Coast is gone from Raila

[RV Pundit]

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Signs are there.50 50 with Ruto according to some opinion pollsters.Very small crowds.No Raila pictures even in Mombasa.Ruto owning port and land issues.Hated uhuru leading Azimio https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/coast/article/2001450178/raila-reignites-coast-campaign-amid-searing-apathy-and-sibling-rivalry

[RV Pundit]

Coast, Western and ukambani look now like 50 50 game and someone think Raila has path to victory...Ruto likely to extend his lead beyond last beating Raila got in 2017

[yulemsee]

Why not include these ramblings in your MOAS figures?

[RV Pundit]

Until my ramblings FIRM into proper reliable evidence/data - then I update MOASS.
I watch many indicators...social media, crowds, newspapers,candidates
Some opinion polls dont for example reveal which counties they sampled.
They have little probative value for me as I work with counties.
If I get 3 or 4 credible opinion polls saying Raila:Ruto are 50:50; or 40:60; then I have strong basis to make changes;
And I use the other data to do the margins.

This is why I AM VERY VERY GOOD in these things and you're a baby TRYING TO FORCE A RAILA VICTORY - come August 9th how will you FORCE REALITY

Why not include these ramblings in your MOAS figures?

[Nefertiti]

The polls are saying Baba is way ahead.. 3-2

Sarai is still at 10%. Jumwa has retreated to Malindi - haven't seen the loudmouth in bara for months - ni kubaya.

Where is Noway to throw a feat?

Signs are there.50 50 with Ruto according to some opinion pollsters.Very small crowds.No Raila pictures even in Mombasa.Ruto owning port and land issues.Hated uhuru leading Azimio https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/coast/article/2001450178/raila-reignites-coast-campaign-amid-searing-apathy-and-sibling-rivalry

[Nefertiti]

Ukambani is another 60-40 beating at best for Ruto. Last I checked Mizani had Muthama at distant 4th behind Chap Chap boy. It Wavinya vs Waita



There are no massive splits outside RV and Nyanza. Gema, Luhya, Kamba, Coast are all 3-2, 1-2 such splits. You have your head in the sand with imaginary hustler wave.

[RV Pundit]

Quick assignment;
Coast
Get me latest from these credible pollsters - they do very large sample sizes - and do each county.
IRS - they interviewed 21K - have two good polls data out there.
Mizani
RankAfrica - seen they are also okay

Then try these guys who swing wildly because they do small sample sizes despite telephone interviews being cheap - their regional breakdown are total crap most of the time.
TIFFA
Radio Africa

Dont both with InfoTrak.

Then we can have credible debate.

The polls are saying Baba is way ahead.. 3-2

Sarai is still at 10%. Jumwa has retreated to Malindi - haven't seen the loudmouth in bara for months - ni kubaya.

Where is Noway to throw a feat?

Signs are there.50 50 with Ruto according to some opinion pollsters.Very small crowds.No Raila pictures even in Mombasa.Ruto owning port and land issues.Hated uhuru leading Azimio https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/coast/article/2001450178/raila-reignites-coast-campaign-amid-searing-apathy-and-sibling-rivalry

[Nefertiti]

what the issue with InfoTrak besides Ambitho being Luo?

[Nowayhaha]

Her polls have never predicted any general elections correctly
Not 2007, Not 2013 Not 2017 and certanly not 2022.

what the issue with InfoTrak besides Ambitho being Luo?

[RV Pundit]

Everything. Ambitho and Raila are close family friends from same village in Bondo.

what the issue with InfoTrak besides Ambitho being Luo?

[RV Pundit]

They scored highest in 2010 referendum..they had Ruto at 25%....he scored 32% - MOAS had Ruto at 33% - rest were in 20%

Generally they give Raila crazy numbers....Soon you will see Raila 55% - Ruto 35% - she is that crazy/

Her polls have never predicted any general elections correctly
Not 2007, Not 2013 Not 2017 and certanly not 2022.

what the issue with InfoTrak besides Ambitho being Luo?

[Nefertiti]

Ok 

Her polls have never predicted any general elections correctly
Not 2007, Not 2013 Not 2017 and certanly not 2022.

what the issue with InfoTrak besides Ambitho being Luo?

The polls are saying Baba is way ahead.. 3-2

Sarai is still at 10%. Jumwa has retreated to Malindi - haven't seen the loudmouth in bara for months - ni kubaya.

Where is Noway to throw a feat?

[RV Pundit]

Ako Kinago picha ya crowd inafichwa kufichwa. Jana same thing...poorly attended. Jioni they manipulate still images.
https://www.facebook.com/watch/live/?ref=notif&v=850046749309400&notif_id=1657627944604156&notif_t=live_video_explicit