Interesting. What could Uhuru offer Kambas to vote for him? He has two powerful forces there - Ngilu and Kalonzo. Just like Raila and Kibaki learned, you can't have both in one basket at any given time. So Uhuru keeps Ngilu and her dwindling fortunes or he takes kalonzo and dumps Ngilu who walks away with a larger portion including sympathy votes and those who will see Kalonzo as traitor again.
If they choose the open nomination and allow Wetangula to run equally against Raila, Kalonzo, Joho, and somebody from NEP, and stretch it for a long time but be tightly knit, they have it on a platter. I would have gone for a revolution. Get somebody from Coast (not Joho) may be governor Mvuria and back him. A total stranger who TNA would have a problem researching and who can then benefit from the CORD machine. That is however not possible. Raila, like Sata and Gbagbo wants to take one last stab at power.
I doubt the 50:50. NEP and large part of Coast that voted Jubilee are going out thanks to this new bill. Duale is history. He will never see the inside of parliament the rest of his life. He better collect his money and start investing in business because his legal practice was backed by Somalis with grievances and they will not trust him even after he leaves office. He has a hostile governor on the ground working daily to undermine him. A governor armed with unlimited Devolution cash. All in all it is not just Amani that ODM swallowed. Jubilee has lost even if ODM has not inherited.