIF Victims 500K votes.
HOusing levy victims employees and business owners-500k votes.

No wonder Ruto is fearing registering IEBC like his daughter charlene has said that the chance of his father to get re-elected is NIL.

He is DONE.COMPLETELY.

[Fairandbalanced]

Raila will be on the ballot which completely destroys Ruto’s chances.. https://x.com/nationafrica/status/1863286876741796058?s=46&t=3-3-_ehcZbukDCK7hNe5LA

[Githunguri]

Raila will be on the ballot which completely destroys Ruto’s chances.. https://x.com/nationafrica/status/1863286876741796058?s=46&t=3-3-_ehcZbukDCK7hNe5LA

Raila supporting Ruto is killing ODM.For him the most important thing is not Ruto but his political base which means around 15 senators,70Mps and 4M+ voters whom he can use to negoatiate with whoever wins the next election.
 
The question before us now is.If:
Kalonzo/Rigathi have 18 counties-40% Votes.
Raila has maybe 17 Counties 30% votes.
Total 35 counties/Out of 47 Counties.

NorthEastern is always top up. Since Independence Somali don't give a fuck who is the president. They join the winner for their illegal business of smuggling.

Where does this leave the President Ruto?

He is left with less than:
10 counties.
He will not manage 25% in 24 counties.
He will get less than 25% of National vote.

Gachagua needs to seek protection from the US and UK Governments.

[gout]

Yaani mtu wa nyororo is now in-house pundit. Ni uchawi

In 2022, people faced the same scenario and reached the same conclusions. There was nowhere Kenya Kwanza would penetrate. 2027 is a million years away in politics. A lot will happen from now and then. I will begin a thorough analysis 90 days prior to election day, focusing on the final alignment and realignment of kingpins and tribes, before making any predictions. Jubilee under Muhoho/Sabina Chege will likely battle off Gachagua's new outfit, and we may see Matiba/Kibaki-type battle royale. On the other hand, if Raila gets the African Union position and sells ODM in return, Nyanza, the coast, and parts of western will make someone president by 10.30 AM, as Atwoli said.