It is; Jubilee gained 3-4 percent nationally in 2017 thanks to Ruto incessant trips.
He improved western from 4% to something close to 15%.
Now all opinion polls are showing almost 50:50% of Luhyas - with Ruto taking over Bukusu.
The battle is on Kakamega.
Ruto hardwork will pay off - in Ukambani, Western, Matusa, NEP and Coast.
Moi hardwork kept him in power despite economy in total ruins.
Ruto has visited places last visited by Moi - these tours of his - are extensive - he goes off road to deep villages - those people appreciate - Raila comes to main town like Kericho - but Moi went to deep villages - stopped in rural places - addressed people.
They give you that extra 5-10% edge you need to win an election. Ruto learnt most of his politics by understudying Moi who he greatly admired. Moi was hardworking, smart, tactical and very serious man who didnt have time for jokes or jokers when it came to work...he also had no time for pombe.
Raila laziness means he has come so close 45% in three elections and is going for another 45%....if only he HAD PUSHED BY CAMPAIGNING LIKE HIS LIFE DEPENDED ON IT...not for few months but many years...not just attending funerals...but go to harambess, church meetings, cdf projects..he would have got that 5% that remain elusive.
RVHH western no single poll agrees with you. Omnipresence (trips) is not even a factor in Pundit's MOAS.