PREDICTED PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 9 AUGUST 2022===================================================================
Source: MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEET by Rv Pundit
NATIONAL SUMMARY
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Registered voters: 22,199,312
Votes Expected To Be Cast:
16,072,665 72% - weighted historical average without cleaning register will see 5% drop of turnout.
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Candidate Party Votes %
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William Ruto UDA
8,772,405 55% Raila Odinga AZIMIO
7,058,158 44%Others OTHERS
242,100 2% - Wajackoyah will score 1.7% - Mwaura 0.3%.
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Total 16,072,665
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Lowest Ruto will do is 54% of 8.5M; Lowest Raila will do is 6.9M of 43% - factoring all plausible Shenagians.
Highest Ruto will do is 56% of 9M; Highest Raila will do is 7.2M of 45% - if election is free & fair
The numbers settles at 55% of 8.7M for Ruto and 44% of 7M for RAILAThe counties breakdown - including projected turnout see below
*minor edit - meru/nyeri fixed.
Poll
Topic: MOASS (2022) project Ruto win of 55%, UDA 24 Govs, 26 Senators & KK 210 MPS (Read 3189 times)